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Statistics for Decision- Making in Business - Maricopa Community ...

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that this situation will result <strong>in</strong> an accident. F<strong>in</strong>d the expected payout <strong>for</strong> Geico and<br />

comment on its profitability <strong>in</strong> a situation like this. (Video Solution)<br />

3. An <strong>in</strong>surance policy pays $100 per day <strong>for</strong> up to 3 days of hospitalization and $50 per<br />

day <strong>for</strong> each day of hospitalization thereafter. (Video Solution)<br />

The number of days of hospitalization, , is a random variable with probability given by<br />

the function<br />

( ) {<br />

a. Def<strong>in</strong>e the random variable.<br />

b. Give the probability distribution <strong>for</strong> by us<strong>in</strong>g a probability histogram.<br />

c. What does the probability histogram tell you about hospitalization<br />

d. Determ<strong>in</strong>e the expected payment <strong>for</strong> hospitalization under this policy.<br />

(SOURCE: Society of Actuaries (SOA), Spr<strong>in</strong>g 2003 Exam P, #36)<br />

4. You work on a dairy farm and are <strong>in</strong> charge of quality control <strong>for</strong> eggs. Your primary<br />

concern is that broken eggs do not go out. You know from past experience that about<br />

25% of the outgo<strong>in</strong>g boxes conta<strong>in</strong> one or more broken eggs (based on compla<strong>in</strong>ts). If a<br />

local restaurant purchases 4 boxes of eggs from you, what is the expected number of<br />

boxes with broken eggs that this vendor should receive (Video Solution)<br />

5. At a major seafood restaurant, shrimp fettucc<strong>in</strong>i is a popular dish. The company is<br />

consider<strong>in</strong>g add<strong>in</strong>g a family-sized fettucc<strong>in</strong>i dish, but would first like to make sure that it<br />

will be a profitable endeavor. The company randomly surveys customers that who<br />

purchase the orig<strong>in</strong>al $14.99 dish and f<strong>in</strong>ds that 15% would purchase the larger family<br />

dish. What should they charge <strong>for</strong> the family-sized dish so that average revenue from<br />

shrimp fettucc<strong>in</strong>i will be $17.00 (Video Solution)<br />

<strong>Statistics</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Decision</strong>-<strong>Mak<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>in</strong> Bus<strong>in</strong>ess © Milos Podmanik Page 144

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