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UNCLASSIFIED Figure 9: Perceptions of the ANSF Overall, the areas to which the bulk of the surge forces were allocated (i.e., Helmand, Kandahar, and the areas surrounding the capital, Kabul) showed significant improvements in many polling questions. 45
UNCLASSIFIED 1.11: LOOKING AHEAD: THE NEXT 6 MONTHS Over the next six months, the ANSF will continue to be the backbone of long-term security and stability for Afghanistan. The ANSF will take the lead for security nationwide, confronting the insurgency while setting conditions for completion of transition through continued coordination with coalition forces and the international community. The nature and focus of the ISAF campaign will steadily evolve. ISAF will maintain campaign momentum as it shifts to a role in support of the ANSF, all the while transferring non-security functions, redeploying forces, closing and aligning bases, and evolving the command and control structure for the NATO-led, post-2014 mission. ISAF will continue to support the ANSF through seasonal shaping operations, employing all available military and interagency resources to maintain pressure on the insurgency. The ANSF will be tested this fighting season. While insurgent capability and territory have been significantly degraded during the past two years, the insurgency remains a potent force. The insurgency’s sanctuaries in Pakistan, corruption, and the limited capacity of the Afghan government at the local level will remain the biggest risks to turning security gains into a durable and sustainable Afghanistan. Despite ISAF’s shift to a TAA mission, it retains significant combat power and will assist the ANSF as needed. Milestone 2013 marked the shift of the ISAF mission from a leading combat role to a supporting role in Afghan-led operations, with the ANSF in the lead for security at the operational level. ISAF will, however, retain operational and tactical command of all ISAF forces in Afghanistan through the end of 2014. Milestone 2013 was announced on June 18, 2013, as was the announcement of tranche five of the transition process. Tranche five—the final group of Afghan districts to enter into the transition of lead security authority—will be implemented in late summer, subject to GIRoA and NATO approval. In the remaining months of the transition process following Milestone 2013, ISAF trainers and advisors will continue to work closely with their Afghan counterparts to close gaps in ANSF capability. This milestone also occured alongside ISAF’s focusing SFA at higher levels of command. By November 2013, most SFA will be focused at the Afghan brigade and provincial levels and above. This will enable the ANSF to exercise greater autonomy and leadership of security operations, while still having access to ISAF assistance when required. This concept is in line with the President Obama’s statement related to pulling patrols back from villages. SFABs will be focused on developing the capability to conduct higher-level planning and execution of operations, as well as the capability of the Afghans to support and enable those operations. 1.12: ELECTION PREPARATION The presidential election in 2014 promises to be the first constitutional transfer of power in Afghanistan’s history, and for the first time, Afghans will be solely responsible for administering the process and providing security. A credible process with the fullest possible voter participation is critical to future stability, as well as to sustaining international assistance. The 46
Page 2 and 3: Report on Progress Toward Security
Page 4 and 5: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................
Page 6 and 7: ANSF Self-assessment ..............
Page 8 and 9: UNCLASSIFIED Executive Summary 1 Th
Page 10 and 11: UNCLASSIFIED coordination among the
Page 12 and 13: UNCLASSIFIED further the Afghan-led
Page 14 and 15: UNCLASSIFIED the World Bank, and ab
Page 16 and 17: UNCLASSIFIED but ISAF mistakenly di
Page 18 and 19: UNCLASSIFIED Figure 3 illustrates t
Page 20 and 21: UNCLASSIFIED SECTION 1 - SECURITY 1
Page 22 and 23: UNCLASSIFIED ISAF has identified re
Page 24 and 25: UNCLASSIFIED 1.4: NATO-ISAF FORCE L
Page 26 and 27: UNCLASSIFIED Figure 2: EIAs Share b
Page 28 and 29: UNCLASSIFIED Ceasefires can have ne
Page 30 and 31: UNCLASSIFIED Figure 3: Nationwide S
Page 32 and 33: UNCLASSIFIED Belambai. The Panjwa
Page 34 and 35: UNCLASSIFIED security operations ha
Page 36 and 37: UNCLASSIFIED and become capable of
Page 38 and 39: UNCLASSIFIED to the province. GIRoA
Page 40 and 41: UNCLASSIFIED 1.8: INSIDER THREAT 8
Page 42 and 43: UNCLASSIFIED conduct an attack. Ins
Page 44 and 45: UNCLASSIFIED The numbers of attacks
Page 46 and 47: UNCLASSIFIED PPCs are responsible f
Page 48 and 49: UNCLASSIFIED formal procedure for m
Page 50 and 51: UNCLASSIFIED APRP funding provided
Page 54 and 55: UNCLASSIFIED challenge for Afghans
Page 56 and 57: UNCLASSIFIED Figure 10: ANSF and IS
Page 58 and 59: UNCLASSIFIED Renewed effort and att
Page 60 and 61: UNCLASSIFIED centralized “Soviet
Page 62 and 63: UNCLASSIFIED CM-1A CM-1B CM-2A CM-2
Page 64 and 65: UNCLASSIFIED Patang made significan
Page 66 and 67: UNCLASSIFIED Also of note this repo
Page 68 and 69: UNCLASSIFIED areas to continue the
Page 70 and 71: UNCLASSIFIED Figure 17: AAF End Str
Page 72 and 73: UNCLASSIFIED assigned outside of th
Page 74 and 75: UNCLASSIFIED Figure 20: ANASOF Oper
Page 76 and 77: UNCLASSIFIED ANASOF currently opera
Page 78 and 79: UNCLASSIFIED Figure 21: ANSF Enable
Page 80 and 81: UNCLASSIFIED Figure 22: ANA Logisti
Page 82 and 83: UNCLASSIFIED reaching the original
Page 84 and 85: UNCLASSIFIED Corruption and infiltr
Page 86 and 87: UNCLASSIFIED operations is the weak
Page 88 and 89: UNCLASSIFIED The International Poli
Page 90 and 91: UNCLASSIFIED smaller regional nodes
Page 92 and 93: UNCLASSIFIED The still-nascent ANP
Page 94 and 95: UNCLASSIFIED are the development of
Page 96 and 97: UNCLASSIFIED 2.8: AFGHAN PUBLIC PRO
Page 98 and 99: UNCLASSIFIED APPF Tasks and Mission
Page 100 and 101: UNCLASSIFIED APPF Support Criteria
Page 102 and 103:
UNCLASSIFIED CM Definitions CM1 CM2
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UNCLASSIFIED governance and develop
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UNCLASSIFIED However, the shift fro
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UNCLASSIFIED Non-ALP Local Defense
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UNCLASSIFIED Continued ISAF support
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UNCLASSIFIED increasingly unsuitabl
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UNCLASSIFIED Both forces continued
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UNCLASSIFIED Category Metric How it
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UNCLASSIFIED At the NATO summit in
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UNCLASSIFIED Figure 33: ANSF Constr
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UNCLASSIFIED late in the planning p
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UNCLASSIFIED Despite the complex cu
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UNCLASSIFIED exchanging current pro
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UNCLASSIFIED In addition to the man
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UNCLASSIFIED prevent well-intention
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UNCLASSIFIED SECTION 3 - GOVERNANCE
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UNCLASSIFIED related tasks in suppo
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UNCLASSIFIED Within its mandate to
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UNCLASSIFIED to be exclusively run
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UNCLASSIFIED Customs revenues on cr
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UNCLASSIFIED 32 Presently NROLFSM-A
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UNCLASSIFIED The Afghan judicial sy
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UNCLASSIFIED However, there are are
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UNCLASSIFIED Since the first post-2
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UNCLASSIFIED review committee rejec
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UNCLASSIFIED the key points being t
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UNCLASSIFIED Enforcement Administra
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UNCLASSIFIED The CNP-A is the ANP c
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UNCLASSIFIED Afghanistan Threat Fin
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UNCLASSIFIED force; laying a founda
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UNCLASSIFIED pomegranates to 50 pro
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UNCLASSIFIED Continued USDA capacit
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UNCLASSIFIED Afghanistan’s effort
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UNCLASSIFIED Recent developments in
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UNCLASSIFIED For the East-West corr
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UNCLASSIFIED Additionally, DABS, ha
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UNCLASSIFIED Afghan Government. Cur
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UNCLASSIFIED million condoms and or
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UNCLASSIFIED The main U.S. Embassy
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UNCLASSIFIED GAs are full-time posi
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Percentage UNCLASSIFIED 60% Female
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UNCLASSIFIED India supports a varie
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UNCLASSIFIED this reporting period.
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UNCLASSIFIED major source of remitt
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UNCLASSIFIED A.1: MONTHLY SECURITY
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