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HARVIE, HOWELL, AND EVANS<br />

TABLE 2. Breast Cancer Prevention across the Life Course 66,67<br />

Timing of Exposure<br />

Before Menarche<br />

After Menarche and<br />

before First Birth<br />

Premenopausal<br />

Years<br />

Postmenopausal Years<br />

Links to pre- or postmenopausal breast cancer Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Post<br />

Greater adiposity or 2 or 2 or 2 or 2 1 1<br />

Height growth velocity 1 1 NA NA NA NA NA<br />

Sedentary lifestyle ? ? 1 1 1 1 1<br />

High alcohol intake NA NA 1 1 1 1 1<br />

Smoking ? ? 1 1 <br />

High soy intake 2 2 2 2 <br />

Abbreviations: NA, not applicable; Pre, premenopausal breast cancer; Post, postmenopausal breast cancer.<br />

No effect.<br />

2Decreased risk.<br />

1Increased risk.<br />

ers in positive cohort studies are between 1.1 and 1.4. The<br />

effect of smoking appears to be mainly linked to ER-positive<br />

cancers and among individuals with polymorphisms in genes<br />

involved in the metabolism of tobacco products, such as<br />

NAT2, although the current evidence is equivocal. 52<br />

LIFESTYLE MODIFICATION OF RISK AMONG BRCA1<br />

AND BRCA2 CARRIERS<br />

Rates of breast cancer have increased among high-risk populations<br />

with mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 breast<br />

cancer susceptibility genes, mirroring the increase in rates<br />

among the general population over the last century. A published<br />

data set from Iceland reported a fourfold increase in<br />

the cumulative incidence of breast cancer (before age 70<br />

years) between 1920 and 2000 among BRCA2 carriers (18.6%<br />

to 71.9%) and women in the general population (1.8% to<br />

7.5%). 54<br />

A marked increased penetrance of BRCA mutations over<br />

the years has been shown in a number of cohorts and is<br />

thought to reflect increased reproductive and lifestyle risk<br />

factors, although the exact causes remain unknown. Highquality<br />

large-scale genome-wide association studies have<br />

identifıed genetic variation in loci that affect BRCA penetrance.<br />

In contradistinction, modifıable risk factors have<br />

mainly been studied in small case-control studies with retrospective<br />

collection of lifestyle risk information, which are often<br />

confounded by ascertainment bias in clinic-based<br />

settings and survival bias, and the fındings have not been validated<br />

in independent replication sets. These studies have<br />

produced equivocal evidence that risk among BRCA1 and<br />

BRCA2 carriers is increased with weight and smoking and<br />

TABLE 3. What Causes Breast Cancer? The Mismatch between Expert Opinion and Lay Perception<br />

Expert Opinion (Estimated Attributable Risk [U.K]) 63 Common Beliefs among Healthy Women (1,297 patients) 68<br />

Non-modifiable % of cases Non-modifiable * % citing this reason<br />

Genetic factors** 47 Genetic factors 77.6<br />

Reproductive factors: nulliparity, late parity, lack of breastfeeding 69 11 Environmental pollutants 31.7<br />

Occupational–shift work 4.6 Stress 27.9<br />

Potentially modifiable factors % of cases Food additives 18.4<br />

Obesity 9.0 Pesticides 10.0<br />

Alcohol consumption 6.4 Food additives 18.4<br />

Physical activity 3.4 Reproductive 7.2<br />

Use of HRT 3.2 Breast injury 6.6<br />

Chance, fate/God’s will 6.5<br />

Potentially modifiable factors % citing this reason<br />

Diet 23.2<br />

Alcohol 12.6<br />

Physical activity 11.6<br />

Smoking 11.6<br />

Use of HRT 7.2<br />

Abbreviations: HRT, hormone replacement therapy.<br />

*Totals could exceed 100% as respondents could identify agents from multiple categories.<br />

**DG Evans, personal communication, 2014.<br />

e70<br />

2015 ASCO EDUCATIONAL BOOK | asco.org/edbook

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