2006 Conference Program - Midwest Political Science Association

12-7 INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS ANDDOMESTIC POLITICSRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Fri 8:30 amClint Peinhardt, University of Texas, DallasExploring Constrained Bargaining Space in InternationalInstitutionsMark Axelrod, Duke UniversityOverview: Treaties strengthen domestic groups, which are thenable to weaken future provisions. Through efforts to consolidategains, they have already solved a collective action problem, andlater organize to block threatening new treaties.Do Markets Punish Liars? International Capital Marketsand Broken Policy PromisesMichael A. Pisa, University of California, San DiegoOverview: TBADomestic Political Constraints and the Design of WorldBank ProgramsMatthew S. Winters, Columbia UniversityOverview: This paper examines how multilateral aid isdisbursed at the national level. Targeting multilateral aid tospecific domestic interest groups creates constraints on thenational government's choices within a domestic distributiongame.Trade Not Aid or Aid for Trade? Commercial Interests andthe Distribution of Foreign AidErik Lundsgaarde, University of WashingtonAseem Prakash, University of WashingtonOverview: This study evaluates the importance of trade andforeign direct investment ties as determinants of aid allocationsfrom 22 OECD donor countries to 187 aid recipients over theperiod 1980-2002.Lucy M. Goodhart, Columbia University13-6 LEGAL APPROACHES TO U.S. FOREIGNPOLICYRoomChairPaperPaperPaperTBA, Fri 8:30 amTBAForeign Policy by Commission: Intelligence ReformGlenn P. Hastedt, James Madison UniversityOverview: This paper looks at the place of presidentialcommissions in the foreign policy process by examining theiruse to improve the performance of the intelligence communityboth pre and post 9/11.E Pluribus Unum: Political Unification and PoliticalRealismJoseph M. Parent, Columbia UniversityOverview: Why do states politically unify voluntarily? Thispaper argues that unification is an extreme balancing behaviorprompted by extreme circumstances. I test the argument with adifficult case: the ratification of the U.S. Constitution.Crossing the Streams: Plan Colombia and the Manipulationof the Multiple StreamsKevin R. Watkins, William Paterson UniversityOverview: Does America's passage of "Plan Colombia" duringthe Clinton Administration invalidate the utility of JohnKingdon's multiple streams model?Paper Assassination and its Consequences, 1946-2000Zaryab Iqbal, University of South CarolinaChristopher Zorn, University of South CarolinaOverview: The first large-scale systematic analysis of thepolitical, social, and economic consequences of the 80-plusassassinations of heads of state since the end of the SecondWorld War.Disc.Sanford R. Silverburg, Catawba CollegeJeffrey K. Staton, Florida State University14-5 DEMOCRACY AND INTERNATIONALCONFLICTRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Fri 8:30 amDan Lindley, University of Notre DameDemocratic Deception: The Pathology of Domestic AudienceCostsPhillip Y. Lipscy, Harvard UniversityYevgeniy Kirpichevsky, Harvard UniversityOverview: Using a formal model in which public and privateoutcomes are separable, we demonstrate a potential flaw ofdomestic audience costs as a mechanism for crediblecommitment.How Does Democratic Institutions Work in Crises?Kwang-Jin Kim, University of Missouri, ColumbiaOverview: This paper examines how democratic peace theorywork in crises. The empirical test based on crisis data revealsthat the effect of democratic regime works only in the decisionstage in the high level of militarized disputes.Lenient or Severe Punishment: The Impacts of DemocraticWinners on the Postwar SettlementsAjin Choi, Yonsei UniversityOverview: This paper examines the impacts of democratictriumph on the international system by addressing the questionof whether democratic states treat the defeated differentlycompared to how non-democratic states treat them.Regime Type and Interstate War Duration: A CompetingRisks AnalysisAlex Weisiger, Columbia UniversityOverview: I present a competing risks analysis of hypothesesfrom recent and older literature about the effect of regime typeon interstate war duration, with the competing risks beingsettlement and conquest.Rivalry and Democratic State Conflict BehaviorRobert Packer, University of Michigan, Ann ArborOverview: This paper explores the impact of strategic rivalry onthe disputatous behavior of democratic states.Michael T. Koch, Texas A&M University15-5 INTERVENTION IN AN INTERNATIONALCONTEXTRoomChairPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Fri 8:30 amRenato Corbetta, University of Alabama, BirminghamThe Geopolitics of Civil War InterventionJacob D. Kathman, University of North Carolina, Chapel HillOverview: Whereas prior studies explaining civil warintervention focus narrowly on the dyadic links betweenintervener and civil war state, I argue that a fuller explanationmust also consider the geopolitical contexts in which civil warsoccur.Does Neighborhood Matter? On Spatial Interdependence ofCivil WarsAnoop K. Sarbahic, University of California, Los AngelesOverview: This paper examines spatial interdependence of civilwars and explains why civil wars are spatially clustered. This isdone by offering a better conceptualization of a badneighborhood.Intervention for the Connected?Aimee Tannehill-Lodigiani, University of California, DavisOverview: An examination of the international network ties ofstates experiencing intra-state conflict and the effects of theseties on third-party intervention.Renato Corbetta, University of Alabama, Birmingham15-15 TERRORISM, VIOLENCE AND ISLAMRoomChairPaperTBA, Fri 8:30 amWalid Phares, Florida Atlantic UniversityBeliefs over the Unknown: Understanding the Threat ofTerrorismMatthew C. Harding, Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMarcus Alexander, Harvard UniversityOverview: The paper explores how an optimal choice of anational security policy depends on the probability densitypolicymakers assign to the likelihood of the next terrorist attack.131