Volume 2: Draft Gorst Planned Action Environmental Impact Statement

GORST PLANNED ACTION EIS | AFFECTED ENVIRONMENT, SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS, AND MITIGATION MEASURESThe area averaged over 7 permits per year over this 9-year period, about half the rate projected from 2010 to2035. The majority of the permits were issued between 2001 and 2005, and the number tapered with toward theend of the decade with the recession, which started in 2008. The population and housing growth studied in thisDraft EIS, whether considering current plans or projected plans, is more than the watershed experienced duringthe housing boom period before 2008.EmploymentIn 2010, there were 551 jobs within the watershed. Less than half (264) were in the area of the watershedexcluding the Gorst UGA. Employment present represents a variety of sectors. The government and education andfinance, insurance, and real estate (FIRE) sectors had the largest share of total employment in 2010 with about onethird of the total for each sector. Table 3.8-2 Employment by Sector in Watershed (Excluding Gorst UGA)belowshows the breakdown of total employment by major sector for the watershed not in the Gorst UGA for 2010 andthe projected totals for 2035 based on current plans.Table 3.8-2Employment by Sector in Watershed (Excluding Gorst UGA)2010 2035 ChangeSector Employment Percent Employment Percent 2010-2035Government and Education 88 33.30 90 3.90 2Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate (FIRE) 78 29.50 1,157 50.20 1,079Construction and Resources 56 21.20 29 1.30 -27Warehouse, Transportation, and Utilities 18 6.80 32 1.40 14Manufacturing 15 5.70 918 39.80 903Retail 9 3.40 78 3.40 69Total 264 100.00 2,305 100.00 2,041Source: Kitsap County, 2012; BERK, 2012The watershed excluding the Gorst UGA is projected to add a significant number of jobs by 2035. The FIRE andmanufacturing sectors are projected to realize almost all of the 2,305 jobs. Much of the projected growth is withinparts of the SKIA and the City of Bremerton in the watershed.From 2001 to 2010, there was just one commercial building permit issued to the Sunnyslope Water District withinthe watershed area excluding the Gorst UGA. This indicates that the projected employment gains would be newdevelopment above and beyond any recent market trends.Gorst UGAPopulation and employment figures studied for the Gorst UGA are drawn from the Kitsap County UGA Sizing andComposition Remand Final Supplemental EIS and the current Kitsap County Comprehensive Plan (August 2012).Population and HousingIn 2010, the population of the Gorst UGA was 222 with 106 housing units, 83 percent of which are single-familyhomes. Future growth estimated in the Kitsap County Comprehensive Plan is 83 persons and 33 dwelling units, allsingle family, which would bring the totals to 304 persons and 139 dwellings. Based on residential building permitdata compiled by the PSRC, from 2001 to 2009 there was one residential building permit issued within the GorstUGA for a mobile home in 2009. The permit data indicates that the current market for new housing in Gorst is notstrong. Kitsap County’s growth estimates in the current Comprehensive Plan would represent a stronger growththan experienced in permit trends, though the addition of 33 dwellings is a modest addition in itself.Draft | June 2013 3-111