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India: Effects of Tariffs and Nontariff Measures on U.S. ... - USITC

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CHAPTER 4<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n Agricultural Producti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Policies<br />

Overview<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s agricultural producti<strong>on</strong>, valued at $176 billi<strong>on</strong> 1 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> representing 17 percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n gross domestic product (GDP) in 2007, 2 has been heavily influenced by domestic<br />

government policies emphasizing food security, food self-sufficiency, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> income<br />

support for farmers. <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n food c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> is overwhelmingly supplied by domestic<br />

producti<strong>on</strong>, with imports playing a minor role for most commodities.<br />

Agriculture is an important sector <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s ec<strong>on</strong>omy. It employs more than 60 percent<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the populati<strong>on</strong>, 3 dominated by milli<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> extremely poor farmers working small to<br />

marginal l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>holdings, who account for more than <strong>on</strong>e-half <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> total <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n agricultural<br />

producti<strong>on</strong>. <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g> is a leading global producer <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> commodities—including<br />

various grains, dairy, fruits, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> vegetables—because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> its significant natural resource<br />

base. The country has the world’s sec<strong>on</strong>d-largest arable l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> base after the United States 4<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> is endowed with all <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the world’s major climates. 5 While grains remain the<br />

foundati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n diet, producti<strong>on</strong> has recently increased for other foods, such as<br />

milk, meat, fruits, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> vegetables, in resp<strong>on</strong>se to increasing <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>. 6 The valueadded<br />

food processing sector <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n ec<strong>on</strong>omy is small but growing.<br />

During marketing years (MYs) 2003/04–2007/08, <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n producti<strong>on</strong> volumes <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> many<br />

commodities increased, some with annual double-digit growth rates. Many <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

increases were aided by favorable weather <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> prices, increased planted area, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> rising<br />

yields. Yet growth in the overall value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> agricultural producti<strong>on</strong> slowed relative to past<br />

performance 7 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> lagged behind the growth in populati<strong>on</strong>. 8 The 2.5 percent growth<br />

recorded during fiscal years (FYs) 2002/03–2006/07 (the years covered by the<br />

government’s Tenth Five-Year Plan) is not c<strong>on</strong>sidered by the <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n government<br />

sufficient to sustain food security objectives. 9 C<strong>on</strong>sequently, the government is currently<br />

looking for ways to improve performance in the sector, which suffers from fragmented<br />

l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>holdings, an incentive program that distorts crop planting decisi<strong>on</strong>s, the overuse <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

fertilizer <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> groundwater, inadequate postharvest treatment, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> inefficient market<br />

channels. 10<br />

1 U.N. Food <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Agriculture, FAOSTAT, “Gross Producti<strong>on</strong>,” 2007.<br />

2 Government <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Ministry <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Agriculture, Agricultural Statistics at a Glance, 2008. In c<strong>on</strong>trast,<br />

agriculture accounts for 1.2 percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> U.S. GDP. CIA, The World Factbook: <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>, updated June 1, 2009.<br />

3 Government <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Ministry <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Agriculture, Nati<strong>on</strong>al Policy for Farmers 2007, 1.<br />

4 Agriculture <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Agri-Food Canada, <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g> Agricultural Policy Review, September 2008, 1.<br />

5 USIBC, written submissi<strong>on</strong> to the <strong>USITC</strong>, June 26, 2009, 2.<br />

6 The World Bank, “From Competiti<strong>on</strong> at Home to Competing Abroad,” June 28, 2005, 1; McKinsey<br />

Global Institute, “The ‘Bird <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Gold,’” May 2007, 87.<br />

7 Nati<strong>on</strong>al five-year average growth rates for agriculture were in the 3.5–3.7 percent range during the<br />

1980s <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1990s, but slowed to 2.5 percent during fiscal years 1997/98–2001/02 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 2002/03–2006/07.<br />

Government <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Planning Commissi<strong>on</strong>, Eleventh Five Year Plan: 2007–12, vol. 3, 2008, 4.<br />

8 In FY 2006/07, per capita output <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> some major crops, such as cereals, pulses, oilseeds, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> some fruits<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> vegetables, was below FY 1996/97 levels. Government <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Planning Commissi<strong>on</strong>, Eleventh Five<br />

Year Plan: 2007–12, vol. 3, 2008, 5.<br />

9 Ibid., 5.<br />

10 <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n agricultural market channels <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> postharvest treatment are discussed in chapter 7.<br />

4-1

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