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The Economics of Desertification, Land Degradation, and Drought

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small changes: How much does it cost to generate a small improvement <strong>of</strong> DLDD-affected l<strong>and</strong>s? 3<br />

Further, the definition <strong>of</strong> marginal changes in DLDD is usually determined by changes that can be<br />

brought about by specific l<strong>and</strong> conservation policies (for example, planted hedgerows to prevent<br />

erosion) or sometimes by specific levels <strong>of</strong> mitigation policies (for example, fertilizers to compensate<br />

for low soil nutrients). “[<strong>The</strong>] valuation <strong>of</strong> [the] marginal changes is anchored into specific ‘states <strong>of</strong><br />

the world’ generated from counterfactual scenarios where a specific policy action is either adopted or<br />

not” (Balmford et al. 2008, 7-8). <strong>The</strong> states <strong>of</strong> the world in a specific area are determined by economic<br />

geography, l<strong>and</strong> use, population distribution, <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> conservation <strong>and</strong> DLDD mitigation strategies,<br />

as well as external factors, such as climate. Actions against DLDD, based on empirical evidence, are<br />

used to generate different states <strong>of</strong> the world using projection scenarios <strong>and</strong> simulations.<br />

Site-Specific Valuation<br />

Naturally, the impacts <strong>of</strong> specific actions on specific types <strong>of</strong> DLDD, such as terracing against<br />

erosion, are highly site <strong>and</strong> case specific. Hence, the description <strong>of</strong> the state <strong>of</strong> the world is usually a<br />

description <strong>of</strong> the state <strong>of</strong> the site. Due to the time restrictions under which this report was compiled,<br />

it was not possible to be exhaustive in the list <strong>and</strong> types <strong>of</strong> sites that were covered. Rather,<br />

acknowledging the need to be site specific in the valuation <strong>of</strong> the costs <strong>of</strong> DLDD (action versus<br />

inaction), we review <strong>and</strong> propose methodologies to be subsequently applied to a wide range <strong>of</strong> case<br />

studies. <strong>The</strong> case studies presented in this report serve the purpose <strong>of</strong> illustrating these methodologies.<br />

Time Dependence <strong>and</strong> Discounting<br />

<strong>Degradation</strong> <strong>of</strong> an ecosystem may not translate directly or immediately into a loss <strong>of</strong> services.<br />

Ecosystems can take up to a certain level <strong>of</strong> degradation <strong>and</strong> then start to decline rapidly (TEEB<br />

2009). <strong>The</strong> impacts <strong>of</strong> specific DLDD processes <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> the actions used to mitigate them are felt<br />

through time, in a way that is most <strong>of</strong>ten nonlinear. For instance, whereas terracing might have a<br />

direct <strong>and</strong> stable affect on erosion levels (when all other components <strong>of</strong> the state <strong>of</strong> the site are kept<br />

constant), the impact <strong>of</strong> afforestation on nitrogen cycling is clearly time dependent. Similarly, the<br />

impacts <strong>of</strong> specific l<strong>and</strong> degradation processes on the provision <strong>of</strong> ecosystem services vary across<br />

time. For instance, erosion has a nonlinear impact on crop yields, as the erosion <strong>of</strong> top soil depletes<br />

nutrients mostly early in the process, thus rapidly affecting crop yields; further erosion, however,<br />

shows limited impact on soil. Hence, an analysis <strong>of</strong> erosion might show no impact on agricultural<br />

yields, even though or because the crucial resource (top soil) has already been depleted. With such<br />

dynamic processes <strong>and</strong> links, we must ideally value ecosystem services in a nonstatic way,<br />

aggregating the economic value <strong>of</strong> terrestrial ecosystem benefits through time. <strong>The</strong> impacts <strong>of</strong><br />

marginal changes in DLDD are then expressed in terms <strong>of</strong> their impact on the discounted value <strong>of</strong> a<br />

stream <strong>of</strong> terrestrial ecosystem benefits. <strong>The</strong> benefits are discounted in order to compare the value <strong>of</strong><br />

the aggregation <strong>of</strong> present <strong>and</strong> future benefit streams, expressed in terms <strong>of</strong> their value at a common<br />

point in time—the present. <strong>The</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> inaction is equal to the difference between the sums <strong>of</strong> the<br />

discounted ecosystem benefits <strong>and</strong> their direct <strong>and</strong> indirect effects under the action <strong>and</strong> inaction<br />

scenarios (the former should be higher than the latter, unless DLDD is broadly beneficial to human<br />

well-being <strong>and</strong> DLDD-preventing investment is not competitive with alternative investments in<br />

human well-being in the long run). <strong>The</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> action is equal to the discounted costs <strong>of</strong> the different<br />

DLDD prevention, mitigation, or restoration costs, including their <strong>of</strong>f-site, indirect, <strong>and</strong> future costs.<br />

<strong>The</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> preventing l<strong>and</strong> degradation will be much smaller than the cost <strong>of</strong> rehabilitating already<br />

severely degraded l<strong>and</strong>s (see Figure 1.3). Hence, costs <strong>of</strong> action will increase the more actions against<br />

DLDD are delayed.<br />

3 This approach can pose problems when there are abrupt (“nonlinear” in economic jargon) changes in the relationship<br />

between the level <strong>of</strong> DLDD <strong>and</strong> the provision <strong>of</strong> terrestrial ecosystem services. <strong>The</strong>refore, particular attention must be paid<br />

to the study <strong>of</strong> drivers <strong>of</strong> these relationships.<br />

7

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