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Contents Telektronikk - Telenor

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3.1 Measured results<br />

Initial tests showed unacceptable values<br />

for many of the above measurements.<br />

After having made some simple measurements<br />

with an Ohmmeter, insufficient<br />

grounding of the equipment was found to<br />

be the cause. This greatly increased the<br />

performance, but in order to achieve the<br />

results given above the synchronisation<br />

set-up as explained in section 1.5, “The<br />

test set-up” was necessary.<br />

Due to company policy detailed information<br />

about the measured values is not<br />

given in this document. What can be said<br />

is that all of the performance requirements<br />

detailed in the previous chapter<br />

were met.<br />

For many of the measurement intervals<br />

where CLR, CER and CMR were measured,<br />

not a single erroneous event was<br />

recorded.<br />

4 Validity of tests and<br />

test results<br />

All of the tests outlined in the paper were<br />

based on requirements by network operators.<br />

The interfaces used, bandwidth allocated<br />

during test periods, duration of test<br />

period, and the desired results were specified<br />

a priori by network operators. How<br />

to obtain the values for each measurement<br />

were specified by the test group<br />

where the tests were performed.<br />

Much can be said about the validity of<br />

each test, and there is little doubt that<br />

improvements to the tests outlined are<br />

possible. Test equipment is constantly<br />

becoming more advanced, as is the<br />

equipment it is being designed to test.<br />

These tests were made with the equipment<br />

available at the time of testing.<br />

The duration of the measurements is also<br />

a subject for discussion. When attempting<br />

to record rare events such as the<br />

CLR, CER and CMR, months or even<br />

years may be necessary. All we can do in<br />

the time frame available is make a estimate<br />

which will be correct with a certain<br />

probability. This issue and some other<br />

areas which may be subject to improvement<br />

are outlined in the following section.<br />

4.1 Validity of the test set-up<br />

As previously stated, due to several reasons<br />

the tests outlined in this report were<br />

to be kept simple. Firstly, limitations in<br />

both the test equipment and the system<br />

under test (for simplicity only three<br />

switch interfaces were used) presented a<br />

finite number of test configuration possibilities.<br />

It was stated that 80 % Bernoulli background<br />

traffic was to be present in the<br />

switch during the measurement periods.<br />

Bernoulli traffic should have been present<br />

on all switch interfaces simultaneously,<br />

though whether this would have<br />

had any impact on the measurement<br />

results is doubtful.<br />

Secondly, with the short time available<br />

for performing each test and the need to<br />

perform each test a number of times,<br />

simplicity was essential.<br />

4.2 Validity of long measurements<br />

A very important question which has<br />

arisen during the initial stages of these<br />

tests is; “What measurement duration is<br />

necessary in order to be able to estimate<br />

the frequency of rare events, such as the<br />

CLR, with reasonable accuracy”. Though<br />

requirements on the duration of each test<br />

were given by network operators, the following<br />

section outlines some of the<br />

thoughts around this issue.<br />

4.2.1 Rare events and point processes<br />

Let us assume that during some (long)<br />

experiment a number of (rare) events are<br />

observed and counted. The process of<br />

events is described by the mathematical<br />

term point process, and a point process<br />

can be described in two ways; either by<br />

the interval representation or by the<br />

counting representation. In the interval<br />

representation, track is kept of all interarrival<br />

times, and this gives in some<br />

sense a microscopic and very detailed<br />

view of the process. In the counting representation,<br />

a measurement interval is<br />

chosen and the number of events in this<br />

interval is studied. This yields in some<br />

sense a more macroscopic view of the<br />

process.<br />

A basic objective of the experiment is to<br />

estimate the rate (or the probability) of<br />

rare events. The chances of doing this is<br />

very dependent on the a priori knowledge<br />

we have of the process.<br />

If the process is known, more can be<br />

said. If the process under study is a Poisson<br />

process with rate λ, and we take a<br />

measurement interval of length T then<br />

the mean number of events will be λT<br />

and the standard deviation will be √λT.<br />

This implies that with a measurement<br />

period of 100 times the expected time<br />

between events we will be able to say<br />

that the number of events will be between<br />

80 and 120 with approximately<br />

95 % probability. If the measurement<br />

period is only 4 times the expected time<br />

between events there will be no events at<br />

all with 2 % probability and with 95 %<br />

probability there will be between 1 and 8<br />

events, i.e. we have no accurate estimation<br />

of the rate.<br />

If the underlying process is renewal (the<br />

same as Poisson except that the interarrival<br />

time between events is arbitrary<br />

and not exponential), then the more variance<br />

the interarrival time distribution<br />

has, the less can be said. For example, if<br />

the variance is 4 times the case for the<br />

Poisson process the measurement period<br />

of 100 expected interarrival times will<br />

give a 95 % confidence interval of 60 to<br />

140 events.<br />

As this small example shows, the variance<br />

of the underlying process plays a<br />

significant role on the time a measurement<br />

must run before a given accuracy of<br />

the expected rate of rare events can be<br />

given.<br />

If the process is unknown things are even<br />

worse, because it is very unlikely that the<br />

process of the rare events are known in<br />

advance. The cell loss process in ATM<br />

switch buffers is not well understood and<br />

depends very much on the traffic which<br />

is even less understood.<br />

One way to attack the problem is to run a<br />

number M (at least 10) experiments and<br />

try to arrange the experiments such that<br />

they are independent of each other. If we<br />

let Xi denote the number of events in<br />

experiment i, then we have the following<br />

estimates of the mean and variance<br />

X = 1<br />

M<br />

S =<br />

M�<br />

i=1<br />

1<br />

M − 1<br />

Xi<br />

M�<br />

(Xi − X) 2<br />

i=1<br />

Since the Xi ’s are independent we may<br />

approximate their sum by a normal distribution<br />

and obtain quantiles from that.<br />

This method of course has the problem<br />

that the variance is also only an estimate,<br />

and for processes with correlation in time<br />

the uncertainty in the variance estimate<br />

may be significant. The interested reader<br />

is recommended to see [12].<br />

4.2.2 Rare events in the test<br />

measurements<br />

As explained previously, the bandwidth<br />

of the test traffic during the CLR, CER<br />

153

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