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PDF: 2962 pages, 5.2 MB - Bay Area Council Economic Institute

PDF: 2962 pages, 5.2 MB - Bay Area Council Economic Institute

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Two-Way Trade: Slow but Steady<br />

More recently, as the Doha Round of global trade talks has foundered, the U.S. has rejected<br />

Indian proposals for differentiated tariff cuts for developing and industrialized countries and has<br />

called for repeal of export bans, announced in June 2008 in the name of food security, on certain<br />

rice and edible oils exports.<br />

All of these difficulties notwithstanding, there are also positive developments regarding U.S.-India trade:<br />

• In May 2007, the U.S. reversed a 1989 ban on Indian mangoes after India agreed to use irradiation<br />

in place of chemical pesticides and to open its market to U.S. motorcycle exports.<br />

• In December 2006, a bilateral working group of U.S. and Indian legal experts was established,<br />

including representatives of the American Bar Association and the Bar <strong>Council</strong> of<br />

India, with a goal of facilitating trade in legal services between the two countries.<br />

• Since 2002, a U.S.-India High-Technology Cooperation Group has collaborated to upgrade<br />

information security in government and commercial operations and, subsequently,<br />

to ease restrictions on U.S. dual-use technology exports to India.<br />

• An Agricultural Knowledge Initiative formed in July 2005 has funded collaborative<br />

exchanges and training programs in areas such as cold chain technology; sanitary and<br />

phytosanitary techniques; agricultural marketing; biotech standards and regulations; and<br />

water resources management.<br />

Wine Trade with India: Not the Best Pairing…Yet<br />

Despite the Indian government’s easing of some duties on imported wines in July 2007, California<br />

shipments have not markedly improved and trade issues with India involving wine and distilled<br />

spirits remain contentious for both the U.S and the European Union.<br />

The wine market in India remains relatively small—an estimated 700,000 Indian consumers<br />

drank about 7.8 million bottles in 2006—but it has been growing at a rate of 30% annually since<br />

1999. Consumption is forecast to reach 9.76 million bottles by 2010. India also has a domestic<br />

wine industry, consisting of some 65 wineries and 170,000 vineyard acres, mostly table grapes,<br />

under cultivation throughout the country. Over 2004–2008, India’s vineyard acreage has increased<br />

by 5.8%; grape production has risen by 36.1% to 1.8 million tons in 2008; and domestic<br />

wine production and consumption have each grown by 98%. In the same period, exports rose<br />

492% and imports rose 267%, both from small baseline levels, according to figures provided by<br />

the Wine <strong>Institute</strong>, a San Francisco-based trade group.<br />

U.S. wine export sales to India dropped off dramatically in 2008—to $525,000 from $1.6 million<br />

in 2007—due in large part to impacts from the global economic downturn on luxury goods sales<br />

and on business travel and tourism. A major share of U.S. wine sales in India (90% made up of<br />

wines from California) are to luxury hotels and airport duty-free shops, which both enjoy a dutyfree<br />

exemption.<br />

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