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(GP/GT) for Additional Water Supply in the Lower Rio Grande

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The choice of sites can have a significant impact on <strong>the</strong> total <strong>in</strong>stalled<br />

and operat<strong>in</strong>g cost of a facility. Soil characteristics, climate, freshwater<br />

availability, waste disposal requirements, market accessibility, availability<br />

of goods and services, utility requirements and regional sales prices <strong>for</strong> gas<br />

and electricity are but a few of <strong>the</strong> considerations that affect <strong>the</strong> selection<br />

of a specific site.<br />

Generalized costs have been developed <strong>for</strong> workover of geopressured wells,<br />

a desal<strong>in</strong>ation facility, and an agriculture/aquaculture <strong>in</strong>stallation, <strong>the</strong><br />

comb<strong>in</strong>ation of which appears to possess <strong>the</strong> greatest potential <strong>for</strong> near term<br />

utilization. Throughout <strong>the</strong> analyses, conservative values are assigned to all<br />

cost and revenue items. Obviously, anyone cost assumption cannot address all<br />

of <strong>the</strong> factors appropriate to a site specific location. It is critical that<br />

<strong>the</strong>se generalized costs are not given "gospel" status and are presented as<br />

conservative analyses <strong>for</strong> an assumed <strong>in</strong>stallation.<br />

The costs associated with <strong>the</strong> development of anyone facility are affected<br />

by previous experiences and <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>terpretation, <strong>in</strong>terpolation, and<br />

extrapolation of data <strong>for</strong> planned <strong>in</strong>stallations. Because of <strong>the</strong> numerous<br />

market and resource variables and because an exact duplicate of an exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />

facility is likely not available, both capital and operat<strong>in</strong>g costs are go<strong>in</strong>g<br />

to be hard to derive by a mere exam<strong>in</strong>ation of past data. Any responsible<br />

application of technologies that exploit <strong>the</strong> available energy <strong>in</strong> a<br />

geopressured resource will have to be matched by <strong>the</strong> economic skills of market<br />

analysis and product development.<br />

ECONOMIC METHODOLOGY AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />

The Present Value (PV) methodology is used to calculate <strong>the</strong> discounted<br />

payback and Net Present Value (NPV) of sell<strong>in</strong>g a selected array of products<br />

from a geopressured-geo<strong>the</strong>rmal resource. Often referred to as a Discounted<br />

Cash Flow Analysis (DCFA), PV analysis is an economic method or process of<br />

equat<strong>in</strong>g all past, present, and future costs and revenues to a common<br />

po<strong>in</strong>t-of-time value. Analysts generally prefer PV analysis over o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

economic techniques because cash flows are accounted on a real-time, common<br />

44

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