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Contents Telektronikk - Telenor

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As already indicated, continuous space is<br />

not very interesting in teletraffic, but it is<br />

sometimes used in mathematical analysis,<br />

when traffic is considered as a diffusion<br />

process, often with rediscretisation<br />

as a final step. Also in intermediate analysis<br />

stages, calculation of fictitious continuous<br />

server groups may be used to<br />

obtain improved accuracy. Time is most<br />

often considered to be continuous, as the<br />

processes studied are often defined by<br />

random events. However, in modern digital<br />

systems synchronous operation may<br />

be better described in discrete time. If<br />

nothing particular is indicated, discrete<br />

space and continuous time is assumed.<br />

This means that at any instant an integer<br />

number of servers are occupied, and that<br />

the number may change at any instant in<br />

continuous time. In a so-called orderly<br />

process (to be discussed later), any<br />

change is by ±1 only.<br />

6 Traffic variations<br />

6.1 Telephone traffic<br />

The traffic load on a traffic carrying system<br />

is subject to more or less regular<br />

variations on different time scales. In<br />

order to understand the causes behind<br />

such variations one has to study the natural<br />

activity patterns of the set of traffic<br />

sources and the resulting behaviour in<br />

relation to the system. This behaviour is<br />

not independent of the system response.<br />

One can imagine a basic traffic potential<br />

under given conditions of a well dimensioned<br />

system and reasonable tariffs. The<br />

system carries that potential, and it can<br />

be said that the system feedback is weak.<br />

If for some reason a narrow bottleneck<br />

occurs, many call attempts fail. The<br />

result is double: 1) some failed attempts<br />

are repeated, thus increasing the call rate<br />

and giving a further rise in the lost call<br />

rate, and 2) some failed attempts lead to<br />

abandonment, thus leading to less carried<br />

useful traffic. (These effects will be discussed<br />

later under repeated calls.) In general<br />

an improved system, as sensed by<br />

the users, and cheaper tariffs are also<br />

feedback that tend to increase the traffic.<br />

In this section we will assume well<br />

dimensioned system and stable tariffs.<br />

We assume a set (N) of traffic sources<br />

that operate independently. This is a realistic<br />

assumption under normal circumstances.<br />

The service system consists of a<br />

set of servers (n), where n is large enough<br />

to carry the traffic demand at any time. A<br />

time function of the number of busy<br />

servers depicts the stochastic variation of<br />

the carried traffic. It is a discontinuous<br />

curve with steps of ±1 occurring at irregular<br />

intervals, as shown in Figure 3.<br />

An observation period T is indicated, and<br />

it is possible to define an average traffic<br />

Am (T). At this point it is convenient to<br />

define a traffic volume, being the integral<br />

under the traffic curve<br />

� T<br />

V (T )= r(t)dt<br />

(1)<br />

r(t)<br />

t 0<br />

o<br />

where r(t) is the number of busy servers<br />

(the instantaneous traffic value) at time t.<br />

The mean traffic value is given by<br />

V (T )<br />

Am(T )= (2)<br />

T<br />

A 24-hour integration gives the total traffic<br />

volume of that period, and hence<br />

A mom -Poisson traffic σ 2 =m<br />

A mid<br />

Observation period T<br />

Figure 3 Stochastic traffic variations over an observation period T<br />

Busy hour<br />

t 0 +T<br />

n 1 +n 2<br />

Overflow<br />

traffic<br />

σ 2 >m<br />

n 1<br />

Smoothed<br />

traffic<br />

σ 2

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