9-4 STATE BUILDING AND BUREAUCRATICBEHAVIORRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.70TBA, Thur 8:30 amVictor T. Le Vine, Washington University, St. LouisNGOs and Local Government Performance in AfricaGina M. S. Lambright, George Washington UniversityOverview: An active civil society is believed to help improvegovernment performance. Research in Uganda indicates that thenumber of NGOs is not related to better performing localgovernments. This paper explores this puzzle with data fromUganda and Kenya.Decentralization as Patronage? Local Government andRegime Support in UgandaJeffrey K. Krutz, Columbia UniversityOverview: An analysis (using statistical methods and GIS) ofwhether the creation of new administrative units in Uganda canbe characterized as response to need for improved servicedelivery, or as reward for support of the incumbent in particularregions.Fiscal Governance and Public Services: Evidence fromTanzania and ZambiaBarak D. Hoffman, University of California, San DiegoClark C. Gibson, University of California, San DiegoOverview: Sources of revenue affect government expenditure.More local taxes increases the budget share of services; morecentral government transfers and foreign aid increases the shareof salaries and administrative costs. We test Tanzanian andZambian data.How do Voters Evaluate Corruption? Gap Between ActualCorruption and Voters' PerceptionsTetsuya Fujiwara, Michigan State UniversityOverview: The research question in this paper is: Do voterscorrectly capture actual corruption, or simply guess the degreeof political corruption? In both aggregate- and individual-levelsanalyses, I explain the gap between actual corruption andperceptions.Bureaucratic Incentives and Decentralizing ForestManagement in AfricaPamela A. Jagger, Indiana University, BloomingtonOverview: This paper addresses the question: what are theincentives of mid-level bureaucrats of federal governmentagencies involved in the implementation of democraticdecentralization reforms focused on forest management in EastAfrica?Victor T. Le Vine, Washington University, St. Louis10-1 CANDIDATE AND VOTER BEHAVIOR INTHE RUSSIAN FEDERATIONRoomChairPaperPaperPaperTBA, Thur 8:30 amElena McClean, University of RochesterBusinessman Candidates: The Nature of Special-InterestPolitics in Postcommunist RussiaScott Gehlbach, University of Wisconsin, MadisonKonstantin Sonin, New Economic School, MoscowEkaterina Zhuravskaya, CEFIR, MoscowOverview: We explore the phenomenon of businessmancandidates, businessmen who attempt to influence policy byrunning for public office, using a unique dataset of matchedfirm and candidate characteristics for all gubernatorial electionsin postcommunist Russia.Promoting Parties? Electoral Effects of Russia's 2001 PartyLawBryon Moraski, University of FloridaOverview: The paper examines the impact of Russia's 2001party law on the organizational capacity of Russian partiesduring the 2003 Duma election.Independents and Partisans in the Russian DumaTanya G. Bagashka, University of RochesterOverview: I address the following questions: 1)Did deputiesunaffiliated with a political party at the electoral stage vote asnon-partisans once in the Russian Duma?; 2)Were theindependent deputies more likely to follow the wishes of theirelectoral district?PaperPaperDisc.Sources Against All Candidates Vote in Post-Soviet SMDsRaminta Stockute, University of KansasOverview: I examine the role and its extent of districtcharacteristics, candidate quality, and a set of parties in thedistrict's SMD-tier on the share of votes cast against allcandidates in the district. Focus: Russia and Ukraine (nationalelections).Proximity vs. Directional Models: Polish ParliamentaryElections in 2005Piotr Paradowski, Loyola University, ChicagoOverview: The task of this paper is to compare the relativecontributions of directional and proximity models on politicalparty preferences in the Polish electorate during 2005parliamentary elections.Andrew Konitzer, Austin College10-17 NEW ELITES, ELITE RECRUITMENT, ANDELITE BEHAVIOR IN THE POST-COMMUNIST WORLDRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Thur 8:30 amJohn Ishiyama, Truman State UniversityLaw Making and Decree Making in the Russian FederationThomas F. Remington, Emory UniversityMoshe Haspel, Spelman CollegeSteven S. Smith, Washington University, Saint LouisOverview: Based on the Russian case, we analyze theconstitutional, policy, and strategic considerations influencing apresident's choice over which institutional path to use inenacting policy--bargaining with parliament over legislation orunilateral decree.The (Re-)Professionalization of Post-Communist <strong>Political</strong>ElitesCarol S. Leff, University of Illinois, Urbana-ChampaignOverview: A conceptual framework for the analysis of elitecredentialing and de-credentialing after 1989 in 13 EasternEuropean countries. This framework is used to analyze theshifting recruitment patterns of some 3000 post-communistcabinet ministers.Belarus: Presidential Strategies for Personal DominationIoulia Shukan, Institut d'Etudes Politiques de ParisOverview: This paper puts the emphasis on studying thePresident Lukashenka's strategies of resource accumulation(political authority, discretionary powers, public goods,profitable economic activities) and their reallocation throughfavoritism and patronage.Elite Replacement and Municipal Performance in Bosniaand HerzegovinaJohn W. Hulsey, Indiana University, BloomingtonOverview: This paper explores the hypothesis that elitereplacement at the municipal level is associated with poorermunicipal performance in Bosnia and Herzegovina using dataon citizen satisfaction and implementation of property lawsregarding returnees.East German Members of the German Bundestag - ADifferent Elite?Melanie Kintz, Western Michigan UniversityOverview: Focusing on demographic characteristics, this paperinvestigates differences and similarities of East and WestGerman members of the Bundestag. Are East Germansbecoming more similar to their West German peers or do theyremain a different elite?John Ishiyama, Truman State University11-1 BARGAINING, CREDIBLE COMMITMENT,AND SIGNALINGRoomChairPaperTBA, Thur 8:30 amDavid H. Bearce, University of PittsburghInternational Institutions as Outside Options in BilateralBargainingSongying Fang, University of MinnesotaOverview: The paper develops a model of bilateral bargainingwith appealing to an international institution as an outsideoption. The results show that the expectation about the decision
PaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.reached by the institution significantly affects the bargainingoutcome.Without Carrots or Sticks: How Do Weak InternationalInstitutions Matter?Xinyuan Dai, University of Illinois, Urbana-ChampaignOverview: This paper provides a rationalist framework whereweak international institutions may nevertheless influence astate's behavior by altering the strategic environment that agovernment faces domestically.Spiraling, Deterrence, and HegemonyYevgeniy Kirpichevsky, Harvard UniversityAmit Modi, Harvard UniversityOverview: We present a unifying framework for understandinghegemonic stability in a world where uncertainty exists aboutboth resolve and intentions of the hegemon. Thereby, we bridgethe gap between spiral and deterrence theories.Public Commitment in Crisis BargainingAhmer Tarar, Texas A&M UniversityBahar Leventoglu, Stony Brook UniversityOverview: It has long been argued that audience costs arebeneficial because they allow for credible informationtransmission. We show how audience costs can be used togenerate bargaining leverage and may lead to war, even undercomplete information.The US-North Korea Geneva AgreementEunyoung Ha, University of California, Los AngelesOverview: The goal of this paper is to analyze the strategicchoices of the United States and North Korea in the nuclearcrisis of the early 1990s and to explain their crediblecommitments to reach the Geneva Agreed Framework in 1994.Christopher R. Way, Cornell University11-7 IR AND THE DEVELOPING WORLDRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Thur 8:30 amKimberly Hudson, Brown UniversityCooperation, Collusion and Coercion: The Third World andInternational Relations TheoryRegina M. Baker, University of OregonOverview: I critique neoliberal institutionalism for its failure toaccount for the north-south divide, and introduce an alternativeframework that mitigates the great power bias in internationalrelations theory.A Geopolitical Analysis of the Politics of Power in the NewAfrica:The Hegemonic Rivalry Case Nigeria vs. SouthAfricaCyril Fegue, Western Michigan UniversityOverview: After ubiquitous surge of enhanced democratizationin the 1990s, Africa is claiming a New Role in Global Politics.This venture is premised by the emergence of a moralizingregional superpower to occupy the empty-left hegemon'sfauteuil.Cosmopolitanism Reversed: The Case of Latin AmericaAriel F. Ivanier, Boston UniversityOverview: My paper discusses the impact of Neoliberalism inthe reversal of social and economic rights in Latin Americathroughout the 1980s and 1990s.The Self-Determination Concept: Towards an InternationalRelations UnderstandingMohamed Daadaoui, University of OklahomaOverview: The paper examines modern self-determinationtheory in its two broad categories: classical and secessionist andargues for a constructivist understanding of its key concepts of'indigenous peoples' and international stability.Richard W. Chadwick, University of Hawaii12-1 THE POLITICS OF FOREIGN DIRECTINVESTMENT (Co-sponsored withComparative Politics-Developing Countries, see3-27)RoomChairTBA, Thur 8:30 amGabriela Nava-Campos, Northwestern UniversityPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.Regime Type and FDI: How Do MNC's Decide?Steven R. Hall, Ball State UniversityOverview: This paper seeks to enhance our understanding of theimpact of democracy on FDI by modeling corporate investmentdecisions.Reconsider the <strong>Political</strong> Economy of FDI: A Cross-SectoralStudy of ChinaYing Lin, University of WashingtonOverview: Despite high presence of FDI across many Chineseindustries, why do some industries quickly catch-up whenothers fail to do so? I argue government policies have played acrucial role in determining the outcome of technologicaldevelopment.Foreign Direct Investment and Institutions: Obstacles orOpportunities?Joseph W. Robbins, Texas Tech UniversityOverview: This study considers institutional arrangements andFDI attraction in FSU and Latin American countries.Preliminary results indicate that stronger executives can attracthigher FDI levels where expropriation threats are minimal.Does Democracy Attract or Discourage Inflows of ForeignDirect Investment?Seung-Whan Choi, University of Illinois, ChicagoYiagadeesen Samy, Carleton UniversityOverview: When FDI panel data for developing countries overthe past two decades are properly analyzed with an improvedmodel of fixed-effects, the empirical results uncover thatdemocracy does not matter in either attracting or discouragingFDI inflows.Lawrence C. Reardon, University of New Hampshire13-4 REGIONAL APPROACHES TOINTERNATIONAL POLITICSRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Thur 8:30 amWill H. Moore, Florida State UniversityAggregation Model for State Preferences on RegionalIntegrationMin-hyung Kim, University of WashigtonOverview: Arguing that different state preferences explain thevariation in outcome-depth and evolution-of regionalintegration, this paper aims to develop an aggregation model forstate preference on regional integration.Anti-Americanism in Sub-Saharan AfricaDevra C. Moehler, Cornell UniversityNicolas van de Walle, Cornell UniversityOverview: Anti-Americanism is more muted in Sub-SaharanAfrica than in other regions of the world. This paper employs acombination of survey and national-level data to evaluate fivehypotheses for the relatively benign view Africans have of theUnited States.Armenian Diaspora: Influence on the Homeland ofArmenia's Foreign PolicyJeremy Richart, Illinois State UniversityOverview: Are the Armenian diaspora able to influence theforeign relations decisions of the Armenian national governmentand if so, how this influence manifests itself?Latin American Responses to the Bush DoctrineBrandon G. Valeriano, University of Illinois, ChicagoVictor Marin, Rice UniversityOverview: In this paper, I discuss Latin American responses toAmerica’s doctrine under the Bush administration regarding thepreemptive use of force as an optimal strategy to deal withinternational threats and terrorism.Cooperating Against (Small State) Global Marginalization:The African Union (AU) and CARICOM on Haiti 2004Rita Kiki Edozie, Michigan State UniversityOverview: Examines the 2004 Haitian crisis and new globalgovernance and international security trends with respect to thejoint AU and CARICOM response to Aristide's ousting.Will H. Moore, Florida State University71
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PaperDisc.The Judicial Treatment of