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Institutional weaknesses affecting the maize seed value chain in stress‐prone environments and the<br />

feasibility of alternative seed production and dissemination approaches (OPVs, conventional and<br />

unconventional hybrids) to reach farmers in stress‐prone areas that are less attractive to the private<br />

seed sector.<br />

The effects of predicted climate changes on pathogen and insect pest dynamics and their<br />

agricultural impacts. The effects of changing cropping systems, such as the rice–maize rotation, and<br />

increased adoption of zero tillage/conservation agriculture on disease and pest dynamics.<br />

Outputs<br />

1. Germplasm tolerant to drought, low nitrogen stress, acidity, waterlogging and heat stress that yields<br />

well under favorable conditions and has the necessary biotic stress resistance—for major maize<br />

production regions in Africa, Asia, and Latin America affected by these stresses. This will include:<br />

Donors conferring high levels of abiotic stress tolerance for use in breeding locally adapted<br />

hybrids and OPVs.<br />

Donors conferring high levels of resistance to key biotic stresses, particularly MSV, GLS, E.<br />

turcicum, H maydis, and Striga.<br />

Hybrids and OPVs yielding at least 100% more than current varieties. 10<br />

Hybrids and OPVs with tolerance to combinations of abiotic stresses—in particular heat plus<br />

drought and waterlogging plus drought.<br />

Inbred lines targeted at more favorable production regions, where sporadic droughts (>10% risk<br />

of crop failure) can wipe out significant production volumes and lead to income variation for<br />

farmers, country‐level shortages, and price variations which affect poor consumers.<br />

Our strategy for inbred line development supports both hybrid and OPV production. Inbred lines—<br />

the principal products of CIMMYT and IITA pedigree breeding programs—are the building blocks of<br />

both hybrids and open‐pollinated synthetic varieties 11 . Programs targeting stress‐prone<br />

environments will thus produce hybrids for dissemination by seed companies and OPVs, which are<br />

primarily distributed by government seed units and NGOs, according to local demand and<br />

preference. The formation of synthetic varieties from elite inbred lines adds little to the total cost of<br />

breeding programs, and generates OPVs that are usually more productive than broad‐based<br />

populations.<br />

2. Innovative, low‐cost hybrid seed production systems, involving crosses between narrow‐based<br />

synthetics, between a synthetic and an inbred parent and between advanced marker‐assisted<br />

recurrent selection (MARS) populations derived from high‐yielding, proven double crosses. These<br />

low‐cost, seed‐production approaches will allow small seed companies to produce highly‐vigorous,<br />

heterotic hybrids without the need to produce large amounts of seed of inbred lines, which can be a<br />

long and expensive process that becomes an important obstacle to hybrid seed production.<br />

3. Internet‐based information systems that identify the best available germplasm for various client<br />

groups, including breeders (seeking breeding germplasm from international agricultural research<br />

centers), seed producers (seeking stress‐tolerant, finished varieties from national and international<br />

research systems), and governmental and non‐governmental organizations (seeking seed producers<br />

of drought‐tolerant varieties for seed relief).<br />

4. Open‐source breeding networks and a set of decentralized phenotyping sites to improve maize for<br />

tolerance to drought, nitrogen stress, and heat, using state‐of‐the‐art phenotyping, doubled<br />

10 Currently sown varieties typically yield 1 ton per hectare or less under severe abiotic stress conditions, and in many instances<br />

fail.<br />

11 Synthetic varieties are OPVs produced by initially intermating inbred lines, then maintaining and increasing the variety via<br />

open pollination.<br />

110

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