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The Economics of Desertification, Land Degradation, and Drought

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Table 2.4—Continued<br />

Location 10 20 30 40 50<br />

Tibetan Plateau -0.063 - 0.130 -0.166 - 0.208 - 0.206<br />

Eastern Asia 0.011 0.023 0.053 0.083 0.093<br />

South Asia <strong>and</strong> Oceania<br />

Southeast Asia - 0.011 - 0.016 - 0.026 - 0.031 - 0.009<br />

South Asia 0.022 0.031 0.037 0.032 0.032<br />

Australia -0.082 -0.191 - 0.258 - 0.319 - 0.318<br />

North America<br />

Alaska -0.115 - 0.206 - 0.238 -0.241 -0.207<br />

Western North America -0.052 -0.113 - 0.195 - 0.248 -0.279<br />

Central North America -0.108 - 0.199 - 0.264 - 0.325 - 0.376<br />

Eastern North America -0.050 -0.108 - 0.152 - 0.177 - 0.185<br />

Northeastern Canada - 0.181 - 0.315 -0.407 - 0.481 - 0.509<br />

South America<br />

Central America -0.060 - 0.118 -0.139 - 0.130 -0.111<br />

Amazon -0.069 -0.125 - 0.172 -0.216 - 0.238<br />

Southern South America -0.034 - 0.090 - 0.155 - 0.214 - 0.258<br />

Source: Sheffield <strong>and</strong> Wood 2008.<br />

Table 2.5—Estimated effect <strong>of</strong> climate change on drought frequency in 2030<br />

Southeast<br />

Asia<br />

38<br />

South<br />

Asia<br />

East<br />

Africa<br />

Central<br />

America<br />

Baseline frequency (1992–2008) 3 7 10 4<br />

Baseline frequency/10 years 1.8 4.2 6.1 2.4<br />

Low impact (percentage change) 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

Frequency/10 years (2030) 1.8 4.2 6.1 2.4<br />

Medium impact (percentage change) 5% 5% 10% 10%<br />

Frequency/10 years (2030) 1.9 4.5 6.7 2.7<br />

High impact (percentage change) 10% 10% 20% 20%<br />

Frequency/10 years (2030) 2.0 4.7 7.3 2.9<br />

Source: Webster et al. 2008.<br />

Types <strong>of</strong> <strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> <strong>Degradation</strong><br />

<strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> degradation can be classified according to different types: physical, chemical, <strong>and</strong> biological<br />

processes. <strong>The</strong>se types do not necessarily occur individually; spiral feedbacks between processes are <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

present (Katyal <strong>and</strong> Vlek 2000). Physical l<strong>and</strong> degradation processes refer to erosion; soil organic carbon<br />

loss; changes in the soil’s physical structure, such as compaction or crusting <strong>and</strong> waterlogging (that is,<br />

water accumulates close to or above the soil surface). Chemical processes, on the other h<strong>and</strong>, include<br />

leaching, salinization, acidification, nutrient imbalances, <strong>and</strong> fertility depletion. According to Hein<br />

(2007), soil erosion, whether induced by water or wind, involves translocation <strong>of</strong> topsoil from one place<br />

to another <strong>and</strong> represents the most important l<strong>and</strong> degradation problem. Pimentel (2006) estimated that<br />

about 30 percent <strong>of</strong> the global arable l<strong>and</strong> has been severely eroded in the past 40 years. Soil productivity<br />

is lost through reduced rooting depth, removed plant nutrients, <strong>and</strong> physical loss <strong>of</strong> topsoil. One important<br />

feature <strong>of</strong> soil erosion by water is the selective removal <strong>of</strong> the finer <strong>and</strong> more fertile fraction <strong>of</strong> the soil<br />

(Stocking <strong>and</strong> Murnaghan 2005).<br />

Figure 2.18 gives an overview <strong>of</strong> methods used to assess different types <strong>of</strong> l<strong>and</strong> degradation.<br />

Although most <strong>of</strong> the assessments are done on the local level, some methods are available for assessing<br />

types <strong>of</strong> l<strong>and</strong> degradation on large areas, such as the analysis <strong>of</strong> vegetation or the monitoring <strong>of</strong> water<br />

turbidity modeling.

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