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Statistics for Decision- Making in Business - Maricopa Community ...

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One major oversight of our excitement with this idea is the notion that we would actually know<br />

the true population mean, , and the true population standard deviation, . If we have limited<br />

<strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation about our population, then we certa<strong>in</strong>ly would not know these values. In the next<br />

parts of this chapter, we will learn how to use our sample to make these predictions about the<br />

population. Though similar <strong>in</strong> conceptual nature, it is not as straight<strong>for</strong>ward as replac<strong>in</strong>g with ̅<br />

and with .<br />

Homework Problems – 6.1<br />

1. In your own words, what does the Central Limit Theorem tell us<br />

2. In your own words, why is the Central Limit Theorem a very powerful practical result<br />

3. A sample of size 36 is taken from a population distribution of unknown shape, though the<br />

mean is believed to be 100 with a standard deviation of 18. What is the probability that<br />

the sample mean is:<br />

a. Greater than 102<br />

b. Less than 98<br />

c. Between 95 and 105<br />

d. Between what two values will the middle 90% of means be<br />

4. A sta<strong>in</strong>ed glass company produces panes of glass with a mean thickness of 0.42 <strong>in</strong>ches<br />

and a standard deviation of 0.04 <strong>in</strong>ches, if produced properly. Suppose a random sample<br />

of w<strong>in</strong>dows reveals a sample mean of 0.43.<br />

a. What is the probability of this average, or a larger average<br />

b. Given the probability you have computed, what can be said about recent<br />

production standards<br />

5. Promote Market<strong>in</strong>g has a research team to research new market<strong>in</strong>g tactics to propose to<br />

potential clients. A group of 40 clients have been <strong>in</strong>vited <strong>for</strong> a conference to be put on by<br />

the market<strong>in</strong>g firm. The research team usually generates<br />

<strong>in</strong> revenues <strong>for</strong><br />

each member of the team with .<br />

a. What will be the shape of the distribution of ̅ How do you know<br />

b. What is the probability that average sales will exceed $420,000 <strong>for</strong> this particular<br />

event<br />

c. How would your answer change if 100 clients were to show up<br />

d. If the team (300 people) have an average revenue that is <strong>in</strong> the 90 th percentile of<br />

revenues, they will earn 4-days of paid vacation. What average sales would be<br />

required <strong>for</strong> this<br />

6. A computer simulation reveals that a distribution of average <strong>in</strong>comes <strong>in</strong> a sample of 500<br />

has a standard deviation of $130. What is the standard deviation <strong>for</strong> the population of all<br />

<strong>in</strong>comes Interpret the result you get <strong>in</strong> real-world terms.<br />

7. Use the Excel Sampl<strong>in</strong>g Distribution Applet to address this problem. In a population, it is<br />

found that 30% of homes have 5 rooms, 40% have 4 rooms, and 30% have 3 rooms. You<br />

<strong>Statistics</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Decision</strong>-<strong>Mak<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>in</strong> Bus<strong>in</strong>ess © Milos Podmanik Page 190

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