Saturday, April 22 – 3:45 pm – 5:30 pm1-101 ROUNDTABLE: REMAKING THEAMERICAN NATIONAL ELECTIONSTUDY: A NEW ERA BEGINSRoomPanelistTBA, Sat 3:45 pmArthur Lupia, University of Michigan, Ann ArborJon A. Krosnick, Stanford UniversityBrian Humes, National <strong>Science</strong> FoundationOverview: In 2005, NSF funded a dynamic new ANES. It notonly continues the presidential year study, it also adds panel andpilot studies and new ways to promote broad involvement insurvey development. This roundtable examines the changes andtheir benefits.2-13 STRATEGIC CHOICES AND POLITICALLEADERSHIPRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Sat 3:45 pmMichael Harris, Ferris State UniversityWhose Your Daddy? Legitimacy, Regime Type, and theDuration of Leadership TenureRandall J. Blimes, University of ColoradoOverview: The primary purpose of this paper is to explainleadership duration as a function of the success a leaderencounters following one or all of three different strategiesdesigned to maintain offce.Cabinet Reshuffles and Government Duration inParliamentary DemocraciesHande Mutlu, New York UniversityOverview: I examine the link between cabinet reshuffles andcabinet duration. Using competing risks approach and data on13 parliamentary democracies (1945-1987), I show thatreallocation of portfolios-itself an indicator of instability- canlead to stability.Choosing Leaders in FederationsKenneth W. Kollman, University of Michigan, Ann ArborOverview: The paper compares how leadership accession infederations is influenced by philosophies of governmentproposing centralization or devolution of power.Portfolio Allocation as Leadership Strategy in JapanYoshikuni Ono, University of Michigan, Ann ArborOverview: Constructing a formal model and drawing on data offactional affiliations in LDP cabinets between 1956 and 1991, Idemonstrate that portfolio allocation is an instrument the primeminister uses to handle intra-party and inter-party pressures.Michael Harris, Ferris State UniversityBonnie N. Field, Bentley College3-4 BOTTOM-UP, OUTSIDE-IN:CHALLENGING AND CHANGING THECHINESE STATE (Co-sponsored with AsianPolitics, see 8-15)RoomChairPaperPaperTBA, Sat 3:45 pmAndrew C. Mertha, Washington University, St. LouisBottom-Up, Outside-In: Challenging and Changing theChinese StateAndrew C. Mertha, Washington University, St. LouisYi Zhao, MacAllister CollegeOverview: TBAPopular Participation in Policy-Making and PolicyImplementation in ChinaMartin K. Dimitrov, Dartmouth CollegeOverview: Scholars assume that there is no popular input inpolicy-making in single-party states. Empirically based onenvironmental protection in China, this paper shows thatcitizens do have a variety of means through which they canaffect policy-making.PaperPaperPaperDisc.Between Bureaucrats and Markets: China's FrustratingInvolvement in Standards WarsScott Kennedy, Indiana University, BloomingtonOverview: This paper investigates Chinese efforts to set uniquetechnical standards in information technology. It finds thatChinese have had no success using standards as part of aprotectionist strategy.Foreign Direct Investment and <strong>Political</strong>ly Strong ChinaMaksym Kovalov, University of OklahomaOverview: This paper looks at how and where the Chinesegovernment has acquired the capacities to operate as a marketeconomy under centralized political control, given the highinflows of FDI into the Chinese economy.Policy Learning and China's Opening StrategyLawrence C. Reardon, University of New HampshireOverview: Having undergone a complex learning process thatrevealed the deficiencies of China’s thirty-year inwardlyorienteddevelopment regime, Chinese elites incrementallylearned to implement an outwardly-oriented regime in the1980s.Yi Zhao, MacAlester College3-5 POLITICAL LEADERSHIP AND DEMANDSIN ETHNIC AUTONOMY MOVEMENTSRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Sat 3:45 pmMary E. Breeding, American University, SPAResponses to Demands for Autonomy: Cultural Autonomy,Carvation, SecessionTavishi Bhasin, Emory UniversityAmy H. Liu, Emory UniversityOverview: Using game theory, we show that the concessionsgranted by the central government to demands for greaterautonomy depend on discount rates, expected electoral gains,economic clout, and ethnic heterogeneity. We test thehypotheses on multiple cases.The Dynamic Declines of the JVP's Waves of Contention inSri LankaBrent D. Hierman, Indiana University,BloomingtonOverview: This paper utilizes social mobilization literature toexplore factors that caused two insurgent waves launched by theJanatha Vimukthi Peramuna against the Ceylonese/Sri Lankanstate to crest from an initial upsurge and begin a downwardtrajectory.Question of Identity of Enclave People Between India andBangladeshPahi Saikia, McGill UniversityOverview: I examine the construction of a shared enclaveidentity of the people in the enclaves between India andBangladesh and what impact if any, does it have on thedilemmas of their citizenship? How can one possibly find a wayout of this situation?Pragmatic Ideologues: The Conflict of Strategic andNormative Interests in the Promotion of Democracy in Post-Civil-War StatesMadhav R. Joshi, University of North TexasOverview: Promotion of democracy in the post-civil-war state isdominant research agenda in political science right now. It hasbeen presumed that the democratic countries are more likely tosupport democracy in post-civil-war state if involved in theconflict.Jennifer Gandhi, Emory University4-5 ENHANCING TRANSITIONAL JUSTICEAND THE RULE OF LAWRoomChairPaperTBA, Sat 3:45 pmKaty Crossley-Frolick, DePaul UniversityFragile Judicial Independence in Latin America: A DecadeAfter ReformSilvia Inclan, UNAMOverview: This paper examines the effects of elections anddivided governments on executives' incentives for judicialindependence by looking at the Argentinean, Peruvian,234
PaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.Ecuadorian and Mexican experiences with recent judicialreforms.Anticipating the Consequences of Court Rulings: ThePolitics of Presidential Decrees in ChileDruscilla Scribner, University of Wisconsin, OshkoshOverview: This paper explains how and why the ChileanConstitutional Tribunal's interpretation of presidential powerhas an important "anticipated" effect on presidential use ofvarious types of decree power available in the Chilean politicalsystem.The Integration of East German Police in Post-UnifiedGermany: A Comparison of Berlin and BrandenburgKaty Crossley-Frolick, DePaul UniversityOverview: As one method of transitional justice, the paperdiscusses the processes and results of vetting former EastGerman police officers in Berlin and Brandenburg.Revisiting Transitional Justice: Latin America and BeyondDavid Backer, Stanford UniversityOverview: This paper examines the puzzle of why certaincountries alter the mode of accountability for past human rightsviolations that was adopted following the transition todemocracy, evaluating a range of factors in an analysis of 14Latin American cases.The Democratizing Impact of Justice: the Chilean ParadigmMark Ensalaco, University of DaytonOverview: The Chilean experience demonstrates that pursuit ofboth truth (restorative justice) and criminal prosecutions(retributive justice) can contribute to the restoration of the ruleof law, and democratic consolidation.Mark Massoud, University of California, Berkeley4-16 CONSOLIDATING GAINS IN AFRICANDEMOCRACIESRoomChairPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Sat 3:45 pmDavid H. Carwell, Eastern Illinois UniversityDemocratic Transitions and Stability in Africa: Role of<strong>Political</strong> EthnicityRaphael O. Ogom, DePaul UniversityOverview: The early 1990s marked a period of democratictransitions in Africa. However, many of these failed toconsolidate. We argue that this failure lies in the issue ofpolitical ethnicity and its dysfunctional manipulation by theAfrican political elite.Democratization in Sub-Saharan Africa: Progress andRetreatChris Lee, University of Minnesota, MorrisOverview: This is a paper that examines trends in African<strong>Political</strong> Development over the last thirty years and looksclosely at several cases where democratization seems to besucceeding and others where it has clearly failed.<strong>Political</strong> Reconciliation and Democratic Contestation inSouth Africa: Evaluating the Role of Opposition PartiesSince 1994Matt Murphy, Reed CollegeGraeme Blair, Reed CollegeOverview: Using data from federal and provincial elections,parliamentary votes, committee participation, and debates, welook for evidence of political reconciliation between oppositionparties and the dominant ANC in South Africa.TBA5-14 PARTIES' POLICY DYNAMICS INWESTERN EUROPE (Co-Sponsored withComparative Politics-Industrialized Countries,see 2-19)RoomChairTBA, Sat 3:45 pmBonnie M. Meguid, University of RochesterPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.Dynamic Representation in Western European PartySystemsJames F. Adams, University of California, DavisAndrea Haupt, University of California,Santa BarbaraHeather Stoll, University of California, Santa BarbaraOverview: We explore the linkages between public opinionshifts and parties' policy shifts in Western Europe.Valence Issue and Parties' Policy DynamicsMichael Clark, University of California, Santa BarbaraOverview: I investigate whether parties adjust their policyprogrammes in response to changes in their reputations forcompetence, unity, and integrity.Testing the Left-Right Dimensionality of the PartyManifesto DataErica E. Edwards, University of North Carolina, Chapel HillRyan Bakker, University of North Carolina, Chapel HillCatherine Netjes, Vrije Universiteit AmsterdamOverview: This paper investigates the cross-temporal and crossnationaldynamics underlying party positioning by employingcontent analyses of parties' policy programmes.Dynamic Distributional RepresentationLawrence Ezrow, Vrije Universiteit AmsterdamOverview: Does the diversity of policy choices on offer in apolitical system change in response to changes in the diversityof voters’ policy preferences? The empirical analyses in thispaper suggest the answer is yes.Are Changes in Factional Control the Source of Party Left-Right Volatility?Michael D. McDonald, Binghamton UniversityOverview: Investigation of whether party leadership changes area necessary condition for substantial change in party policyposition taking.Michael Laver, New York UniversityBonnie M. Meguid, University of Rochester5-20 THE IMPACT OF PUBLIC OPINION INEUROPE AND THE EURoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperTBA, Sat 3:45 pmFrancesca Vassallo, University of Southern MainePublic Support or Trust: Do Europeans Make theDifferentiation?Tracy S. Harbin, Syracuse UniversityOverview: This paper is designed to test if Europeans responddifferently to questions of "public support" and "trust." Thegoal is to understand if we can speak about trust in a meaningfulway that is different from the studies on public support.Conditional Effect of Public Opinion on Party Positions inEuropeHanbeom Jeong, University of KentuckySatoshi Machida, University of KentuckyOverview: This study examines the link between parties and thepublic in the context of European integration. We argue thatparty reactions to the public depend on the type of parties. Wesystematically test this hypothesis by using 2SLS.Does Immigrant Groups Influence Public Attitudes OnImmigration in Europe?Jason E. Kehrberg, University of KentuckyOverview: This study examines the public attitudes onimmigration across six different categories of immigrationfinding differnces.Culture, Benefits and Elite Cues: Attitudes TowardTurkey's EU MembershipDale L. Smith, Florida State UniversitySabri Ciftci, Florida State UniversityOverview: This paper argues that individual support forTurkey's EU membership is a function of both economic andcultural factors conditional on the degree of Euroskepticism anddivisiveness of national elites.235
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