Human Settlements Review - Parliamentary Monitoring Group

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Human Settlements Review, Volume 1, Number 1, 2010 mitigation, the Gold Standard would already accepts suppressed demand for methods employed in the voluntary market. These methods apply to biomass using cook stoves amongst others. Likewise similar approaches by EEDSM approaches at a National level could make both carbon, energy and demand reduction methods coincide, reducing the transaction costs of both. A reduction in these transaction costs would imply a greater contribution to the capital and maintenance costs of clean energy technologies and practices. The space heating example explained here is the first of a number of applications of suppressed demand. Applications to water heating, lighting, cooking, etc. can all be developed and applied, as could broader applications to rural energisation, for example. The National Sustainable Settlements Facility (NSSF) provides an optimum place to coordinate the blending of energy/demand and emissions reduction interest as the Development Bank of Southern Africa is already a conduit for the public financing of municipal infrastructure including settlements. Appendices Appendix 1 Diagram which illustrates: Thermal Performance Study Methodology Using the calibrated model for houses with ceilings and ceiling insulation, the amount of energy required to reach thermal comfort without ceilings for the heating season can be predicted. The calibrated model has been validated (internally) against real thermal performance data. A graphical representation of the calibrated model predictions against the real data is presented below. 232
Human Settlements Review, Volume 1, Number 1, 2010 For the five house in the sample that were used to validate the model the total average difference between the recorded and predicted is 11%. Implying that the temperature prediction is approximately 2% lower on average. The energy required to reach thermal comfort as predicted by the model is therefore erring on the conservative side. It is concluded that this is sufficiently accurate and conservative as predictive model and is proposed as reasonable estimation of a baseline energy scenario for thermal performance. The figure below provides a summary of the discrepancies for the 5 houses. 233
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Human Settlements Review - Parliamentary Monitoring Group

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