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Statistics for Decision- Making in Business - Maricopa Community ...

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1.7 to 1.8<br />

1.8 to 1.9<br />

1.9 to 2<br />

2 to 2.1<br />

2.1 to 2.2<br />

2.2 to 2.3<br />

2.3 to 2.4<br />

2.4 to 2.5<br />

2.5 to 2.6<br />

2.6 to 2.7<br />

2.7 to 2.8<br />

2.8 to 2.9<br />

2.9 to 3<br />

3 to 3.1<br />

3.1 to 3.2<br />

3.2 to 3.3<br />

3.3 to 3.4<br />

3.4 to 3.5<br />

3.5 to 3.6<br />

3.6 to 3.7<br />

3.7 to 3.8<br />

3.8 to 3.9<br />

3.9 to 4<br />

4 to 4.1<br />

4.1 to 4.2<br />

4.2 to 4.3<br />

4.3 to 4.4<br />

4.4 to 4.5<br />

4.5 to 4.6<br />

4.6 to 4.7<br />

4.7 to 4.8<br />

4.8 to 4.9<br />

4.9 to 5<br />

5 to 5.1<br />

5.1 to 5.2<br />

5.2><br />

2.4 to 2.65<br />

2.65 to 2.9<br />

2.9 to 3.15<br />

3.15 to 3.4<br />

3.4 to 3.65<br />

3.65 to 3.9<br />

3.9 to 4.15<br />

4.15 to 4.4<br />

4.4 to 4.65<br />

4.65 to 4.9<br />

4.9 to 5.15<br />

5.15><br />

6<br />

Sampl<strong>in</strong>g Distribution of x-bar<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

This is quite <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g… we have obta<strong>in</strong>ed a distribution (of means) that appears somewhat<br />

bell-shaped.<br />

Suppose now that we had a total of 1000 people roll a die 10 times each, and to then compute the<br />

sample mean. Here is what a simulation of this process would look like:<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Sampl<strong>in</strong>g Distribution of x-bar<br />

Wow! Our distribution of means <strong>for</strong> 1000 <strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>for</strong> experiments of 10 rolls each produces<br />

someth<strong>in</strong>g remarkably like a normal distribution. Additionally, it appears that the mean of this<br />

distribution is around 3.5!<br />

Let‟s try this aga<strong>in</strong>, but now, let‟s say that 1000 <strong>in</strong>dividuals each roll a die 20 times, and each<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividual computes a sample mean. This simulated event would produce the follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

distribution of die-roll average:<br />

<strong>Statistics</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Decision</strong>-<strong>Mak<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>in</strong> Bus<strong>in</strong>ess © Milos Podmanik Page 185

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