India: Effects of Tariffs and Nontariff Measures on U.S. ... - USITC

TABLE 5.3 <strong>India</strong>: U.S. food <strong>and</strong> agricultural exports <strong>and</strong> simulated effects <strong>of</strong> the absence <strong>of</strong> <strong>India</strong>n tariffs, by product group, 2007
Product groups containing food <strong>and</strong>
agricultural products
2007 U.S. food
<strong>and</strong> agricultural
exports to <strong>India</strong>
Average,
tradeweighted,
<strong>India</strong>n
applied
tariff rate
U.S. food <strong>and</strong>
agricultural exports to
<strong>India</strong> in the absence
<strong>of</strong> <strong>India</strong>n tariffs
Simulated effects in ranges
Change in U.S. food <strong>and</strong> agricultural
exports to <strong>India</strong> in the absence
<strong>of</strong> <strong>India</strong>n tariffs
Million $ Percent Million $ Million $ Percent
Paddy rice 0.22 80 1.24─12.04 1.02─11.82 462─5,342
Wheat 0 0 0─0 0─0 0─0
Cereal grains n.e.c. 1.13 1 1.11─1.09 -0.02─ -0.04 -2─ -4
Vegetables, fruit, nuts 282.69 18 331.21─342.89 48.53─60.20 17─21
Oil seeds 0 32 0─0 0─0 0─0
Sugar cane, sugar beet 0 30 0─0 0─0 0─0
Plant-based fibers 78.55 10 81.55─104.97 3.00─26.43 4─34
Crops n.e.c. 8.26 20 13.45─14.31 5.19─6.06 63─73
Bovine cattle, sheep <strong>and</strong> goats, horses 0.12 30 0.17─0.20 0.06─0.09 47─73
Animal products n.e.c. 6.95 8 7.32─7.44 0.37─0.49 5─7
Wool, silkworm cocoons 5.84 15 8.87─11.75 3.03─5.91 52─101
Forestry 0.75 30 1.26─1.49 0.51─0.74 69─99
Fishing 0.08 10 0.09─0.10 0.01─0.01 9─15
Bovine meat products 0.05 30 0.10─0.16 0.05─0.11 102─214
Meat products n.e.c. 0.11 49 0.16─0.17 0.05─0.06 44─53
Vegetable oils <strong>and</strong> fats 15.35 52 50.92─65.11 35.57─49.76 232─324
Dairy products 8.20 34 19.07─23.67 10.87─15.46 133─189
Processed rice 0.06 76 0.13─0.54 0.07─0.48 107─781
Sugar 1.51 98 4.76─18.23 3.25─16.72 215─1,107
Food products n.e.c. 45.96 61 115.09─121.51 69.13─75.55 150─164
Beverages <strong>and</strong> tobacco products 4.19 103 6.74─7.96 2.55─3.77 61─90
Textiles 0.25 26 0.50─0.51 0.25─0.26 98─102
Wearing apparel 0.01 13 0.01─0.01 0.00─0.00 20─21
Leather products 2.58 25 4.81─5.03 2.23─2.45 86─95
Chemical, rubber, plastic products 14.72 30 28.70─29.31 13.99─14.59 95─99
Manufactures n.e.c. 0.03 30 0.06─0.06 0.03─0.03 112─121
Total 477.61 24 677.35─768.57 199.74─290.96 42─61
Source: Commission calculations with simulation framework discussed in appendix H.
Notes: (1) Simulated effects for 699 HS6 products have been grouped in 26 broad product groups as these groups are specified in the
GTAP global trade model. Most <strong>of</strong> the product groups are composed <strong>of</strong> only agricultural products. The following product groups, however,
contain other products—forestry; fishing; textiles; wearing apparel; leather products; chemical, rubber <strong>and</strong> plastic products; <strong>and</strong>
manufactures n.e.c. (2) <strong>India</strong>n tariff rates for staples fluctuate from year to year. Thus, the simulated effects for 2007 shown here could be
different than effects for other years. (3) A range <strong>of</strong> simulated effects was obtained by varying the magnitude <strong>of</strong> trade elasticities to account
for the degree <strong>of</strong> statistical uncertainty in the econometric estimates <strong>of</strong> the elasticities. (4) The acronym n.e.c. means not elsewhere
classified.
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