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India: Effects of Tariffs and Nontariff Measures on U.S. ... - USITC

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trend toward healthier eating, <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> for healthful oils, such as sunflower,<br />

safflower, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> palmolein, is rising.<br />

Sugar<br />

Producti<strong>on</strong><br />

Sugarcane is an extremely important cash crop in <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>. The producti<strong>on</strong>, pricing, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

internati<strong>on</strong>al trade <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sugarcane <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> sugar is highly regulated by the <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n government.<br />

Producti<strong>on</strong>, which stood at 348.2 mmt <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sugarcane <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 28.6 mmt <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sugar in MY<br />

2007/08, has grown dramatically over the years because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the central government’s<br />

planned growth in the sector, which included the development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> central/state<br />

government extensi<strong>on</strong> services, increased support prices, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> increased use <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> irrigati<strong>on</strong>. 43<br />

Favorable government policies, as well as favorable weather, have led to a steady<br />

increase in planted area, which in MY 2007/08 reached 5.0 milli<strong>on</strong> ha.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n sugarcane <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> sugar producti<strong>on</strong> generally follows a six- to eight-year cycle,<br />

whereby three to four years <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> high producti<strong>on</strong>, with corresp<strong>on</strong>ding high stocks <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> low<br />

prices, is usually followed by two to three years <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lower producti<strong>on</strong>. High sugarcane<br />

producti<strong>on</strong> during MY 1999/2000–2002/03 was followed by marked drops in producti<strong>on</strong><br />

during MY 2003/04–2004/05. 44 The next upswing, aided by increased planted area,<br />

resulted in record sugar producti<strong>on</strong> in MY 2005/06 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>verted <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g> into a net sugar<br />

exporter for the first time. Another year <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> record producti<strong>on</strong> followed in MY 2006/07,<br />

which led again to cyclical oversupply, low prices, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> a distressed situati<strong>on</strong> for farmers.<br />

Delayed cane price payments by the mills to growers in key growing regi<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

relatively higher prices for food grains shifted growing area out <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cane in MY 2007/08.<br />

Delayed payments also caused farmers to use less fertilizer, pesticides, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> irrigati<strong>on</strong><br />

water, resulting in lower yields. 45<br />

The <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n sugar milling sector c<strong>on</strong>sists <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> several hundred sugar mills, about <strong>on</strong>e-half <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

which, accounting for 56 percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> processing capacity in 2007, were organized as<br />

farmer cooperatives. The remainder is processed by private <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> public sector mills. 46 The<br />

sugar milling industry is c<strong>on</strong>centrated in Maharastra <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Uttar Pradesh.<br />

43 FAO, “Factors Determining <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>n Sugar Producti<strong>on</strong>,” October, 1997, 29–31.<br />

44 Singh, <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>: Sugar, Semi-Annual 2008, October 6, 2008, 4.<br />

45 Ibid.<br />

46 Government <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>India</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Agriculture Divisi<strong>on</strong> Planning Commissi<strong>on</strong>, Report <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Working Group <strong>on</strong><br />

Agriculture Marketing Infrastructure <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Policy Required for Internal <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> External Trade for the XI Five<br />

Year Plan 2007–12, January 2007, 27.<br />

F-9

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