Volume 2: Draft Gorst Planned Action Environmental Impact Statement

GORST PLANNED ACTION EIS | ALTERNATIVESFuture GrowthAs of 2010, there are approximately 222 persons in the Gorst UGA and 1,810 persons in the remainder of thewatershed. There are about 237 jobs in the Gorst UGA and roughly 264 jobs in the rest of the watershed, primarilyin SKIA.Excluding the Gorst UGA, which is separately addressed below, the employment and residential growth in thewatershed would be from SKIA as well as subdivision of rural residential lots. See Table 2-6 Watershed Populationand Employment 2010 and 2035, Excluding Gorst UGA.Table 2-6Watershed Population and Employment 2010 and 2035, Excluding Gorst UGAYear 2010 2035Population 1,810 2,659Dwellings 742 1,149Jobs 264 2,305Note:Estimates are based on transportation analysis zone estimates approximating watershed boundaries, and thus mayinclude greater growth than the exact boundaries of the watershed, particularly related to jobs. Job increases arelargely due to traffic model assumptions regarding SKIA growth. Within the portion of SKIA in the watershed, growthwould more likely equal about 600 jobs based on the SKIA Subarea Plan Final EIS (2012) which would mean a future jobtotal in the watershed closer to 865 than 2,305. For conservative analysis purposes, the higher total is studied in thisDraft EIS.Source: BERK 2013With different land use patterns, each alternative would result in a different level of population and employmentgrowth in the Gorst UGA. See Table 2-7 Growth Comparison by Gorst UGA Alternative. These growth estimateswould be added to the watershed estimates in Table 2-6 Watershed Population and Employment 2010 and 2035,Excluding Gorst UGA. Alternative 1 assumes more employment acres and a smaller residential area, resulting in thegreatest employment growth and least residential growth. Alternative 2 has a focus on commercial growth incentral Gorst and greater land designated for residential growth along Sherman Heights and Gorst Creek, thusresulting in a moderate amount of employment growth and a greater amount of population growth. Last,Alternative 3, with a greater emphasis on mixed use in central Gorst and greater potential for small scale mixeduse providing medium density housing has the greatest amount of population and the least amount of job growth.AlternativeTable 2-7Growth Comparison by Gorst UGA AlternativeResidential NetDevelopable Acres Dwellings PopulationEmploymentDevelopableAcresAlternative 1 5.9 33 82 34.7 742Alternative 2 46.9 538 985 22.8 606Alternative 3 56.7 597 1082 12.6 333Source: Kitsap County 2012; BERKWatershed Characterization, Fish Habitat, and StormwaterThe Gorst Creek Watershed Characterization Study analyzes existing conditions of the watershed with respect towater flow and habitat. The Watershed Characterization Study recommendation is to protect the north centralportion of the watershed, the tributaries, and the estuary, while allowing for additional growth and developmentin the south, and southeastern portions of the watershed. See Figure 2-10 Gorst Watershed Assessment Units:Integrated Results.JobsDraft | June 2013 2-28