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The Economics of Desertification, Land Degradation, and Drought

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Table 6.1—<strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> resources <strong>and</strong> severity <strong>of</strong> l<strong>and</strong> degradation<br />

Country Arable l<strong>and</strong> area per<br />

capita (ha)<br />

<strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> area under ASAL<br />

(% <strong>of</strong> total l<strong>and</strong> area)<br />

101<br />

Soil erosion hazard<br />

(% <strong>of</strong> area)<br />

India 0.18 72 29 1<br />

Kenya 0.32 80 22 5<br />

Niger 0.44 94 7 1<br />

Peru < 0.005 34 30 0<br />

Uzbekistan 0.21 91 3 13<br />

Source: TERRASTAT 2010.<br />

Note: ASAL =Arid <strong>and</strong> semi-arid l<strong>and</strong>s.<br />

Uzbekistan<br />

Economic Effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> <strong>Degradation</strong> in Uzbekistan<br />

% <strong>of</strong><br />

sodicity<br />

<strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> degradation is severe in Central Asia, reducing the productivity <strong>and</strong> threatening the livelihoods<br />

<strong>of</strong> millions <strong>of</strong> farmers <strong>and</strong> pastoralists. Major problems include salinity <strong>and</strong> soil erosion, which affect<br />

more than half <strong>of</strong> the irrigated cropl<strong>and</strong> in some <strong>of</strong> Central Asian countries. In part due to l<strong>and</strong><br />

degradation, as well as other factors, average yields have declined in many areas by 20–30 percent,<br />

contributing to worsening rural poverty <strong>and</strong> vulnerability. Negative environmental impacts include the<br />

drying <strong>of</strong> the Aral Sea, water <strong>and</strong> air pollution caused by salinization <strong>and</strong> erosion, loss <strong>of</strong> biodiversity,<br />

<strong>and</strong> reduced provision <strong>of</strong> ecosystem services.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Republic <strong>of</strong> Uzbekistan suffers from an environmental degradation crisis that makes<br />

sustainable development very challenging. <strong>The</strong> prevailing arid climate requires that cultivated crops<br />

be intensively irrigated. Population growth <strong>and</strong> the ensuing development <strong>of</strong> new cropl<strong>and</strong> have caused<br />

an increase in water withdrawals, which, in turn, caused a potentially damaging water–salt imbalance<br />

(Stulina et al. 2005). Between 40 <strong>and</strong> 60 percent <strong>of</strong> irrigated cropl<strong>and</strong>s in Central Asia are salt<br />

affected or waterlogged (Qadir et al. 2008). <strong>The</strong> groundwater table is less than 2 meters deep in about<br />

one-third <strong>of</strong> the irrigated l<strong>and</strong>s <strong>of</strong> Uzbekistan, <strong>and</strong> in some regions, the share <strong>of</strong> waterlogged l<strong>and</strong>s is<br />

as high as 92 percent (CACILM 2006). Between 1990 <strong>and</strong> 2001, the area <strong>of</strong> saline l<strong>and</strong>s in<br />

Uzbekistan increased by 33 percent, while the area <strong>of</strong> highly saline l<strong>and</strong>s more than doubled<br />

(Khusamov et al 2009).<br />

Other l<strong>and</strong> degradation problems in irrigated areas include soil erosion, soil compaction, <strong>and</strong><br />

soil fertility depletion. Especially in sloping <strong>and</strong> poorly leveled areas, irrigation can be a significant<br />

source <strong>of</strong> water-induced soil erosion. Common cropping practices used in Central Asia, which usually<br />

leave exposed soil between rows <strong>of</strong> cotton or wheat <strong>and</strong> which involve intensive tillage, expose the<br />

soil to significant erosion. Poorly constructed <strong>and</strong> maintained irrigation <strong>and</strong> drainage systems, as well<br />

as excessive use <strong>of</strong> irrigation at high rates <strong>of</strong> flow, also cause significant erosion problems. In<br />

Uzbekistan, approximately 800,000 hectares <strong>of</strong> irrigated cropl<strong>and</strong> are estimated to be subject to<br />

serious soil erosion due to poor agricultural practices (poor l<strong>and</strong> leveling, poor irrigation practices,<br />

<strong>and</strong> so on), with annual soil losses <strong>of</strong> up to 80 tons per hectare <strong>of</strong> fertile topsoil (CACILM 2006).<br />

More than 50 percent <strong>of</strong> farml<strong>and</strong> in Uzbekistan is estimated to suffer from serious wind erosion;<br />

according to CACILM (2006), soil organic matter has declined by 30–40 percent.<br />

In 2008, IFPRI conducted a study on sustainable l<strong>and</strong> management in Central Asia. In this<br />

study, Pender, Mirzabaev <strong>and</strong> Kato (2009) used a crop modeling s<strong>of</strong>tware, called the Decision<br />

Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (Jones et al. 2003), to predict wheat <strong>and</strong> cotton yield<br />

responses to alternative levels <strong>of</strong> nitrogen fertilizer use <strong>and</strong>, for one <strong>of</strong> these sites, to reduced tillage<br />

practices. Data on fertilization rates, irrigation, agronomic practices, prices, <strong>and</strong> production costs were<br />

used to estimate costs <strong>and</strong> returns <strong>of</strong> alternative fertilizer <strong>and</strong> tillage options. We used the same data<br />

set but a different crop modeling tool (CropSyst; Stockle, Donatelli, <strong>and</strong> Nelson 2003) to assess the<br />

economic impact <strong>of</strong> soil salinity <strong>and</strong> soil erosion on wheat <strong>and</strong> cotton 62 production. For both cases, we<br />

simulated yields for a 10-year period <strong>and</strong> used the average for the period to compute the impact on<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>it.<br />

62 We looked at the effects <strong>of</strong> salinity, ceteris paribus. We assumed that farmers continued using the same mix <strong>of</strong> inputs

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