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Contents Telektronikk - Telenor

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The situation is familiar: Some<br />

nice, new communication system<br />

with fancy facilities is installed,<br />

and everybody is happy. Until<br />

some day the system response<br />

gets slow, or blocking occurs<br />

more and more frequently. Something<br />

must be done, but what? In<br />

a simple network it may be a<br />

straightforward matter of adding<br />

capacity, even though on the way<br />

costly time is wasted. In the more<br />

complicated systems diagnosis is<br />

also more difficult. One may have<br />

to do systematic observations and<br />

carry out sophisticated analyses.<br />

The problem is no longer that of<br />

correct operation in accordance<br />

with the functional design of the<br />

system. It is rather a matter of<br />

how to give service to many<br />

uncoordinated users simultaneously<br />

by means of a system<br />

with limited capacity.<br />

With the extremely large and<br />

complicated telecommunications<br />

networks of today two main considerations<br />

may be pointed out: functionality and quality. An<br />

important subset of quality characteristics is that of traffic performance.<br />

A functionally good solution may at times be rather<br />

useless if the traffic dimensioning and control are inadequate. In<br />

this issue of “<strong>Telektronikk</strong>” teletraffic is chosen as the theme in<br />

focus.<br />

In the early days of telephony – around the last turn of the century<br />

– users encountered blocking and waiting situations because<br />

of shared subscriber lines, inadequate switchboard or<br />

operator capacity, or busy or unavailable called users. Later,<br />

trunk lines between switchboards became a concern, and the<br />

introduction of automatic switches – for all their advantages –<br />

stripped the network of intelligent information and control functions.<br />

Many of today’s teletraffic issues were in fact present in<br />

those early systems: shared media, limited transmission and<br />

switching capacities, control system limitations and called side<br />

accessibility. Like in the early days, blocking and delays result.<br />

The first systematic studies of teletraffic were carried out about<br />

ninety years ago. Several people initiated studies of telephone<br />

traffic, using probability theory. However, it was the Danish<br />

scientist A.K. Erlang who pioneered a methodical study that is<br />

still fully valid. His main publications appeared in the period<br />

1909 – 1926, with the most important contribution in 1917.<br />

The state of the development of teletraffic theory today can be<br />

illustrated in several ways. The main forum of contributions is<br />

the International Teletraffic Congress (ITC). Since 1955 fourteen<br />

congresses have taken place with increasing world-wide<br />

participation. Only at the last congress in 1994 more than 1500<br />

publication pages were presented. In addition, an impressive<br />

number of regional and national conferences on the subject take<br />

place. Many other telecommunications conferences include teletraffic<br />

as part of their program, and standards organisations have<br />

teletraffic on their agenda. Teletraffic theory is taught in many<br />

Guest editorial<br />

BY ARNE MYSKJA<br />

universities, journal articles<br />

abound, and numerous textbooks<br />

have appeared. Queuing theory<br />

and operations analysis are concepts<br />

closely related to teletraffic<br />

theory, but distinctions will not<br />

be discussed here.<br />

Traffic definition in itself is<br />

extremely simple. The instant<br />

traffic value at a certain point in a<br />

system is simply A(t) = i(t),<br />

0 ≤ i ≤ n, where i is the number of<br />

occupied servers among n accessible<br />

servers at that point. The<br />

mean traffic value A over a given<br />

interval T is the time integral of<br />

A(t) divided by T. Thus, a traffic<br />

value is simply given by a number<br />

with no denomination. Traffic<br />

is created by calls (arrivals) and<br />

service times, and the most basic<br />

traffic formula is Little’s formula:<br />

A = λ ⋅ s, where λ is the mean<br />

arrival rate in calls per time unit<br />

and s is the mean holding time.<br />

This formula applies to any part<br />

of a system or to the whole system,<br />

and it is independent of distributions, so that the single<br />

parameter A may often replace the two independent λ and s.<br />

Given the simplicity of concept, why then the virtually endless<br />

number of different cases and the complexity of problems? The<br />

answer is best given by first assuming the simplest conditions:<br />

time-invariant basic process, independence between single<br />

events and fully accessible service system. This is one single<br />

case, where only a small set of parameters is a matter of choice.<br />

However, as soon as one or more of these conditions are<br />

dropped, variations are virtually endless. Not only are the cases<br />

numerous, also the analyses grow much more complex.<br />

A question sometimes posed is: When electronics and software<br />

tend to produce functions of control, switching and transmission<br />

at a much lower cost now than earlier, would it be sensible to<br />

avoid sophisticated dimensioning and simply add capacity to be<br />

on the safe side? I readily admit that I find the question worth<br />

considering. Still, the proposition sounds like an echo. At each<br />

new major step in the development of telecom networks the<br />

focus of performance analysis has shifted. Up till now these<br />

shifts have not led to loss of interest in the performance issue.<br />

The increasing frequency of and attendance at teletraffic conferences<br />

bear witness to the opposite. But there is not only that evidence,<br />

there is also good reason behind. Simply trying to guess<br />

the needs would in many cases lead to underprovisioning of<br />

capacity with initial troubles and costly additions, or otherwise<br />

to overdimensioning with unknown amount of unnecessary capital<br />

invested. An interesting observation is that overdimensioning<br />

very often went undetected since nobody ever complained!<br />

My presumption is that one will always need to understand the<br />

mechanisms and to carry out analyses of traffic performance,<br />

whatever are the traffic types, the system solutions and the cost<br />

of establishment and operation. There are no indications that the<br />

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