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Producer Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice ... - METAC

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<strong>Producer</strong> <strong>Price</strong> <strong>Index</strong> <strong>Manual</strong><br />

riod t value of all N artificial commodities is just<br />

equal to minus period t commodity tax revenue.<br />

Define the period t price <strong>and</strong> quantity vectors for<br />

the artificial commodities in the usual way; that is,<br />

p At ≡ [p 1 At ,...,p N At ] <strong>and</strong> q At ≡ [q 1 At ,...,q N At ] = f t , t =<br />

0,1. The extra price vector p At is now added to the<br />

old period t price vector p f t that was used in the final-dem<strong>and</strong><br />

deflator, <strong>and</strong> the extra quantity vector<br />

q At is added to the initial period t quantity vector f t<br />

that was used in the final-dem<strong>and</strong> deflator, that is,<br />

define the augmented final-dem<strong>and</strong> price <strong>and</strong><br />

quantity vectors, p t * <strong>and</strong> f t *, as follows:<br />

(18.75) p f t * ≡ [p f t ,p At ] ; f t * ≡ [f t ,q At ] ; t = 0,1.<br />

Using the augmented price <strong>and</strong> quantity vectors<br />

defined above, a new tax-adjusted final-dem<strong>and</strong><br />

deflator is calculated using the chosen index number<br />

formula, P(p f 0 *,p f 1 *,f 0 *,f 1 *), <strong>and</strong> the question<br />

asked is whether it will equal our initial national<br />

value-added deflator (that did not make any tax<br />

adjustments for commodity taxes on final dem<strong>and</strong>s),<br />

P(p 0 ,p 1 ,q 0 ,q 1 ); that is, ask whether the following<br />

equality holds:<br />

(18.76) P(p f 0 *,p f 1 *,f 0 *,f 1 *) = P(p 0 ,p 1 ,q 0 ,q 1 ).<br />

18.79 Under the assumption that all establishments<br />

face the same prices, it can be shown that<br />

the tax-adjusted final-dem<strong>and</strong> deflator will exactly<br />

equal the national value-added deflator, provided<br />

that the index number formula in equation (18.76)<br />

is chosen to be the Laspeyres, Paasche, or Fisher<br />

formulas, P L , P P, or P F . In general, equation<br />

(18.76) will not hold as an exact equality if the<br />

Törnqvist-Theil formula, P T , is used. However, if<br />

the commodity tax rates are equal in periods 0 <strong>and</strong><br />

1, so that assumptions equation (18.73) hold in addition<br />

to assumptions equation (18.67), then it can<br />

be shown that equation (18.76) will hold as an exact<br />

equality when P is set equal to P T , the Törnqvist-Theil<br />

formula. These results are of some<br />

practical importance for the following reason.<br />

Most countries do not have adequate surveys that<br />

will support a complete system of value-added<br />

price indices for each sector of the economy. 24<br />

Adequate information is generally available that<br />

will enable the statistical agency to calculate the<br />

final-dem<strong>and</strong> deflator. However, for measuring the<br />

productivity of the economy using the economic<br />

approach to index number theory, the national<br />

value-added deflator is the preferred deflator. 25<br />

The results that have just been stated show how the<br />

final-dem<strong>and</strong> deflator can be modified to give a<br />

close approximation to the national value-added<br />

deflator under certain conditions.<br />

18.80 It has always been a bit of a mystery how<br />

tax payments should be decomposed into price <strong>and</strong><br />

quantity components in national accounting theory.<br />

The results presented in this section may be helpful<br />

in suggesting reasonable decompositions under<br />

certain conditions.<br />

24 In particular, information on the prices <strong>and</strong> quantities of<br />

intermediate inputs used by sector are generally lacking.<br />

These data deficiencies were noted by Fabricant (1938, pp.<br />

566–70) many years ago, <strong>and</strong> he indicated some useful<br />

methods that are still used today in attempts to overcome<br />

these data deficiencies.<br />

25 See Schreyer (2001) for more explanation.<br />

484

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