14-1 GLOBALIZATION AND SECURITYRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Thur 8:30 amRenato Corbetta, University of Alabama, BirminghamA Feminist Analysis of Oil Shortage and PeaceMaryse C. Helbert, University of MelbourneOverview: This paper will talk about how women are directlyaffected by U.S. control of oil in three countries; Iraq, Nigeria,and Venezuela.Drug Trafficking and Non-Traditional Threats: Rethinkingthe Role of GlobalizationJohn A. Buchanan, University of Washington, SeattleOverview: Globalization is attributed to the rise of transnationaldrug networks. However, the rise of networks linking Burmawith the global market reflects the evolution of anti-narcoticsnorms and a readjustment of global narcotics structures.Failing Failed States: The Politics of Recognition andDecertificationBridget L. Coggins, The Ohio State UniversityOverview: A growing number of scholars advocatedecertification for failed States unwilling or unable to meetbasic standards of governance. Using insights from recognition,I argue that decertification would not result in more effectivedomestic government.Sovereignty/War: The Privileging of War as a ParticularForm of <strong>Political</strong> ViolenceChristopher B. McIntosh, University of ChicagoOverview: While war appears one of the most obvious andimportant concepts in structuring international relations andsecurity studies, little work has been done that treats the conceptitself as having an institutional quality.Alex Braithwaite, Pennsylvania State University15-1 ALLIANCES AND CONFLICTRoomChairPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Thur 8:30 amBrian Lai, University of IowaState Reputation and Alliance FormationJacob D. Kathman, University of North Carolina, Chapel HillMark Crescenzi, University of North Carolina, Chapel HillReed Wood, University of North Carolina, Chapel HillKatja Kleinberg, University of North Carolina, Chapel HillOverview: We develop a measure of state reputation for alliancereliability by considering each state's historical willingness tolive up to its alliance commitments. This measure is then usedto explain how states go about selecting their alliance partners.Major Power Security Guarantees and NuclearProliferationVolker Krause, Eastern Michigan UniversityOverview: This paper examines the extent to which arms,foreign aid, and military assistance in armed conflict maycomplement or substitute for alliances as major power securityguarantees to prevent nuclear proliferation.Joining the Club: the Politics of Alliance ExpansionChristopher M. Sprecher, Texas A&M UniversityOverview: This paper examines the expansion of alliances from1816-2000. I demonstrate that when both sides gain materialbenefits there is an incentive to expand an alliance, and acommon threat is secondary in the expansion decision calculus.Brian Lai, University of Iowa16-1 AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY UNDERGEORGE W. BUSH (Co-sponsored withInternational Relations, see 11-21)RoomChairPaperTBA, Thur 8:30 amBenjamin O. Fordham, SUNY, Binghamton UniversityThe Realists versus Bush 43's Foreign Policy: The State ofthe DebateWilliam D. Anderson, Western Illinois UniversityOverview: Various IR "realists" have criticized parts of Bush43's foreign policy; these criticisms have not gone withoutrebuttal. The paper summarizes the state of the debate, andcritiques both sides.PaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.<strong>Political</strong> Violence Today: The Categories, The Innocent, andJust UseBryan E. Brophy-Baermann, Lawrence UniversityOverview: <strong>Political</strong> violence abounds; however, there is littlepublic consensus on when it can be used, whom to target, andwhat to call it when it is used. Why? Types of violence areconverging, innocents are disappearing, and norms of violenceare in flux.Enforcement of International Human Rights ThroughCoercive Foreign PolicyDavid T. Hutt, Legal Services of Central New York, Inc.Overview: This study considers factors influencing the use ofcoercive foreign policies by France, the United Kingdom andthe United States as a means to enforcement internationalhuman rights laws between 1990 and 1994, and theeffectiveness of such policies.Democracy in Iraq? Why Multiple Levels of Analysis areNeededMarshall L. Lilly, Ohio UniversityOverview: This paper attempts to fully grasp the scope of theproblems facing democracy in Iraq by examining state, regional,and international-level problems.George W. Bush's Foreign Policy in PerspectiveBenjamin Zyla, Royal Military College of CanadaOverview: This paper looks at the George W. Bushadministration and argues that by looking at American foreignpolicy traditions his foreign policy is neither surprising nor new.Donald D. A. Schaefer, University of Louisiana, Lafayette17-1 ASSESSING THE EFFECTS OFINTERNATIONAL LAW ANDINSTITUTIONSRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Thur 8:30 amJon Pevehouse, University of WisconsinThe International and Domestic Politics of IMF <strong>Program</strong>sJames R. Vreeland, Yale UniversityOverview: How international relations determine the effects ofdomestic institutions on IMF program participation.Success and Failure in International Law: When Does LawMake a Difference?Oon Hathaway, Yale UniversityOverview: Why is international law sometimes so powerful andat other times so powerless? Part of the answer can be found byconsidering the interlocking influence of international legalenforcement, domestic legal enforcement, and payoffs andpayback.Unequal Law: Procedural Costs of GATT/WTO Rules onDeveloping CountriesMoonhawk Kim, Stanford UniversityOverview: This paper examines whether changes in the disputesettlement procedure from the GATT to the WTO have made itmore or less difficult for developing countries to advance theirclaims in trade disputes.Ratification and Compliance in the International ClimateChange RegimeJana von Stein, University of Michigan, Ann ArborOverview: I explore the relationship between institutionaldesign, ratification and compliance in internationalenvironmental affairs. I test my hypotheses empirically usingdata on greenhouse gas emissions and ratification of two coreclimate change treaties.Are Effective Regimes for the Converts Only: RelatingAssignment to Effectiveness in International InstitutionsNikolay Marinov, Yale UniversityOverview: The more effective a regime is, the less randommembership is. This paper evaluates the direction of the biascaused by non-random assignment, and proposes somestatistical solutions to the problem of evaluating effectiveness.Jon Pevehouse, University of Wisconsin72
18-1 ADVANCES IN THE STUDY OFAMBIVALENCE (Co-sponsored with PublicOpinion, see 22-18)RoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Thur 8:30 amJason Barabas, Harvard UniversityA Theory of Partisan AmbivalenceMarco R. Steenbergen, University of North Carolina, ChapelHillHoward Lavine, Stony Brook UniversityDelia N. Goolsby, University of North Carolina, Chapel HillOverview: We propose a theory whereby partisanship has bothstable identity and dynamic evaluative components. We thenassess the implications for partisan ambivalence, using NESpanel data as the primary source.An Information Processing Theory of AmbivalenceThomas J. Rudolph, University of Illinois, Urbana-ChampaignElizabeth Popp, University of Illinois, Urbana-ChampaignOverview: This paper develops and tests an informationprocessing theory of ambivalence. We argue that ambivalence isa function of the cognitive effort with which individuals processinformation relevant to political judgments.Contextual Sources of AmbivalenceJennifer Wolak, University of Colorado, BoulderLuke Keele, The Ohio State UniversityOverview: We explore the causes of ambivalence inpartisanship and candidate evaluations, considering individuallevel explanations such as attitude strength and knowledge andcontextual factors in the way political choices are presented inthe environment.Moderating Framing Effects: The Role of Ambivalence andAffectTodd K. Hartman, Stony Brook UniversityOverview: This study examines the role of ambivalence andaffect as moderators of framing effects. These measures aretested against existing constructs like the "need for cognition,""need to evaluate," political sophistication, etc.Paul R. Brewer, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee19-8 GETTING OUT THE VOTERoomChairPaperPaperPaperTBA, Thur 8:30 amRyan L. Claassen, Kent State UniversityCampaigns and Turnout: Inferences from ObservationalDataCarol A. Cassel, University of AlabamaOverview: How do campaigns mobilize voters? Experimentalstudies find personal contacts effective but aggregate studiespoint to more expensive, impersonal campaigns. This study teststhe influence of personal contacts and mass communications onturnout.Does Publicity of Voting Records Increase Voter Turnout?A Field ExperimentAlan S. Gerber, Yale UniversityMark Grebner, Practical <strong>Political</strong> Consulting Inc.Donald P. Green, Yale UniversityChristopher W. Larimer, University of Nebraska, LincolnOverview: We use a field experiment to test whetherneighborhood mailings containing the names and voting recordsof registered voters increase voter turnout. We test thehypothesis that pressure to conform to civic norms increasesvoter turnout.The Ground War in the 2004 Presidential ElectionCampaignDavid B. Magleby, Brigham Young UniversityQuin Monson, Brigham Young UniversityKelly D. Patterson, Brigham Young UniversityOverview: Using data collected from a 2004 national surveyvoters who kept a log of all of their campaign communicationsduring the last three weeks of the presidential campaign, weexamine what predicts the type of political contacts that votersreceive.PaperPaperDisc.Unpacking the Black Box of Door-to-Door CanvassingDavid Nickerson, University of Notre DameOverview: This paper uses a survey conducted after arandomized voter mobilization experiment to uncover thepsychological mechanisms that cause door-to-door canvassingto increase voter turnout.Is Voting an Unaffordable Luxury? Information Cost andVoter BehaviorMary L. Schumann, University of Illinois, ChicagoOverview: An examination of the impact on politicalparticipation during local, off-year elections when the cost ofcollecting candidate and issue information is removed.Ryan L. Claassen, Kent State UniversityDavid Darmofal, University of South Carolina21-1 ELECTORAL REFORMRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Thur 8:30 amRichard D. Chesteen, University of Tennessee, MatinReapportionment in Taiwan-Strategies for DemarcatingElectoral DistrictsHsing-ti Cheng, Fo Guang UniversityOverview: This paper attempts to map out electoral-districtingstrategies for 2007 congressional election in Taiwan. Forresearch purposes, literature review, case studies and "Delphitechnique" will be conducted.Carter-Baker Election Reform: Too Much, Too Little, TooEarly, Too LateRichard D. Chesteen, University of Tennessee, MatinOverview: This paper looks at the American University JamesBaker-Jimmy Carter Election Reform Report (2005) in thecontext of the requirements of the Help America Vote Act'srequirements and the current stage of the states' readiness forcompliance to them.Apportionment and Presidential Election OutcomesJason Reifler, Loyola University, ChicagoOverview: Small changes in how we apportion the ElectoralCollege would have reversed the outcome of the 2000 election.I examine which choices would have led to a Gore victory, andcomment about how such choices might affect future electionoutcomes.Liven Up! How Electoral Reform Can Rejuvinate AmericanDemocracyMary Ryan, Fair Vote-Center for Voting and DemocracyOverview: Electing women and racial minorities is a vitalcomponent to a strong American democracy. Now is the timeto discuss how to adopt electoral reform that provides fairrepresentation, builds community, and solves problemscooperatively and directly.U.S. Federal Voter Assistance Policy: Civic Engagement andGlobal DemocracyVictoria A. Doyon, Overseas Vote FoundationSusan Dziedusyzcka-Suinat, Overseas Vote FoundationOverview: U.S. civilian and military citizens living abroad havea right to a practical voter registration system. Current policiesand programs, however, are not conducive to enfranchisement.An overseas voter survey sheds light on specific areas forchange.Gregg R. Murray, SUNY, Brockport22-4 AFRICAN AMERICAN POLITICALATTITUDES (Co-sponsored with Race, Classand Ethnicity, see 26-21)RoomChairPaperTBA, Thur 8:30 amNicholas J. G. Winter, Cornell UniversityAbortion Attitudes of Hispanic and Black WomenR. Michael Alvarez, California Institute of TechnologyDelia Grigg Bailey, California Institute of TechnologyJonathan Nagler, New York UniversityOverview: We study the abortion attitudes of Hispanic andBlack women, and examine their impact on presidential votepreference.73
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