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Contents Telektronikk - Telenor

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Frame 2<br />

Useful time distributions<br />

Negative exponential distribution (ned)<br />

The most interesting time distribution is the exponential distribution<br />

F(t) = 1 – e –λt ; G(t) = e –λt ; f(t) = λe –λt (16)<br />

with the Laplace transform of f(t)<br />

L{s} = f*(s) = λ/(λ + s) (17)<br />

and the nth derivative<br />

(−1) n L (n) {s} =<br />

(18)<br />

A particular property of the exponential distribution is that the<br />

coefficient of variation c = σ/µ = 1 and the form factor<br />

ε = v/µ 2 + 1 = 2. This is used to distinguish between steep<br />

(c < 1) and flat (c > 1) distributions. It has a positive skewness<br />

s = 2.<br />

Hyperexponential distribution<br />

The hyperexponential distribution is obtained by drawing at<br />

random, with probabilities p 1 , p 2 , p 3 , ... , p k , from different<br />

exponential distribution with parameters λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , ... , λ k<br />

For a true distribution we must have<br />

k<br />

∑ pi = 1<br />

i=1<br />

The n th moment similarly becomes (as the Laplace transform<br />

of a sum is the sum of the Laplace transforms)<br />

Hyperexponential distributions are always flat distributions<br />

(c > 1).<br />

Erlang-k distribution<br />

(19)<br />

(20)<br />

(21)<br />

If k exponentially distributed phases follow in sequence, the<br />

sum distribution is found by convolution of all phases. If all<br />

phases have the same parameter (equal means) we obtain the<br />

special Erlang-k distribution (which is the discrete case of the<br />

Γ-distribution),<br />

f (t) =<br />

λ (λt)k −1<br />

(k −1)! e−λt<br />

n!⋅λ<br />

(λ + s) n+1 ;⇒ M n!<br />

n =<br />

λ n<br />

k<br />

F(t) = 1− ∑ pi ⋅e<br />

i=1<br />

−λ i t ; f (t) = piλ ie −λ<br />

k<br />

∑ i<br />

i=1<br />

t<br />

k<br />

k<br />

n<br />

Mn = ∑ pi ⋅ Mni = n!⋅ ∑ pi / λi i=1<br />

i=1<br />

(22)<br />

Since the Laplace transform of a convolution is the product of<br />

the Laplace transforms of the phases, we have for the special<br />

Erlang-k distribution<br />

k<br />

⎛ λ ⎞<br />

L{s} = ⎜ ⎟<br />

⎝ λ + s ⎠<br />

(23)<br />

and the nth moment is found by<br />

(-1) n ⋅ L (n) {s} = k ⋅ (k + 1) ... (k + n - 1) ⋅ λk /(λ + s) k+n<br />

⇒ Mn = k ⋅ (k + 1) ... (k + n - 1)/λn (24)<br />

The mean value is µ = k/λ. A normalised mean of µ = 1/λ is<br />

obtained by the replacement λ ⇒ kλ or t ⇒ kt in the distribution<br />

and the ensuing expressions. If k → ∞ for the normalised<br />

distribution, all central moments approach zero, and the<br />

Erlang-k distribution approaches the deterministic distribution<br />

with µ = 1/λ.<br />

For an Erlang-k distribution it applies in general that<br />

k<br />

µ = M1 = ∑µ<br />

i<br />

i=1<br />

k<br />

mn = ∑ mni for n = 2or3<br />

i=1<br />

k<br />

mn ≠ ∑ mni for n = 4,5,...<br />

i=1<br />

For the general Erlang-k distribution the phases may have different<br />

parameters (different means). The expressions are not<br />

quite so simple, whereas the character of the distribution is<br />

similar. The particular usefulness of the Erlangian distributions<br />

in a traffic scenario is due to the fact that many traffic<br />

processes contain a sequence of independent phases.<br />

β-distribution<br />

The β-distribution is a two-parameter distribution with a variable<br />

range between 0 and 1, 0 ≤ x ≤ 1. Thus, it is useful for<br />

description of a population with some criterion within this<br />

range, for example average load per destination, urgency of a<br />

call demand on a 0 – 1 scale, etc. The distribution density<br />

function is<br />

f (x) =<br />

Γ(α + β )<br />

Γ(α )⋅Γ(β ) xα −1 ⋅ 1− x<br />

( ) β −1 ;α,β > 0<br />

The n th moment is given by<br />

n−1 (α + i)<br />

Mn = ∏<br />

i=0 (α + β + i)<br />

Typical of the above distributions is<br />

Special Erlang-k: c = 1/√k < 1 (steep, serial)<br />

Exponential (ned): c = 1<br />

Hyperexponential: c > 1 (flat, parallel)<br />

β-distribution: c > 1 for α < 1 and β > α(α + 1)/(1 – α)<br />

c < 1 otherwise<br />

(25)<br />

(26)<br />

11

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