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Cost Accounting (14th Edition)

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NONLINEAR COST FUNCTIONS 361<br />

Exhibit 10-12<br />

Plots for Cumulative Average-Time Learning Model and Incremental Unit-Time Learning<br />

Model for Rayburn Corporation<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

6<br />

7<br />

8<br />

9<br />

10<br />

11<br />

12<br />

13<br />

14<br />

15<br />

16<br />

17<br />

18<br />

Cumulative Average Time per<br />

Unit (Labor-Hours) (Y)<br />

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

Panel A: Cumulative Average Time per Unit<br />

(80% Learning Curve; First Unit Takes 100 Labor-Hours)<br />

Incremental Unit-Time<br />

Learning Model<br />

Cumulative Average-Time<br />

Learning Model<br />

0<br />

0 16 32 48 64 80 96 112 128<br />

Cumulative Number of Units<br />

(X)<br />

Cumulative Total Labor-Hours<br />

(Y)<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

1000<br />

Panel B: Cumulative Total Labor-Hours<br />

(80% Learning Curve; First Unit Takes 100 Labor-Hours)<br />

Incremental Unit-Time<br />

Learning Model<br />

Cumulative Average-Time<br />

Learning Model<br />

0<br />

0 16 32 48 64 80 96 112 128<br />

Cumulative Number of Units<br />

(X)<br />

The incremental unit-time learning model predicts a higher cumulative total time to produce<br />

2 or more units than the cumulative average-time learning model, assuming the same<br />

learning rate for both models. That is, in Exhibit 10-12, Panel B, the graph for the 80%<br />

incremental unit-time learning model lies above the graph for the 80% cumulative averagetime<br />

learning model. If we compare the results in Exhibit 10-10 (column D) with the results<br />

in Exhibit 10-11 (column D), to produce 4 cumulative units, the 80% incremental unit-time<br />

learning model predicts 314.21 labor-hours versus 256.00 labor-hours predicted by the 80%<br />

cumulative average-time learning model. That’s because under the cumulative average-time<br />

learning model average labor-hours needed to produce all 4 units is 64 hours; the labor-hour<br />

amount needed to produce unit 4 is much less than 64 hours—it is 45.37 hours (see<br />

Exhibit 10-10). Under the incremental unit-time learning model, the labor-hour amount<br />

needed to produce unit 4 is 64 hours, and the labor-hours needed to produce the first 3 units<br />

are more than 64 hours, so average time needed to produce all 4 units is more than 64 hours.<br />

How do managers choose which model and what percent learning curve to use? It is<br />

important to recognize that managers make their choices on a case-by-case basis. For example,<br />

if the behavior of manufacturing labor-hour usage as production levels increase follows<br />

a pattern like the one predicted by the 80% learning curve cumulative average-time learning<br />

model, then the 80% learning curve cumulative average-time learning model should be used.<br />

Engineers, plant managers, and workers are good sources of information on the amount and<br />

type of learning actually occurring as production increases. Plotting this information and<br />

estimating the model that best fits the data is helpful in selecting the appropriate model. 2<br />

Incorporating Learning-Curve Effects into Prices<br />

and Standards<br />

How do companies use learning curves? Consider the data in Exhibit 10-10 for the<br />

cumulative average-time learning model at Rayburn Corporation. Suppose variable costs<br />

subject to learning effects consist of direct manufacturing labor, at $20 per hour, and<br />

related overhead, at $30 per direct manufacturing labor-hour. Managers should predict<br />

the costs shown in Exhibit 10-13.<br />

These data show that the effects of the learning curve could have a major influence on<br />

decisions. For example, managers at Rayburn Corporation might set an extremely low<br />

selling price on its radar systems to generate high demand. As its production increases to<br />

meet this growing demand, cost per unit drops. Rayburn “rides the product down the<br />

2 For details, see C. Bailey, “Learning Curve Estimation of Production <strong>Cost</strong>s and Labor-Hours Using a Free Excel Add-In,”<br />

Management <strong>Accounting</strong> Quarterly, (Summer 2000: 25–31). Free software for estimating learning curves is available at<br />

Dr. Bailey’s Web site, www.profbailey.com.

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