Statistics for Decision- Making in Business - Maricopa Community ...

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Agrees w/Policy Change Years at Company Y 4 Y 8 N 3 Y 10 N 3 N 3 N 6 Y 3 Y 5 N 8 N 1 Y 8 Y 10 Y 5 Y 8 Y 3 N 8 N 8 Y 9 a. Determine the mean number of years this sample has been with the company. b. Determine the minimum and maximum number of years a person from this sample has been with the company. c. Determine the combined overall number of years this sample has been with the company. d. Determine the frequency with which people within this sample agreed and disagreed with the policy change. e. Calculate the mean, the minimum and maximum, and the range for each of the two groups (agree and disagree). f. Describe any patterns that emerged when considering the two groups separately. Statistics for Decision-Making in Business © Milos Podmanik Page 28
Chapter 2 Visual Representations of Data 2.1 Visualizing Categorical Data When summarizing data, it goes without say that there are appropriate and inappropriate ways to display the data. For example, if you collected a person‟s age and income, you might be interested in studying income as a function of age. In this case, you probably would not want to build a pie chart, since you‟re studying quantitative variables (two of them, at that). In the previous chapter, the main types of categorical data visualizations were mentioned – bar graphs and pie charts. Our aim here is simply to summarize and to show how to use them in conjunction with Excel. We‟ll create three types of representations: Pie Chart Frequency Bar Graph – Vertical axis keeps tracks the number of instances of each observation Relative Frequency Bar Graph – Vertical axis keeps tracks the ratio of instances of each observation (decimal or percentage, typically) 2.1.1 Creating a Pie Chart Using Excel Suppose a hotel owner asks 20 randomly selected recent guests to respond to the following statement regarding their experiences at the new hotel lounge: “The dining experience in Harlan’s Hotel Lounge is worth revisiting.” Respondents circle one of the following letter combinations: - SD - Strongly Disagree - D -Disagree - A - Agree - SA - Strongly Agree The resulting data is shown below: Participant 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Opinion D A SD A SD SA A A A A A A D A A A A A A A Statistics for Decision-Making in Business © Milos Podmanik Page 29
Page 1 and 2: Statistics for Decision- Making in
Page 3 and 4: A Note to Students This book is far
Page 5 and 6: 6.3 Confidence Interval for ̂ 202
Page 7 and 8: which has undergone no additional r
Page 9 and 10: of transporting such an animal. Not
Page 11 and 12: Although far from last, we will con
Page 13 and 14: Account Type Revenue ($) New $5,296
Page 15 and 16: For the present time, we‟ll proce
Page 17 and 18: Row Labels Average of Revenue ($) M
Page 19 and 20: (SOURCE: Essentials of Modern Busin
Page 21 and 22: 1.3Statistics in Excel When conduct
Page 23 and 24: We can make it a bit more presentab
Page 25 and 26: For measures such as the range, Exc
Page 27: We get: We can do the same for Old.
Page 31 and 32: We now have to enter a formula for
Page 33 and 34: We know from the data that this val
Page 35 and 36: Alternatively, it is possible to in
Page 37 and 38: 16 14 12 10 8 6 Series1 4 2 0 SD D
Page 39 and 40: Selected the copied graph. In Chart
Page 41 and 42: 2. The following data represents pe
Page 43 and 44: Frequency 2.2 Visualizing Quantitat
Page 45 and 46: You can either choose to have Excel
Page 47 and 48: If we had additional variables, the
Page 49 and 50: Select PivotChart and select the fi
Page 51 and 52: Frequency To make solid black lines
Page 53 and 54: Relative Frequency Histogram of Cal
Page 55 and 56: a. Using Excel, find the mean and r
Page 57 and 58: ̅ ̅ account for this discrepancy,
Page 59 and 60: 2.3.2 Percentile Another useful too
Page 61 and 62: 2.3.4 Rank What if, on the other ha
Page 63 and 64: Check the “Analysis ToolPak” an
Page 65 and 66: You‟ll immediately notice that a
Page 67 and 68: ̅ 2.4 Descriptive Statistics - Var
Page 69 and 70: √ ∑( ̅) √ √ This is what w
Page 71 and 72: This gives us a nice measure of how
Page 73 and 74: We can immediately see the mean and
Page 75 and 76: Lastly, a normal curve is the most
Page 77 and 78: Frequency ̅ Histogram of TV's Owne
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58.3 34.6 35.5 45.4 38.6 63.8 53.9
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Chapter 3 Probability and Decision
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Proportion of Rainy Days 1.2 Propor
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This means that if samples of HFCS
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Are we confident in accusing a lung
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3.2 Joint Probability In the previo
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Company 1 Choices Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y N
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There is less than a 1% chance that
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We can now see that the situation i
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sequence, one ball is chose at rand
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3.3 Probability of Unions Imagine t
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Physical .20 .10 .30 Mental .40 .30
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SOLUTION: We first arrange this inf
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Homework Problems - 3.3 1. A gaming
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3.4 Conditional Probability In many
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) : The Arizona Cardinals make it t
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We could just as well have written,
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That is, the probability that the c
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This can happen in one of two ways:
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f. All numerical red cards are remo
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3.5 Combinations and Permutations R
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1 st Bushel 2 nd Bushel U1 U1 U2 U2
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Which, in its final state gives: Th
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Combination - Order Does NOT Matter
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( ) There is only a .9% chance that
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1. Are repeats/replacements allowed
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Object 4 Object 5 Also notice that
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e. 2. Your classmate was absent whe
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3.6 Expected Value Imagine that you
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An expected value is actually not s
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Where The expected value is: , - (
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SOLUTION: We first note that there
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Probability 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2
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Statistics for Decision-Making in B
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For men, we see that the most frequ
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So, we had 10 trials and wanted to
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Example 1: A fair-two sided coin is
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( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) Example 2: A fair,
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Expected Value of a Binomial Random
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f. What is the probability that g.
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Probability For instance, we see th
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Density 0.25 Time Speng Waiting in
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Suppose we wish to find ( ), that i
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Density Resulting in a standard dev
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Density Without going into detail h
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a. What is the probability that the
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Statistics for Decision-Making in B
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As you can see, this is a difficult
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We wish to know the area of the sha
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We can easily find that the probabi
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In the second section, we can check
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Chapter 6 Sampling Distributions an
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Thus, the standard deviation would
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1.7 to 1.8 1.8 to 1.9 1.9 to 2 2 to
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2.4 to 2.5 2.5 to 2.6 2.6 to 2.7 2.
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The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) has
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can set this up in our applet by ha
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3) We cannot use this sample to cal
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Thus, we need to find the lower and
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We see that the standard deviation
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√ The lower limit is: √ And the
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following data was collected on the
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{ So, we have a set of twenty 1‟s
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DULY CAUTIONED: The assumptions her
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Homework Problems -6.2 1. In a samp
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Since this is a mathematical questi
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Example 3: Many older homes have el
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Hypothesis Test Conclusion Test Say
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Hypothesis Test Conclusion Since yo
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SOLUTION: d. A generic conclusion s
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9. Based on the “Structure of a H
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1.2 Descriptive VS. Inferential Sta
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Relative Frequency 35% 30% 25% 20%
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Symmetric: 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 10
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Repair Cost Mean 971 Standard Error
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el freq Nitrous Oxide (thous. Tons)
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Probability Pizza Size Distribution
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e. ( ) f. ; the average response ti
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2. a. The long-run proportion of al
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e. 20% of all children are expected
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e. The middle 50% score between abo
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5. b. This might indicate that the
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̅ We have that ̅ and √ . So our
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6. This is the probability that we
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