PaperDisc.assesses the impact of conflict on pricing associated with crudeoil markets using a GARCH model during the period between1975-2005.<strong>Political</strong> Institutions and Foreign Direct Investment inDeveloping Countries: Does Policy Stability Mean More toInvestors than Democracy or Property Rights?Tyson Roberts, University of California, Los AngelesOverview: Democracy, property rights, and crediblecommitment (via veto players) to stable, FDI-friendly policiesall have a positive effect on foreign direct investment (FDI).The policy stability finding has the largest magnitude and ismost robust.Michael G. Hall, University of Northern Iowa12-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: ECONOMICOPENNESS AND ADMINISTRATIVEADJUSTMENTRoom TBA, Fri 3:45 pmPresenter Subjecting Government Procurement to InternationalCompetition: U.S. StatesDong-hun Kim, University of IowaOverview: This paper investigates discriminatory governmentprocurement as an NTB. I explore, in particular, the sources thatwould affect the propensity of a U.S. state government to jointhe GPA that prohibits discriminatory practices.12-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: TRADE ANDPROTECTIONISMRoom TBA, Fri 3:45 pmPresenter Inter-Sectoral Goods Market Relations, Inward FDI and USTrade Politics (i.e. Relations -> Relationships)Hak-Seon Lee, University of North Carolina, Chapel HillOverview: This research introduces inter-sectoral goods marketrelationships as a main explanatory variable to investigate howcross-border capital mobility in other sectors would affect agiven sector's trade policy preference in US trade politics.Presenter Electoral Equilibrium and Industrial ProtectionJong Hee Park, Washington University, St. LouisOverview: Candidates' equilibrium policy positions in electionsvary depending on the number of competitors and electoralrules. This prediction is employed to explain cross-nationalvariations in trade policy outcomes in this paper.13-7 INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS ANDDOMESTIC POLITICSRoomChairPaperPaperPaperTBA, Fri 3:45 pmJ. Michael Greig, University of North TexasInternational Organizations and the Quality of DomesticGovernancePeter M. Holm, University of Wisconsin, MadisonOverview: Increased participation in international organizationshas an independent positive effect on future domesticgovernance quality. Both sociological and rationalinstitutionalist mechanisms underpin the finding.Committed to Peace? Credible Commitment and UN/NATOPeace OperationsPatrick Johnston, Northwestern UniversityChris Swarat, Northwestern UniversityOverview: In the aftermath of conflict, why in some cases dothe United Nations and NATO launch large peace buildingmissions in which the interveners exert a high degree ofadministrative control while in others they choose smallermonitoring missions?Global Social Movement in Tobacco Control and theNegotiation of the FCTCHadii Mamudu, University of California, San FranciscoOverview: Member states of the World Health Organizationnegotiated the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control(FCTC) between 1999 and 2003. This paper analyzes non-stateactors’ involvement in the FCTC negotiation process usingsocial movements’ theory.PaperPaperDisc.The International Court of Justice, Legal Systems, and theRule of LawEmilia J. Powell, Florida State UniversityOverview: Why do some states recognize the jurisdiction of theInternational Court of Justice while others do not? I develop aninstitutionalist theory linking a state’s domestic legal institutionsto its preference for membership in the ICJ.International Organizations and Domestic Politics:Examining the Decision to Consult Security InstitutionsTerrence L. Chapman, Emory UniversityOverview: This paper tests a formal model that examines howIOs may facilitate coalition-building by providing informationto the domestic audiences of potential allies.J. Michael Greig, University of North Texas14-7 DEMOCRACY AND TERRORISMRoomChairPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Fri 3:45 pmJarold Duquette, Central Connecticut State UniversityIs Democracy a Magnet for Terrorism? Understanding aComplex RelationshipSara E. Jackson, Emory UniversityDan Reiter, Emory UniversityOverview: Building on recent scholarship, this paper addressesa number of conceptual and methodological issues that havehindered our ability to clearly identify the link betweendemocracy and terrorism.The Inadvertent Effects of Democracy on Terrorist GroupEmergenceErica Chenoweth, University Of ColoradoOverview: Using a time-series method, I argue that theproliferation of terrorist groups in democracies can be explainedby inter-group dynamics, with terrorist groups of variousideologies competing with one another for limited agenda space.Amanda M. Rosen, The Ohio State UniversityMariya Y. Omelicheva, Purdue University15-8 SEPARATISM AND CONFLICTRoomChairPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Fri 3:45 pmKrista Weigand, Georgia Southern UniversityDemocratic Institution Building and Sub-NationalSeparatism in Former Communist Countries: Chechnyaand CrimeaIrina S. Khmelko, Georgia Southern UniversityOverview: The fall of the Communist regime was followed by anumber of conflicts between national states and their subnationalterritories that provided major challenges for newgovernments and the process of democratic institution buildingin the region.State Design and Secessionist Mobilization: Resolving theParadox of FederalismLawrence M. Anderson, University of Wisconsin, WhitewaterOverview: Federalism has been shown to both calm andfacilitate secessionism. This paper resolves the paradox offederalism by demonstrating the federations have diverse forms,origins, and group structures.Economic Indicators and Ethnonational Violence: The Casefor Secessionist and Non-Secessionist GroupsTova C. Norlen, Johns Hopkins UniversityKrister Sandberg, International Institute for Applied SystemsAnalysisOverview: Do secessionist/non-secessionist groups turn toviolence for different reasons? Ethno-territorial conflicts aresaid to be more conflictual than non-territorial ethnic conflictsand to last longer.Krista Weigand, Georgia Southern University176
16-4 IDENTITY AND FOREIGN POLICYRoomChairPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Fri 3:45 pmBryan E. Brophy-Baermann, Lawrence UniversityRhetorical Evil and American Foreign PolicyDavid Brumbaugh, University of Texas, AustinOverview: Rhetorical evil has proven to be a powerful andeffective means for leaders to justify foreign projects to theircitizens and neighbors. Still, evil has troubling theoretical andpractical implications at home and abroad--especially for theUS.Does Identity Matter? Turkey and Europe in the 21stCenturyYucel Bozdaglioglu, Adnan Menderes UniversityOverview: This paper analyzes the relationship between Turkeyand the European Union in terms of identity using the coreassumptions of the constructivist approach in internationalrelations.Japanese Antimilitarism: Effective, Irrelevant, orCounterproductive?Takayuki Nishi, University of ChicagoOverview: The debate on antimilitarist norms in Japanesesecurity policy has focused on whether they have preventedJapan from acquiring military capabilities. In fact, the normshave been counterproductive when their advocates overreached.William D. Anderson, Western Illinois University17-6 MULTILATERAL BARGAINING ININTERNATIONAL RELATIONSRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Fri 3:45 pmJana von Stein, University of Michigan, Ann ArborProposal Making During International MultilateralAgreement NegotiationsNicole M. Simonelli, New York UniversityOverview: This paper examines who makes the first proposal inthe bargaining process and the effect that this has on the extentof cooperation obtained from the final agreement.Sign Then Ratify: Negotiating under Threshold ConstraintsSylvie N. Thoron, Institute for Advanced Study in PrincetonOverview: In an international agreement the different partiestake into account the rule of the ratification phase while they arenegotiating. We show how the existence of a given thresholdcan modify the result of the negotiation (i.e. Kyoto protocol).Two-level Games and Two-level Bargaining: Negotiating theUruguay Round Agreement on AgricultureCarsten Daugbjerg, University of Aarhus, DenmarkOverview: The Uruguay Round Agreement on Agricultureconsisted of an operational and an ideational level. It is analyzedwhy the European Community successfully influenced theformer level and why US interests prevailed at the latter.Design Purpose: Institutional Creation and Design asBargained OutcomesKatharine M. Floros, University of PittsburghOverview: Institutional creation and design; internationalbargaining; two-stage process; European Development FundJana von Stein, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor18-3 EMOTION AND COGNITIONRoomChairPaperPaperTBA, Fri 3:45 pmThomas J. Scotto, West Virginia UniversityA Vicious Cycle? Threat and Information SearchShana K. Gadarian, Princeton UniversityOverview: I designed an experiment where subjects will watchTV news about terrorism. After the treatment, subjects can learnmore about the treatment stories.Semantic versus Somatic Responses to Emotion Items in<strong>Political</strong> SurveysMary-Kate Lizotte, SUNY, Stony BrookCharles S. Taber, SUNY, Stony BrookOverview: <strong>Political</strong> scientists often ask people to reportemotional reactions to past events, using semantic prompts. Inline with social psychology research, we believe that semanticrecall items may be misleading as measures of the emotionsexperienced.PaperPaperPaperDisc.The Primacy of <strong>Political</strong> Affect: The Influence of AffectivePriming on Candidate and Issue EvaluationsCharles S. Taber, SUNY, Stony BrookChristopher Weber, Stony Brook UniversityOverview: To disentangle the effects of emotion fromcognition, we use an affective priming procedure to determinewhether one's immediate affective response influencescandidate evaluations.Voters, Emotions, and MemoryDavid Redlawsk, University of IowaAndrew Civettini, University of IowaKaren Emmerson, University of IowaOverview: We employ dynamic process-tracing to assess theimpact of emotion on memory about candidates and the rolememory plans in candidate evaluation. This research hasimplications for the study of campaigns, politicalcommunication, and voting.Neuropolitics: Neuroscience, Emotion and Rational ChoiceJohn W. Schiemann, Fairleigh Dickinson UniversityOverview: I review neuroscience research on fear and memorywith implications for formal models of rational choice. I providean example of a multilevel, integrative approach incorporatingneuroscience, empirical research, and formal modeling.George E. Marcus, Williams CollegeElizabeth Suhay, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor18-9 IDENTITYRoomChairPaperPaperPaperTBA, Fri 3:45 pmChristopher P. Muste, University of MontanaTesting the Effect of Social Identity Appeals in ElectionCampaigns: An fMRI StudyEric S. Dickson, New York UniversityKen Scheve, University of Michigan, Ann ArborOverview: We expose experimental subjects to political speechstimuli from scripted (hypothetical) and from actual campaigns;measure their responses using functional magnetic resonanceimaging (fMRI); and interpret results in the context of ongoingdebates.Multicultural Social Studies and <strong>Political</strong> IdentityRebecca E. Blanton, CUNY, Graduate CenterOverview: This paper presents findings of a survey thatexamines the connections between experiences in multiculturalhigh school social studies programs and the development of acivic identity.The Obligations of National Identity: Charity, Welfare, andthe Boundaries of the National GroupElizabeth Theiss-Morse, University of Nebraska, LincolnOverview: This paper examines Americans' sense of obligationto fellow Americans and who should receive their help. I arguethat a strong national identity is related to a greater sense ofobligation but also a more exclusive definition of who is anAmerican.Paper Threat and Group Affect in the Aftermath of 9/11Darren W. Davis, Michigan State UniversityOverview: This paper examines the relationship between threatof terrorism and the tolerance for different groups (e.g., Arabs,Islamic Fundamentalists, Jews, African Americans, Latinos, andChristian Fundamentalists) in American society after theSeptember 1.PaperDisc.Civic Education and Democracy from a Cross-NationalPerspectiveRodolfo Espino, Arizona State UniversityMichael Jensen, Arizona State UniversityOverview: We use surveys on civic education and democracyacross 28 industrialized countries to identify those aspects ofcontext and curriculum that can explain differing levels ofpolitical participation.Deborah J. Schildkraut, Tufts University177
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