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Producer Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice ... - METAC

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<strong>Producer</strong> <strong>Price</strong> <strong>Index</strong> <strong>Manual</strong><br />

C. Appropriate Weights <strong>and</strong><br />

Structure for PPI<br />

(4.1)<br />

I<br />

cm ,<br />

L<br />

P q<br />

m 0<br />

i i<br />

0 0<br />

i i<br />

= ∑ ∑ p q<br />

C.1 Value weights<br />

4.5 As discussed in Chapter 14, the value aggregate<br />

from the national accounts framework that<br />

aligns with the basic price received by the producer<br />

of goods <strong>and</strong> services is the value of production.<br />

Thus, when estimating the PPI using the weighted<br />

average of long-term relatives formula (that is, the<br />

current price divided by the base period price as in<br />

equation 4.2 of Section C.2), the best approach<br />

would be to have value of production weights at basic<br />

prices for all levels of index aggregation (from<br />

the elementary aggregate level of product/commodity<br />

within the establishment to the total<br />

output index by industry or product).<br />

4.6 Since the PPI can also be used to measure<br />

the change in intermediate input prices, the value<br />

weights for the input index would be the cost of the<br />

input products to the producer. In the supply <strong>and</strong><br />

use framework presented in Chapter 14, this value<br />

would be the cost of intermediate inputs valued at<br />

purchaser prices.<br />

4.7 The use of values to weight long-term price<br />

relatives (that is, the current price divided by the<br />

base period price) maintains the fixed quantity relationship<br />

that existed in the base period. The value<br />

weight multiplied by the long-term price relative<br />

provides the estimate of what it would cost at today’s<br />

prices to produce the quantity of product in<br />

the price reference period.<br />

4.8 The value of production comprises the receipts<br />

from sales of all output by establishments<br />

<strong>and</strong> the change in value of inventories of finished<br />

goods on h<strong>and</strong> at the end of the period. If the value<br />

of production is unavailable or questionable because<br />

of concerns about the estimation of inventories,<br />

total sales (turnover) may be used. An analogous<br />

measure would be the value of shipments (that<br />

is, value of goods shipped at basic prices).<br />

C.2 Quantity weights<br />

4.9 In the traditional Laspeyres formula, base<br />

period quantities can be used as weights to value<br />

base period production volume at current period<br />

prices. Consider the following:<br />

where I L<br />

c m is the Laspeyres price relative for subcategory<br />

“c” in month “m,”<br />

P i m is the average price of product “i” in<br />

month “m,”<br />

Q i 0 is the quantity of product “i” purchased<br />

or sold in the base period “0,” <strong>and</strong><br />

P i 0 is the average price of product “i” in the<br />

base period “0”.<br />

The value in the numerator is often referred to as<br />

the current value of base period production. It reflects<br />

what the cost would be at current prices to<br />

produce the quantity of output in the base period.<br />

This current value of base period production is<br />

compared with the base period value of production<br />

in the denominator to derive the long-term price<br />

relative.<br />

4.10 The use of quantity weights is appropriate<br />

as long as the same specific product was produced<br />

as in the base period, that is, there is no qualitative<br />

difference between the current product produced<br />

<strong>and</strong> the base period product. If the price determining<br />

characteristics among the various transactions<br />

that are priced differ, then we have a dissimilarity,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the transactions with different characteristics<br />

should have separate weights.<br />

4.11 Quantity weights are feasible only at the<br />

detailed product level. At higher levels of aggregation,<br />

such as at the product group level or industry<br />

level, a value aggregate is more appropriate for calculating<br />

the index because there are no unique,<br />

meaningful quantity levels available that apply to<br />

different products. 3 Thus, the index at the aggregate<br />

level would be the ratio of the sum of the base period<br />

quantities valued at current prices to the sum of<br />

the base period values, as in equation 4.1, but the<br />

values in the numerator are those summed from the<br />

calculation of values for each of the products at current<br />

prices. Alternatively, the simpler formulation is<br />

3 This holds true unless one is willing to accept a notional<br />

or implicit quantity measure that is a representative aggregate<br />

of the different quality products being compiled. The<br />

problem with this approach is that the implicit quantity<br />

measure then must assume some type of average quality that<br />

should be comparable over time.<br />

90

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