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Wireless Sensor and Actuator Networks for Lighting Energy ...

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fuzzification <strong>and</strong> m <strong>for</strong> the defuzzification. The membership functions are shown in<br />

Figure 4-5.<br />

Figure 4-5 Membership functions <strong>for</strong> determining the adaptive parameter .<br />

Prediction unit<br />

A time series predictor generates the predicted value <strong>for</strong> the next time step with<br />

the adaptive parameter tuned to optimize the trade-offs between responsiveness,<br />

smoothness, stability, <strong>and</strong> lag of the predictor. The st<strong>and</strong>ard exponential weighted<br />

moving average predictor has the <strong>for</strong>m<br />

ˆx(k + 1) = ˆx(k) + (1 )x(k) , (4.4)<br />

where xk+ ˆ( 1) is the predicted value of the next time step, xk ˆ( ) is the predicted value<br />

of the current step, <strong>and</strong> x(k) is the upgraded current state. Combining the equation with<br />

the output of the fusion unit in (4.3), the predictor in the mote-FVF algorithm is of the<br />

<strong>for</strong>m<br />

ˆx(k + 1) = ˆx(k) + (1 )x f<br />

(k) , (4.5)<br />

54

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