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2007 Summaries of Wildlife Research Findings - Minnesota State ...

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Probability <strong>of</strong> detection<br />

Probability <strong>of</strong> detection<br />

Probability <strong>of</strong> detection<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

0.0<br />

0 10 20 30<br />

Wind speed (km/hr)<br />

0.7<br />

0.6<br />

0.5<br />

0.4<br />

0.3<br />

0.2<br />

0.1<br />

0.0<br />

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0<br />

1.0<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

384<br />

Cloud cover (proportion)<br />

0.0<br />

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0<br />

Road density (km/km 2 )<br />

Figure 2. Model-averaged probabilities (and 95% confidence intervals) <strong>of</strong> detecting a prairiechicken<br />

lek in sample plots in <strong>Minnesota</strong> during spring <strong>of</strong> 2005 over the range <strong>of</strong> observed<br />

values <strong>of</strong> 3 selected model parameters based on a priori models.<br />

40

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