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Producer Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice ... - METAC

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<strong>Producer</strong> <strong>Price</strong> <strong>Index</strong> <strong>Manual</strong><br />

O.2.3 Additional sources of weights<br />

1.254 A wide variety of administrative data on<br />

production values may be available from public<br />

agencies charged with regulating or monitoring certain<br />

economic activities. For example, national, regional,<br />

or local governmental bodies regulate many<br />

public utilities, communication, <strong>and</strong> transport activities.<br />

Typically, these agencies require detailed<br />

annual reports that provide information on production<br />

value <strong>and</strong>/or turnover. These sources also have<br />

records of all regulated enterprises/establishments,<br />

which can be used as a source for a sampling frame.<br />

1.255 In many countries, data on retail <strong>and</strong><br />

wholesale turnover are produced on a regular basis<br />

from separate surveys. Such data, if maintained at a<br />

detailed economic activity level, could serve as a<br />

source of weights for wholesale <strong>and</strong> retail economic<br />

activities. This, of course, would depend on<br />

whether wholesale <strong>and</strong> retail trade will be included<br />

in the PPI <strong>and</strong> if the survey information is deemed<br />

reliable for use as weights.<br />

1.256 Customs records are a source of information<br />

on exports by product <strong>and</strong> enterprise. If detailed<br />

customs records are maintained <strong>and</strong> available<br />

for statistical purposes, information on detailed<br />

products by shipping enterprise should be available<br />

<strong>and</strong> provide a source for weights as well as a potential<br />

sampling frame for sampling export products.<br />

P. Basic <strong>Index</strong> Calculations<br />

1.257 Chapter 9 provides a general overview of<br />

the ways in which PPIs are calculated in practice.<br />

The methods used in different countries are by no<br />

means all the same, but they have much in common.<br />

There is clearly interest from users as well as<br />

compilers in knowing how most statistical offices<br />

set about calculating their PPIs. The various stages<br />

in the calculation process are illustrated by numerical<br />

examples.<br />

1.258 Chapter 9 is descriptive <strong>and</strong> not prescriptive,<br />

although it does try to evaluate the strengths<br />

<strong>and</strong> weaknesses of existing methods. It makes the<br />

point that, because of the greater insights into the<br />

properties <strong>and</strong> behavior of indices gained in recent<br />

years, it is now recognized that not all existing<br />

practices are necessarily optimal.<br />

1.259 Because the various stages involved in the<br />

calculation process have, in effect, already been<br />

summarized in the preceding sections of this chapter,<br />

it is not proposed to repeat them all again in this<br />

section. However, it may be useful to give an indication<br />

of the nature of the contents of Chapter 9.<br />

P.1 Elementary price indices<br />

1.260 Chapter 9 describes how the elementary<br />

price indices are calculated for the elementary aggregates.<br />

It reviews the principles underlying the<br />

delineation of the elementary aggregates themselves.<br />

Elementary aggregates are relatively small<br />

groups of products that are intended to be as homogeneous<br />

as possible, not merely in terms of the<br />

physical <strong>and</strong> economic characteristics of the products<br />

covered, but also in terms of their price movements.<br />

They may also be broken down by location<br />

<strong>and</strong> establishment type. Samples of prices are collected<br />

for a number of representative transactions<br />

across establishments within each elementary aggregate<br />

in order to estimate the elementary price index<br />

for that aggregate, with each elementary price<br />

index providing a building block for the construction<br />

of the higher-level indices.<br />

1.261 Section B of Chapter 9 considers the consequences<br />

of using alternative elementary index<br />

formulas to calculate the elementary indices. It proceeds<br />

by means of a series of numerical examples<br />

that use simulated price data for four different<br />

products within an elementary aggregate. The elementary<br />

indices <strong>and</strong> their properties have been explained<br />

in some detail in Section I above. An elementary<br />

price index may be calculated either as a<br />

chain index or as a direct index: that is, either by<br />

comparing the price each month, or quarter, with<br />

that in the immediately preceding period or with the<br />

price in the fixed price reference period. Table 9.1<br />

uses both approaches to illustrates the calculation of<br />

three basic types of elementary index, Carli, Dutot,<br />

<strong>and</strong> Jevons. It is designed to highlight a number of<br />

these indices’ properties. For example, it show the<br />

effects of “price bouncing,” in which the same four<br />

prices are recorded for two consecutive months but<br />

the prices are switched among the four products.<br />

The Dutot <strong>and</strong> Jevons indices record no increase,<br />

but the Carli index registers an increase. It also illustrates<br />

the differences between the direct <strong>and</strong> the<br />

chain indices. After six months, each of the four<br />

prices is 10 percent higher than at the start. Each of<br />

the three direct indices records a 10 percent increase,<br />

as also do the chained Dutot <strong>and</strong> Jevons indices<br />

because they are transitive. The chained Carli,<br />

46

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