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Measuring the Benefits of Intercity Passenger Rail: A Study

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<strong>the</strong> average scores for its peer group, o<strong>the</strong>r state-supported and o<strong>the</strong>r short-distance corridors. In<br />

FFY 2009, <strong>the</strong> Heartland Flyer average overall CSI score and percent very satisfied ranked<br />

second among <strong>the</strong> 26 routes in this category.<br />

On-Time Performance<br />

One measure <strong>of</strong> importance to <strong>the</strong> patronage <strong>of</strong> current intercity passenger rail service<br />

and <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> new markets for passenger rail is <strong>the</strong> on-time performance <strong>of</strong> intercity<br />

passenger rail routes. Arguably, travel time reliability is likely a major determinant in travelers’<br />

decision to use passenger rail for a trip. Therefore, improving travel time reliability (i.e.,<br />

consistent on-time performance) would likely increase ridership on a route. Amtrak defines<br />

trains as “late” with performance thresholds according to <strong>the</strong> total endpoint-to-endpoint distance<br />

<strong>of</strong> a route, as follows:<br />

• Routes up to 250 miles: Arrival at endpoint more than 10 minutes behind schedule;<br />

• Routes between 251 and 350 miles: more than 15 minutes behind schedule;<br />

• Routes between 351 and 450 miles: more than 20 minutes behind schedule;<br />

• Routes between 451 and 550 miles: more than 25 minutes behind schedule; and<br />

• Routes above 551 miles: more than 30 minutes behind schedule.<br />

Amtrak reports that for FFY 2009, <strong>the</strong> on-time performance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 206-mile Heartland Flyer was<br />

83.3 percent, which means that five out <strong>of</strong> every six Heartland Flyer trains arrived at <strong>the</strong><br />

endpoint within 10 minutes <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> scheduled time. Figure 3-9 shows <strong>the</strong> monthly percent on-<br />

time for <strong>the</strong> Heartland Flyer between January 2004 and <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> FFY 2009.<br />

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