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us was certainly evident during the past decade. Here we list just a few <strong>of</strong> the most far-reaching<br />

examples.<br />

<strong>The</strong> surprising discovery in 1998 that the expansion <strong>of</strong> the universe is accelerating rather than<br />

slowing, due to the repulsive gravity <strong>of</strong> dark energy, has changed the way we think about the evolution<br />

and destiny <strong>of</strong> the universe and has challenged our understanding <strong>of</strong> physics at the most fundamental<br />

level. In the coming decade, an optimized and coordinated set <strong>of</strong> facilities on the ground and in space<br />

will test whether the simplest hypothesis-dark energy is the quantum energy <strong>of</strong> the vacuum⎯is the<br />

correct explanation or if something more exotic is needed—as must be the case for the inflationary epoch,<br />

an earlier period <strong>of</strong> acceleration. It is even possible that we will need a modification <strong>of</strong> Einstein’s general<br />

relativity. Either way, the implications for both astronomy and physics are pr<strong>of</strong>ound.<br />

Telescopes are time machines: because light travels across the cosmos at a finite speed, the most<br />

distant objects probe the furthest back in time. <strong>The</strong> 13.7 billion year old cosmic microwave background is<br />

seen in the millimeter band. <strong>The</strong> latest record holder (early 2010) for the most distant object is a gammaray<br />

burst that occurred 13.1 billion years ago when the universe was 0.6 billion years old. Detected by a<br />

NASA Explorer Program satellite called Swift, its distance was measured by follow-up observations from<br />

telescopes on the ground. In the coming decade, powerful new observatories on the ground and in space<br />

will allow us to push back to still earlier times and glimpse the end <strong>of</strong> the cosmic dark ages signaled by<br />

the formation <strong>of</strong> the first-ever luminous sources in the universe⎯the first generation <strong>of</strong> stars.<br />

Closer to home, the last decade has seen the discovery <strong>of</strong> well over four hundred planets orbiting<br />

nearby stars. While the existence <strong>of</strong> extra-solar planets had long been anticipated, the astonishing<br />

discovery is that the planets and their orbits seem to be nothing like our own. In the coming decade, new<br />

facilities on the ground and in space will enable us to detect potentially life-bearing planets similar to the<br />

Earth.<br />

Looking forward, the most promising areas for revolutionary discoveries are highlighted in the<br />

following subsections. This is indeed a special time in history. <strong>The</strong> unexpected can be expected with<br />

confidence.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Discovery <strong>of</strong> Habitable Planets<br />

We are rapidly building our knowledge <strong>of</strong> nearby analogs to our own Solar System’s planets,<br />

most recently with the launch <strong>of</strong> NASA’s Kepler mission. <strong>The</strong> salient feature <strong>of</strong> the planetary menagerie<br />

<strong>of</strong> which we are currently aware is its diversity⎯in every measureable sense⎯<strong>of</strong> the properties <strong>of</strong> the<br />

planets as well as the properties <strong>of</strong> the stars around which they are found. We are also improving our<br />

understanding <strong>of</strong> the planet formation process, and ALMA is expected to unveil the birthing <strong>of</strong> new<br />

worlds.<br />

Detection methods till now have only been able to discover massive planets rivaling the giants in<br />

our Solar System (Figure 2-1 upper) or larger (Figure 2-1 lower). <strong>The</strong> most pr<strong>of</strong>ound discovery in the<br />

coming decade may be the detection <strong>of</strong> potentially habitable Earth-like planets orbiting other stars. To<br />

find evidence that life exists beyond our Earth is a longstanding dream <strong>of</strong> humanity, and it is now coming<br />

within our reach.<br />

<strong>The</strong> search for life around other stars is a multi-stage process. Although JWST may be able to<br />

take the first steps, more complex and specialized instrumentation is also needed, requiring a longer-term<br />

program. First, the frequency with which Earth-sized planets occur in zones around stars where liquids<br />

such as water are stable on planetary surfaces must be measured (see Box 2-1). Stars will then be targeted<br />

that are sufficiently close to us that the light <strong>of</strong> the companion planets can be separated from the glare <strong>of</strong><br />

the parent star and studied in great detail; this will allow us to find signatures <strong>of</strong> molecules that indicate a<br />

potentially habitable environment. Here, the opportunities are suddenly bountiful, as we have understood<br />

over this past decade that, for example, stars much lower in mass than our Sun may have orbiting<br />

habitable planets that are much easier to spot. Thus, the plan for the coming decade is to perform the<br />

necessary target reconnaissance surveys to inform next-generation mission designs while simultaneously<br />

PREPUBLICATION COPY—SUBJECT TO FURTHER EDITORIAL CORRECTION<br />

2-2

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