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The Economics of Desertification, Land Degradation, and Drought

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Box 2.2—Socioeconomic determinants <strong>of</strong> l<strong>and</strong> degradation according to GLADIS<br />

Within the GLADIS approach, six axes were used to get a broad <strong>and</strong> interdisciplinary view <strong>of</strong> l<strong>and</strong> degradation.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Economic Indicators for Ecosystems consist <strong>of</strong> the Economic Production Status <strong>of</strong> Ecosystems, the<br />

Livestock Economic Status, the Forest Economic Status, <strong>and</strong> Trends <strong>of</strong> Agricultural <strong>and</strong> Forestry Production.<br />

Within the Economic Production Status for agricultural l<strong>and</strong>, two variables were used: an average crop<br />

yield for the year 2000—estimated in Global Agro-Ecological Zones (GAEZs) 17 —<strong>and</strong> a statistical database,<br />

mainly from FAOSTAT, on major agricultural crops. <strong>The</strong> average crop yield was measured in the international<br />

Geary-Khamis price 18 <strong>of</strong> 2000/01. Within the resource database, rainfed areas were distinguished from irrigated<br />

areas.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Livestock Economic Status includes information on climate regions (polar, desert, tropical, boreal,<br />

subtropical, <strong>and</strong> temperate), as well as on regional weighted averages <strong>of</strong> cattle <strong>and</strong> small ruminants shown in a<br />

livestock intensity map, according to Nachtergaele <strong>and</strong> Petri (2008). 19<br />

Data on 2006 national forest GDP (Lebedys 2008) was the input for the global map on Forest<br />

Economic Status. A classification value from 0 (low) to 100 (high) for the year 2006, incorporating the country<br />

gross value, which was added to the forest sector, indicates the value <strong>of</strong> this index.<br />

Within the analysis maps, the axis inputs were calculated <strong>and</strong> combined to depict both l<strong>and</strong> degradation<br />

status <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> degradation process. <strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> degradation trends include trends on national agricultural production<br />

analyzed with livestock <strong>and</strong> crop data from 1990 <strong>and</strong> 2003, taken from FAOSTAT data. Moreover forestry<br />

trends were taken into account by comparing data on forestry production in U.S. dollars from 1990 <strong>and</strong> 2006<br />

(Lebedys 2008).<br />

<strong>The</strong> Economic Production Status analysis for agricultural l<strong>and</strong> reveals high economic output in<br />

countries such as the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s, Belgium, the United Kingdom, France, <strong>and</strong> Germany relative to many<br />

developing countries, which are situated in dryl<strong>and</strong>s <strong>and</strong> which have low economic output. <strong>The</strong> l<strong>and</strong> degradation<br />

trend analysis shows an increasing trend <strong>of</strong> crop <strong>and</strong> livestock production in Sub-Saharan Africa, Brazil, <strong>and</strong><br />

several parts <strong>of</strong> Southeast Asia. A low trend is also clearly seen in Central <strong>and</strong> Eastern Europe. <strong>The</strong> overall<br />

trends <strong>of</strong> agricultural <strong>and</strong> forest production depict high values (an increasing trend) in Brazil, Sub-Saharan<br />

Africa, <strong>and</strong> the eastern parts <strong>of</strong> China, <strong>and</strong> low trends in Norway, Japan, <strong>and</strong> Indonesia. <strong>The</strong>se results should be<br />

seen as being related to the input factors that concentrate on agricultural production, livestock, <strong>and</strong> forest areas.<br />

In general, dryl<strong>and</strong>s (such as arid <strong>and</strong> semiarid Sub-Saharan Africa) have a lower agricultural output <strong>and</strong> only<br />

limited forest areas; therefore, they <strong>of</strong> course show low values in the status analysis. <strong>The</strong> trend analysis takes<br />

into account different time series—agricultural production <strong>of</strong> 1990 <strong>and</strong> 2003, <strong>and</strong> forestry trends comparing a<br />

dataset <strong>of</strong> 1990 <strong>and</strong> 2006. It should be questioned whether this analysis is still representative because <strong>of</strong> the<br />

different periods used, even if the starting points <strong>of</strong> the time series are the same.<br />

Global accessibility, tourism, protected areas, <strong>and</strong> the Human Development Index (HDI) are building<br />

the sixth axes on Social <strong>and</strong> Cultural Provisions <strong>of</strong> Ecosystems.<br />

17 According to Fischer, Van Velthuizen, <strong>and</strong> Nachtergaele (2000:4), the GAEZs provide “a st<strong>and</strong>ardized framework<br />

for the characterization <strong>of</strong> climate, soil, <strong>and</strong> terrain conditions relevant to agricultural production.” <strong>The</strong>refore several<br />

determinants, such as the length <strong>of</strong> the growing period <strong>and</strong> the latitudinal thermal climates, were incorporated in this<br />

approach. Moreover, the GAEZs depict limitations in climate, including soil <strong>and</strong> terrain resources, which do have an impact<br />

on crops.<br />

18 <strong>The</strong> Geary-Khamis price is an average price method that “entails valuing a matrix <strong>of</strong> quantities using a vector <strong>of</strong><br />

international prices. <strong>The</strong> vector is obtained by averaging national prices across participating countries after they have been<br />

converted to a common currency with purchase power parities (PPP) <strong>and</strong> real final expenditures above the basic heading”<br />

(UN 1992: http://unstats.un.org/unsd/methods/icp/ipco_htm.htm).<br />

19 <strong>The</strong> livestock intensity map is based on a map <strong>of</strong> Global Livestock Production Systems (Thornton et al. 2002) <strong>and</strong><br />

data on cattle <strong>and</strong> small ruminants (Wint & Robinson 2007).<br />

31

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