01.02.2015 Views

Producer Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice ... - METAC

Producer Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice ... - METAC

Producer Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice ... - METAC

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

7. Treatment of Quality Change<br />

to an implicit quality adjustment comparing<br />

the price of the replacement product with the<br />

imputed price of the discontinued one.<br />

• Approach 2: A replacement product may be<br />

selected, comparable in quality to the missing<br />

product, <strong>and</strong> its price used directly to form a<br />

price relative.<br />

• Approach 3: The replacement may be deemed<br />

noncomparable with the missing product, but<br />

prices of both the missing <strong>and</strong> replacement<br />

products may be available in an overlap period<br />

before the product was missing. Compilers use<br />

the price difference in this overlap period to<br />

quality-adjust the replacement product’s price<br />

until there are at least two observations on the<br />

replacement product.<br />

• Approach 4: The price of a noncomparable replacement<br />

may be used with an explicit adjustment<br />

for the quality difference to extract<br />

the pure price change.<br />

7.16 In most instances, compilers make an adjustment<br />

to the price (price change) of the replacement<br />

product to remove that part because of<br />

quality differences from the product it replaces.<br />

(This presumes the compiler has a basis for deciding<br />

which old product a new product replaces.<br />

More often, the change is for the outputs of a given<br />

establishment <strong>and</strong> the choice considered obvious.)<br />

The quality adjustment is a coefficient multiplied<br />

by the price of the replacement product to make it<br />

commensurate, from the producer’s point of view,<br />

with the price of the original.<br />

7.17 The simplest example of adjusting for<br />

quality change is h<strong>and</strong>ling the variety of package<br />

sizes encountered in all price indices. Suppose that<br />

the size of the missing product <strong>and</strong> its replacement<br />

differ, where quantity k of the replacement sells for<br />

the same price in the current month as quantity j of<br />

the original in the previous month. The conventional<br />

matched models approach (approach 1) is<br />

equivalent to imputing the price change of the index<br />

of matched models in the elementary aggregate<br />

to the unmatched models. Approach 2 would<br />

amount to finding another instance of the product<br />

of the same size with all other characteristics the<br />

same <strong>and</strong> directly comparing the two prices by<br />

forming the ratio of the price of the replacement<br />

product with the price of the missing product in the<br />

previous month. There is no overlap price in this<br />

example, precluding application of approach 3.<br />

7.18 Alternatively, the compiler can undertake<br />

a range of explicit quality adjustments (approach<br />

4). Suppose one package of the original contains j<br />

units of the replacement while the replacement<br />

package contains k units. To make the price of one<br />

unit of the replacement commensurate with the<br />

price of one unit of the original, it must be multiplied<br />

by j/k, the quality adjustment. If j = 2 <strong>and</strong> k =<br />

3, the required quality adjustment to be applied to<br />

the price of the replacement product is 2/3. Suppose<br />

a package of the replacement actually sells in<br />

the current month at the same price as a package of<br />

the original in the previous month. The price of the<br />

replacement, after adjusting for the change in quality,<br />

is only 2/3 that of the price of the original. If<br />

one unit of the replacement sells for twice the price<br />

of the original, then the quality-adjusted price is<br />

4/3 (2 × 2/3) that of the original: the price increase<br />

is 33 percent, not 100 percent.<br />

7.19 The critical assumption in this explicit adjustment<br />

by the quantity in the package is that<br />

there is no difference in inputs between the different<br />

package sizes. If packaging <strong>and</strong> marketing use<br />

inputs, for example, or there are other input requirements<br />

in providing the different package<br />

sizes, the simple proportional adjustment by package<br />

size will not be correct. There are two options.<br />

If the compiler somehow knows the unit cost of<br />

producing the two package sizes of product<br />

through interviewing the establishment representative,<br />

he or she can divide the price ratio of the new<br />

package size to the old by the ratio of the unit cost<br />

of the new package size to the old package size.<br />

This illustrates the so-called resource cost adjustment<br />

for quality differences.<br />

7.20 In the final type of explicit approach, the<br />

compiler collects data on the range of sizes available<br />

in the market of an otherwise identical product<br />

in the current month <strong>and</strong> estimates a linear or<br />

log linear regression of price on package size.<br />

<strong>Price</strong> = a+ b×<br />

Package size<br />

7.21 This is the so-called hedonic method. If<br />

the intercept or constant a is zero, this would confirm<br />

the validity of our first unit value approach to<br />

correcting for package size. If a assumes a value<br />

different from 0, however, he or she could impute<br />

the value of the old size in the current month by<br />

evaluating the estimated regression equation at the<br />

old size. The price relative for the old item in the<br />

143

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!