Contents Telektronikk - Telenor
Contents Telektronikk - Telenor
Contents Telektronikk - Telenor
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gestion, as determined from the distributions<br />
by p(i = n). Call congestion is<br />
given by the ratio of all calls that arrive<br />
in state i = n. The main cases when call<br />
congestion is different from time congestion<br />
are<br />
- arrivals are Markovian, but state<br />
dependent (binomial, Engset)<br />
- arrivals are non-Markovian.<br />
An illustrating intuitive example of the<br />
latter case is when calls come in bursts<br />
with long breaks in between. During a<br />
burst congestion builds up and many<br />
calls will be lost. The congested state,<br />
however, will only last a short while, and<br />
there will be no congestion until the next<br />
burst, thus keeping time congestion<br />
lower than call congestion. The opposite<br />
is the case if calls come more evenly distributed<br />
than exponential, the extreme<br />
case being the deterministic distribution,<br />
i.e. constant distance between calls.<br />
These cases are of course outside our<br />
present assumptions.<br />
The four cases in Frame 5 are summarised<br />
in Table 3. Some comments:<br />
The Poisson case:<br />
1 With the assumptions of an unlimited<br />
number of servers and a limited overall<br />
arrival rate, there will never be any<br />
calls lost.<br />
2 The memoryless property of the Poisson<br />
case for arrivals does not apply to<br />
the Poisson case for number of customers<br />
in the system. Thus, if we look<br />
at two short adjacent time intervals, the<br />
number of arrivals in the two intervals<br />
bear no correlation whatsoever, whereas<br />
the number in system of the two<br />
intervals are strongly correlated. Still<br />
both cases obey the Poisson distribution.<br />
3 The departure process from the unlimited<br />
server system with Poisson<br />
input is a Poisson process, irrespective<br />
of the holding time distribution. (The<br />
M/G/∞ system.)<br />
4 The Poisson distribution has in some<br />
models been used to estimate loss in a<br />
limited server case (n). Molina introduced<br />
the concept “lost calls held”<br />
(instead of “lost calls cleared”), assuming<br />
that a call arriving in a busy state<br />
stays an ordinary holding time and<br />
possibly in a fictitious manner moves<br />
to occupy a released server. The call is<br />
still considered lost! The model<br />
implies an unlimited Markov chain, so<br />
that the loss probability will be<br />
∞<br />
− A<br />
P{loss} = ∑ p(i) = e A<br />
i=n<br />
i ∞<br />
∑ / i!<br />
i=n<br />
(60)<br />
The Molina model will give a higher loss<br />
probability than Erlang.<br />
The Erlang case:<br />
1 E(n,A) = B(n,A) is the famous Erlang<br />
loss formula. In the deduction of the<br />
formula it is assumed that holding<br />
times are exponential. This is not a<br />
necessary assumption, as the formula<br />
applies to any holding time distribution.<br />
2 If the arrival process is Poisson and the<br />
holding times exponential, then the<br />
departure process from the Erlang system<br />
is also Poisson. This also applies<br />
to the corresponding system with a<br />
queue. (The M/M/n system, Burke’s<br />
theorem.)<br />
The Bernoulli case:<br />
The limited number of sources, being<br />
less than or equal to the number of<br />
servers, guarantees that there will never<br />
be any lost calls, even though all servers<br />
may be busy. The model applies to cases<br />
with few high usage sources with a need<br />
for immediate service.<br />
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26<br />
24<br />
22<br />
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18<br />
16<br />
14<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
The Engset case:<br />
This case may be considered as an intermediate<br />
case between Erlang and<br />
Bernoulli. There will be lost calls, with a<br />
loss probability less than the time congestion,<br />
since B(N,n,b) = E(N–1,n,b)<br />
< E(N,n,b). A curious feature is the analytic<br />
result that offered traffic is dependent<br />
on call congestion. The explanation is<br />
the assumption that the call rate is fixed<br />
for free sources, and with an increasing<br />
loss more calls go back to free state<br />
immediately after a call attempt.<br />
Tabulations and diagrams have been<br />
worked out for Engset, similar to those of<br />
Erlang, however, they are bound to be<br />
much more voluminous because of one<br />
extra parameter.<br />
In principle the Erlang case is a theoretical<br />
limit case for Engset, never to be<br />
reached in practice, so that correctly<br />
Engset should always be used. For practical<br />
reasons that is not feasible. Erlang<br />
will always give the higher loss, thus<br />
being on the conservative side.<br />
A comparison of the four cases presented<br />
in Frame 5 is done in Figure 23, assuming<br />
equal offered traffic and number of<br />
servers (in the server limited cases).<br />
Bernoulli<br />
Engset<br />
Erlang<br />
Poisson<br />
0<br />
0 2 4 6 8 10 12<br />
Figure 23 Comparison of different traffic distributions<br />
21