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Producer Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice ... - METAC

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7. Treatment of Quality Change<br />

tion requirements for a strategy for such quality<br />

adjustment in the face of a statistical metadata system.<br />

D. Implicit Methods<br />

D.1 Overlap Method<br />

7.80 Consider an example where the items are<br />

sampled in January <strong>and</strong> prices compared over the<br />

remaining months of the year. Matched comparisons<br />

are undertaken between the January prices<br />

<strong>and</strong> their counterparts in successive months. Five<br />

products are assumed to be sold in January with<br />

1 1 1 1<br />

prices p1, p2,<br />

p<br />

5,<br />

p<br />

6<br />

,<strong>and</strong> p 1 8<br />

(Table 7.2, part a).<br />

Two types of similar products are produced in the<br />

industrial group concerned, A <strong>and</strong> B. An index of<br />

the elementary level is required for the overall<br />

price change of these two product types. At this<br />

level of aggregation, the weights can be ignored<br />

assuming only one quote is taken on each product.<br />

A price index for February compared with January<br />

= 100.0 is straightforward in that prices of products<br />

1, 2, 5, 6 <strong>and</strong> 8 are used <strong>and</strong> compared only by<br />

way of the geometric mean of price ratios, the Jevons<br />

index (which is equivalent to the ratio of the<br />

geometric mean in February over the geometric<br />

mean in January—see Chapter 20). In March, the<br />

prices for products 2 <strong>and</strong> 6—one of type A <strong>and</strong> one<br />

of type B—are missing,.<br />

7.81 In Table 7.2 the lower part (b) is a numerical<br />

counterpart of the upper part (a). further illustrating<br />

the calculations. The overlap method requires<br />

prices of the old <strong>and</strong> replacement products<br />

to be available in the same period. In Table 7.2(a),<br />

product 2 has no price quote for March. Its new<br />

replacement is, for example, product 4. The overlap<br />

method simply measures the ratio of the prices<br />

of the old <strong>and</strong> replacement product prices in an<br />

overlap period. In this example, the period is February,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the old <strong>and</strong> replacement products are<br />

products 2 <strong>and</strong> 4, respectively. This is taken to be<br />

an indicator of their quality differences. The two<br />

approaches outlined in Section C.3.2 are apparent:<br />

either to insert a quality-adjusted price in January<br />

for product 4 <strong>and</strong> continue to use the replacement<br />

product 4 series, or continue the product 2 series<br />

by patching in quality-adjusted product 4 prices.<br />

Both yield the same answer. Consider the former.<br />

For a Jevons geometric mean from January to<br />

March for establishment A only, assuming equal<br />

weights of unity<br />

1 3 3 1 3 2 2 1<br />

(7.1) P (( ) ) 12<br />

J<br />

( p , p ) = ⎡ p1 / p1 × p4 / p4 / p2 × p ⎤<br />

2<br />

⎣<br />

= [ 6/4 x 8/ ((7.5 / 6) x 5)] 1/2<br />

= 1.386.<br />

7.82 Note that the comparisons are long-run<br />

ones.,. that is, they are between January <strong>and</strong> the<br />

month in question. The short-run modified<br />

Laspeyres framework provides a basis for shortrun<br />

changes based on data in each current month<br />

<strong>and</strong> the immediately preceding one. In Table 7.2(a)<br />

<strong>and</strong> (b), the comparison for product type A would<br />

first be undertaken between January <strong>and</strong> February<br />

using products 1 <strong>and</strong> 2. The result would be multiplied<br />

by the comparison between February <strong>and</strong><br />

March using items 1 <strong>and</strong> 4. Still, this implicitly<br />

uses the differences in prices in the overlap in February<br />

between items 2 <strong>and</strong> 4 as a measure of this<br />

quality difference. It yields the same result as before:<br />

1 1<br />

2 2<br />

⎡5 6⎤ ⎡6 8 ⎤<br />

⎢ × 1.386<br />

4 5⎥ × ⎢ × =<br />

5 7.5⎥<br />

⎣ ⎦ ⎣ ⎦<br />

The advantage of recording price changes for<br />

January to October in terms of January to September<br />

<strong>and</strong> September to October is that it allows the<br />

compiler to compare immediate month-on-month<br />

price changes for data editing purposes. Moreover,<br />

it has quite specific advantages for the use of imputations<br />

as discussed in Sections D.2 <strong>and</strong> D.3 for<br />

which different results arise for the long <strong>and</strong> shortrun<br />

methods. A fuller discussion of the long-run<br />

<strong>and</strong> short-run frameworks is undertaken in Section<br />

H.<br />

⎦<br />

157

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