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Cost Accounting (14th Edition)

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370 CHAPTER 10 DETERMINING HOW COSTS BEHAVE<br />

Exhibit 10-15<br />

Constant Variance of Residuals Assumption<br />

PANEL A:<br />

Constant Variance<br />

(Uniform Scatter of Data<br />

Points Around Regression Line)<br />

PANEL B:<br />

Nonconstant Variance<br />

(Higher Outputs Have<br />

Larger Residuals)<br />

Indirect Manufacturing<br />

Labor <strong>Cost</strong>s (Y)<br />

$4,000<br />

$3,000<br />

$2,000<br />

$1,000<br />

Indirect Manufacturing<br />

Labor <strong>Cost</strong>s (Y)<br />

$4,000<br />

$3,000<br />

$2,000<br />

$1,000<br />

50 100 150 200 250<br />

Machine-Hours (X)<br />

50 100 150 200 250<br />

Machine-Hours (X)<br />

areas that have higher machine-hours and higher indirect manufacturing labor costs. There would not be a uniform<br />

scatter of data points about the regression line (see Exhibit 10-15, Panel B). Constant variance is also known<br />

as homoscedasticity. Violation of this assumption is called heteroscedasticity.<br />

Heteroscedasticity does not affect the accuracy of the regression estimates a and b. It does, however, reduce<br />

the reliability of the estimates of the standard errors and thus affects the precision with which inferences about the<br />

population parameters can be drawn from the regression estimates.<br />

3. Independence of residuals. The assumption of independence of residuals is that the residual term for any one<br />

observation is not related to the residual term for any other observation. The problem of serial correlation (also<br />

called autocorrelation) in the residuals arises when there is a systematic pattern in the sequence of residuals such<br />

that the residual in observation n conveys information about the residuals in observations n + 1, n + 2, and so on.<br />

Consider another production cell at Elegant Rugs that has, over a 20-week period, seen an increase in production<br />

and hence machine-hours. Exhibit 10-16 Panel B is a scatter diagram of machine-hours and indirect manufacturing<br />

labor costs. Observe the systematic pattern of the residuals in Panel B—positive residuals for extreme (high<br />

and low) quantities of machine-hours and negative residuals for moderate quantities of machine-hours. One reason<br />

for this observed pattern at low values of the cost driver is the “stickiness” of costs. When machine-hours are<br />

below 50 hours, indirect manufacturing labor costs do not decline. When machine-hours increase over time as<br />

production is ramped up, indirect manufacturing labor costs increase more as managers at Elegant Rugs struggle<br />

Exhibit 10-16<br />

PANEL A:<br />

Independence of Residuals<br />

(No Pattern in Residuals)<br />

Independence of Residuals Assumption<br />

PANEL B:<br />

Serial Correlation in Residuals<br />

(A Pattern of Positive Residuals for<br />

Extreme Machine-Hours Used;<br />

Negative Residuals for Moderate<br />

Machine-Hours Used)<br />

Indirect Manufacturing Labor<br />

<strong>Cost</strong>s (Y)<br />

$3000<br />

$2500<br />

$2000<br />

$1500<br />

$1000<br />

$500<br />

Indirect Manufacturing Labor<br />

<strong>Cost</strong>s (Y)<br />

$3000<br />

$2500<br />

$2000<br />

$1500<br />

$1000<br />

$500<br />

50 100 150 200 250<br />

Machine-Hours (X)<br />

50 100 150 200 250<br />

Machine-Hours (X)

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