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Contents Telektronikk - Telenor

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gestion, as determined from the distributions<br />

by p(i = n). Call congestion is<br />

given by the ratio of all calls that arrive<br />

in state i = n. The main cases when call<br />

congestion is different from time congestion<br />

are<br />

- arrivals are Markovian, but state<br />

dependent (binomial, Engset)<br />

- arrivals are non-Markovian.<br />

An illustrating intuitive example of the<br />

latter case is when calls come in bursts<br />

with long breaks in between. During a<br />

burst congestion builds up and many<br />

calls will be lost. The congested state,<br />

however, will only last a short while, and<br />

there will be no congestion until the next<br />

burst, thus keeping time congestion<br />

lower than call congestion. The opposite<br />

is the case if calls come more evenly distributed<br />

than exponential, the extreme<br />

case being the deterministic distribution,<br />

i.e. constant distance between calls.<br />

These cases are of course outside our<br />

present assumptions.<br />

The four cases in Frame 5 are summarised<br />

in Table 3. Some comments:<br />

The Poisson case:<br />

1 With the assumptions of an unlimited<br />

number of servers and a limited overall<br />

arrival rate, there will never be any<br />

calls lost.<br />

2 The memoryless property of the Poisson<br />

case for arrivals does not apply to<br />

the Poisson case for number of customers<br />

in the system. Thus, if we look<br />

at two short adjacent time intervals, the<br />

number of arrivals in the two intervals<br />

bear no correlation whatsoever, whereas<br />

the number in system of the two<br />

intervals are strongly correlated. Still<br />

both cases obey the Poisson distribution.<br />

3 The departure process from the unlimited<br />

server system with Poisson<br />

input is a Poisson process, irrespective<br />

of the holding time distribution. (The<br />

M/G/∞ system.)<br />

4 The Poisson distribution has in some<br />

models been used to estimate loss in a<br />

limited server case (n). Molina introduced<br />

the concept “lost calls held”<br />

(instead of “lost calls cleared”), assuming<br />

that a call arriving in a busy state<br />

stays an ordinary holding time and<br />

possibly in a fictitious manner moves<br />

to occupy a released server. The call is<br />

still considered lost! The model<br />

implies an unlimited Markov chain, so<br />

that the loss probability will be<br />

∞<br />

− A<br />

P{loss} = ∑ p(i) = e A<br />

i=n<br />

i ∞<br />

∑ / i!<br />

i=n<br />

(60)<br />

The Molina model will give a higher loss<br />

probability than Erlang.<br />

The Erlang case:<br />

1 E(n,A) = B(n,A) is the famous Erlang<br />

loss formula. In the deduction of the<br />

formula it is assumed that holding<br />

times are exponential. This is not a<br />

necessary assumption, as the formula<br />

applies to any holding time distribution.<br />

2 If the arrival process is Poisson and the<br />

holding times exponential, then the<br />

departure process from the Erlang system<br />

is also Poisson. This also applies<br />

to the corresponding system with a<br />

queue. (The M/M/n system, Burke’s<br />

theorem.)<br />

The Bernoulli case:<br />

The limited number of sources, being<br />

less than or equal to the number of<br />

servers, guarantees that there will never<br />

be any lost calls, even though all servers<br />

may be busy. The model applies to cases<br />

with few high usage sources with a need<br />

for immediate service.<br />

{%}<br />

26<br />

24<br />

22<br />

20<br />

18<br />

16<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

The Engset case:<br />

This case may be considered as an intermediate<br />

case between Erlang and<br />

Bernoulli. There will be lost calls, with a<br />

loss probability less than the time congestion,<br />

since B(N,n,b) = E(N–1,n,b)<br />

< E(N,n,b). A curious feature is the analytic<br />

result that offered traffic is dependent<br />

on call congestion. The explanation is<br />

the assumption that the call rate is fixed<br />

for free sources, and with an increasing<br />

loss more calls go back to free state<br />

immediately after a call attempt.<br />

Tabulations and diagrams have been<br />

worked out for Engset, similar to those of<br />

Erlang, however, they are bound to be<br />

much more voluminous because of one<br />

extra parameter.<br />

In principle the Erlang case is a theoretical<br />

limit case for Engset, never to be<br />

reached in practice, so that correctly<br />

Engset should always be used. For practical<br />

reasons that is not feasible. Erlang<br />

will always give the higher loss, thus<br />

being on the conservative side.<br />

A comparison of the four cases presented<br />

in Frame 5 is done in Figure 23, assuming<br />

equal offered traffic and number of<br />

servers (in the server limited cases).<br />

Bernoulli<br />

Engset<br />

Erlang<br />

Poisson<br />

0<br />

0 2 4 6 8 10 12<br />

Figure 23 Comparison of different traffic distributions<br />

21

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