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Producer Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice ... - METAC

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17. Economic Approach<br />

the numerators is expressed by the fact that the<br />

revenue line through C lies below the parallel<br />

revenue line through D. Now, if the producer’s period<br />

0 output production possibilities set were<br />

block- shaped with vertex at q 0 , then the producer<br />

would not change production patterns in response<br />

to a change in the relative prices of the two commodities<br />

while using the period 0 technology <strong>and</strong><br />

inputs. In this case, the hypothetical vector q 0*<br />

would coincide with q 0 , the dashed line through D<br />

would coincide with the dashed line through C,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the true output price index, P 0 (p 0 ,p 1 ,v 0 ), would<br />

coincide with the ordinary Laspeyres price index.<br />

However, block shaped production possibilities<br />

sets are generally not consistent with producer behavior;<br />

that is, when the price of a commodity increases,<br />

producers generally supply more of it.<br />

Thus in the general case, there will be a gap between<br />

the points C <strong>and</strong> D. The magnitude of this<br />

gap represents the amount of substitution bias between<br />

the true index <strong>and</strong> the corresponding<br />

Laspeyres index; that is, the Laspeyres index generally<br />

will be less than the corresponding true output<br />

price index, P 0 (p 0 ,p 1 ,v 0 ).<br />

17.25 Figure 17.1 also can be used to illustrate<br />

the inequality (17.5) for the two-output case. Note<br />

that technical progress or increases in input availability<br />

have caused the period 1 output production<br />

possibilities set S 1 (v 1 ) ≡ {(q 1 ,q 2 ) : [q 1 ,q 2 ,v 1 ] belongs<br />

to S 1 } to be much bigger than the corresponding<br />

period 0 output production possibilities set S 0 (v 0 ) ≡<br />

Figure 17.1. Laspeyres <strong>and</strong> Paasche Bounds to the Output <strong>Price</strong> <strong>Index</strong><br />

441

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