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 ix<br />

Fleet productivity projections .................................................... 259<br />

Historical ship productivity .................................................. 260<br />

Ship productivity projection. ................................................. 263<br />

Remarks/caveats .......................................................... 264<br />

Ship size projections ........................................................... 264<br />

Container ships ........................................................... 266<br />

Oil tankers. .............................................................. 269<br />

Dry bulk carriers .......................................................... 272<br />

Liquefied gas carriers ....................................................... 275<br />

Regulatory and autonomous efficiency improvements ................................. 279<br />

EEDI and SEEMP .......................................................... 279<br />

Fuel mix .................................................................... 283<br />

Market and regulatory drivers. ................................................ 283<br />

Fuel mix scenarios used in emissions projection model ............................. 285<br />

Emissions factors. ............................................................. 287<br />

Emissions factors .......................................................... 287<br />

CO 2 ................................................................. 287<br />

CH 4 ................................................................. 288<br />

N 2 O ................................................................. 288<br />

HFC ................................................................. 288<br />

PFC ................................................................. 289<br />

SF 6 ................................................................. 289<br />

NO x ................................................................. 289<br />

NMVOC ................................................................ 290<br />

CO ................................................................. 290<br />

PM ................................................................. 291<br />

SO 2 ................................................................. 291<br />

Detailed results. .............................................................. 291<br />

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