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Producer Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice ... - METAC

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7. Treatment of Quality Change<br />

to the same specifications, that is, on the same<br />

price basis. The detailed specifications are included<br />

on the repricing form each month as a<br />

prompt to ensure that the price basis has remained<br />

the same. Respondents must be aware of the need<br />

to report the details of any change in the price basis;<br />

confusion may lead to biased results. It must<br />

be borne in mind that firms have no incentive to<br />

report such changes since this will invariably involve<br />

additional work in costing the change. Attention<br />

should also be devoted to ensuring that the description<br />

of the price basis contains all pertinent,<br />

price-determining elements. If an element is excluded,<br />

any change is much less likely to be reported.<br />

In both of these cases, the quality change<br />

would be invisible to the price measurement process.<br />

C.2 Methods for making quality adjustments<br />

7.73 When a product is missing in a month for<br />

reasons other than being off-season or off-cycle,<br />

the replacement may be of a different quality—the<br />

price basis may have changed, <strong>and</strong> one may no<br />

longer be comparing like with like. A number of<br />

approaches exist for dealing with such situations<br />

<strong>and</strong> are well documented for the CPI, as outlined<br />

in Turvey, <strong>and</strong> others (1989); Moulton <strong>and</strong> Moses<br />

(1997); Armknecht, Lane, <strong>and</strong> Stewart (1997);<br />

Moulton, LaFleur, <strong>and</strong> Moses (1998); <strong>and</strong> Triplett<br />

(2002). Though the terms differ among authors <strong>and</strong><br />

statistical agencies, they include<br />

• Imputation—When no information is available<br />

to allow reasonable estimates to be made of<br />

the effect on price of a quality change. The<br />

price change of all products—or of more or<br />

less similar products—are assumed to be the<br />

same as that for the missing product.<br />

• Overlap—Used when no information is available<br />

to allow reasonable estimates to be made<br />

of the effect on price of a quality change but a<br />

replacement product exists in the same period<br />

as the old product. The price difference between<br />

the old product <strong>and</strong> its replacement in<br />

the same overlap period is then used as a<br />

measure of the quality difference.<br />

• Direct comparison—If another product is directly<br />

comparable, that is, so similar it has<br />

more or less the same quality characteristics as<br />

the missing one, its price replaces the unavailable<br />

price. Any difference in price level between<br />

the new <strong>and</strong> old is assumed to be because<br />

of price changes <strong>and</strong> not quality differences.<br />

• Explicit quality adjustment—When there is a<br />

substantial difference in the quality of the old<br />

<strong>and</strong> replacement products, estimates of the effect<br />

of quality differences on prices are made<br />

to enable quality-adjusted price comparisons.<br />

7.74 Before outlining <strong>and</strong> evaluating these<br />

methods. On should say something about the extent<br />

of the problem. This situation arises when the<br />

product is unavailable. It is not just a problem<br />

when comparable products are unavailable, for the<br />

judgment as to what is <strong>and</strong> what is not comparable<br />

itself requires an estimate of quality differences.<br />

Part of the purpose of a statistical metainformation<br />

system for statistical offices (outlined<br />

in Chapter 8) is to identify <strong>and</strong> monitor the sectors<br />

that are prone to such replacements <strong>and</strong> determine<br />

whether the replacements used really are comparable.<br />

7.75 Quality adjustment methods for prices are<br />

generally classified into the implicit or imputed<br />

(indirect) methods explained in Section D (the differences<br />

in terminology are notorious in this area)<br />

<strong>and</strong> explicit (direct) methods explained in Section<br />

E. Both decompose the price change between the<br />

old product <strong>and</strong> its replacement into quality <strong>and</strong><br />

pure price changes. However, in the latter, an explicit<br />

estimate is made of the quality difference,<br />

usually on the basis of external information. The<br />

pure price effect is identified as a remainder. For<br />

implicit adjustments, a measurement technique is<br />

used to compare the old product with the replacement,<br />

so that the extent of the quality <strong>and</strong> pure<br />

price change is implicitly determined by the assumptions<br />

of the method. The accuracy of the<br />

method relies on the veracity of the assumptions,<br />

not the quality of the explicit estimate. In Sections<br />

D <strong>and</strong> E, the following methods are considered detail:<br />

• Implicit methods:<br />

• Overlap;<br />

• Overall mean/targeted mean imputation;<br />

• Class mean imputation;<br />

• Comparable replacement;<br />

• Linked to show no price change; <strong>and</strong><br />

• Carry forward.<br />

• Explicit methods:<br />

• Expert judgment;<br />

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