11-9 NEW THEORIES AND THUS NEWDEBATESRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Sat 10:30 amDuane Adamson, Brigham Young UniversityChristianity and International Politics in the Thought ofReinhold Niebuhr and Herbert ButterfieldPier Domenico Tortola, Boston UniversityOverview: This paper compares Niebuhr and Butterfield'sapplications of Christian ideas to the analysis of interstatepolitics and sheds light on the broader theoretical andepistemological "debate" between realism and the EnglishSchool.Culture in International Relations Theory: ComparativeAnalysis of Social Theory of International Politics and Clashof Civilizations TheoryWael J. Haboub, University of Illinois, ChicagoOverview: This study will analyze the core assumptions of bothClash of Civilization Theory articulated by Samuel Huntingtonand that of Alexander Wendt's Social Theory of InternationalPolitics.The Utility of Justificatory Analysis in InternationalRelations ResearchTravis B. Nelson, University of Wisconsin, MadisonOverview: This paper examines the use of justifications as apart of empirical research in international relations and arguesthat the promise and pitfalls of justificatory analysis point notonly to caution but to both normative and strategic utility.Evolutionary Approaches to the Study of InternationalRelationsTamas Golya, University of OregonOverview: This paper seeks to specify in what sense findings ofevolutionary psychology can expand and fertilize internationalrelations (=IR) theory, but also how not to do it. It also speaks tothe relative relevance of each of the main paradigms in IR.Synthetic Theories and the Study of <strong>Political</strong> ViolenceJonathan Obert, University of ChicagoMatthias Staisch, University of ChicagoOverview: Endorses theoretical synthesis in IR, but criticizes itsadvocates for not having attained it. Presents a three-stepprocedure based on a typology of causal questions and relatedmodes of explanation and applies it to the study of politicalviolence.Rashida Hussain, Wright State University13-9 SIGNALS AND NETWORKSRoomChairPaperPaperPaperTBA, Sat 10:30 amBahar Leventoglu, SUNY, Stony Brook UniversityModelling Transgovernmental Network Choices withExponential Random Graph ModelsPaul W. Thurner, University of MannheimMartin Binder, University of MannheimOverview: We investigate the motives for establishingtransgovernmental network choices. Focal actors are highofficials of the EU member states’ ministerial bureaucracy.Exponential Random Graph Models are used for testing ourhypotheses.Effects of Historical Analogies on Foreign Policy DecisionProcessesNehemia Geva, Texas A&M UniversityDouglas Kuberski, Texas A&M UniversityOverview: An experimental test of the proposition that exposureto historical analogies make people less sensitive to theinformation about the current crisis, thereby increasing supportfor leaders' advocated foreign policy.Preferences, Power, and Policy ChoiceMark A. Souva, Florida State UniversityOverview: Given a particular type of crisis, what factors mostaffect how a state responds? I argue that the primary factorsaffecting foreign policy choice are the similarity of foreignpolicy preferences and the balance of power in the dyad.PaperDisc.Public Commitment in Crisis BargainingAhmer Tarar, Texas A&M UniversityBahar Leventoglu, Stony Brook UniversityOverview: It has long been argued that audience costs arebeneficial because they allow for credible informationtransmission. We show how audience costs can be used togenerate bargaining leverage and may lead to war, even undercomplete information.Branislav L. Slantchev, University of California, San DiegoAhmer Tarar, Texas A&M University14-9 THE GLOBAL CHALLENGE OFTERRORISMRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Sat 10:30 amFrank La Verness, St. John’s UniversityInternational Terrorism and Trade: A SimultaneousEquation ModelAndrada Irina S. Costoiu, University of Illinois, ChicagoOverview: It is argued that the terrorist actions reduce thevolume of international trade and vice versa. Using asimultaneous equation model, I find compelling evidence thatterrorism and international trade determine each other.Terrorism as a Narrative PracticeMaarten G. D. Rothman, Netherlands Defense AcademyOverview: Terrorist messages are analyzed as projectingparticular narratives, playing to an audience, using specifictechniques, producing specific theatrical effects. This papersearches various terrorist narratives for clues about theirprospective success.Terrorism in North Africa: Going Global?Lianne E. Kennedy Boudali, United States Military AcademyOverview: Recent communications from North African terroristgroups indicate greater identification with the trans-nationalagenda of the "global jihad."Terrorism in the Horn of Africa: Where Bin Laden BeganTseggai Isaac, University of Missouri, RollaOverview: Terrorists inspired by Al Qaeda had long establishedbases in the Horn. They carried out acts of violence againstcivilians. This paper chronicles terrorism in view of the Horncountries plea for assistance and Western ambivalence to theproblem.Terrorist Organizations and Sub-National GovernmentalRelationsKevin E. Grisham, University of California, RiversideOverview: An exploration of how to characterize and measurethe relationships between subnational government units andterrorist organizations in the modern era.Bradley F. Podliska, Texas A&M UniversityFrank La Verness, St. John’s University15-9 DOMESTIC POLITICS AND CONFLICTRoomChairPaperPaperPaperTBA, Sat 10:30 amStephen B. Long, Kansas State UniversityWhat Will You Know?: Explaining Within DemocracyVariance in Foreign Policy Institutions and ConflictBehaviorMichael P. Colaresi, Michigan State UniversityOverview: This paper explains important distinctions betweendemocratic governments based on retrospective foreign policyinformation institutions.<strong>Political</strong> Liberalization and the Threat of ViolenceUrsula E. Daxecker, University of New OrleansOverview: This paper investigates the causes of violencefollowing political liberalization. Private information onbargaining strength and the ability of the outgoing regime tonegotiate its own exit terms are argued to affect the range ofpossible outcomes.An Informational Theory of National Leaders, DomesticInstitutions, and International ConflictScott Wolford, Emory UniversityOverview: Prior beliefs over the resolve of national leaders areendogenized to the informational consequences of domestic206
PaperDisc.institutions, resulting in novel hypotheses and evidence aboutthe effects of leadership turnover on international conflict.The Politics of International RivalryDaniel S. Morey, University of IowaOverview: Drawn from a model of domestic politics andrivalries, the central hypothesis of this paper is that only verycostly wars will lead to rivalry termination. The cost from warmust be extreme to displace domestic factions favoring rivalrycontinuation.Stephen B. Long, Kansas State University16-6 THE INSTRUMENTS OF AMERICANFOREIGN POLICYRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Sat 10:30 amKaty Crossley-Frolick, DePaul UniversityBeyond Dependency: The Politics of Foreign Military BasesMonica M. Sickles, Miami UniversityJennifer Hamilton, Miami UniversityOverview: This paper examines the consequences of USpolicies to maintain military outposts across the globe. Movingbeyond traditional dependency arguments, we examine how thepresence of US bases may encourage the development ofmilitarized societies.An Analysis of US Sanctions Against International DrugTraffickingDavid Lektzian, University of New OrleansOverview: An empirical analysis of US coercive economicdiplomacy toward drug producing and trafficking countries.Instructing Soldiers for the StatesMartin J. Kifer, University of MinnesotaOverview: Through a combination of qualitative andquantitative methods, this project will explain allocationstrategies for U.S. military training aid to foreign militaries fromthe Cold War to the current era after September 11th.The Substitutability of SecurityPeter Rudloff, University of Illinois, Urbana-ChampaignOverview: Paper presents a model of security policy decisionmaking specifying the relative strategy costs and statecapabilities across a range of resource or cost types to explorethe conditions under which sets of security strategies aresubstitutable.Operationalizing "Soft" PowerPeter A. Furia, Wake Forest UniversityOverview: This paper utitlizes crossnational public opinion datato operationalize the concept of "soft power" in a rigoroussocial-scientific way. This allows for preliminary analysis of asyet untested claims about soft power's causes and consequences.Bijan Moeinian, Valencia College17-8 THE EFFECTIVENESS OFINTERNATIONAL HUMAN RIGHTSAGREEMENTSRoomChairPaperPaperTBA, Sat 10:30 amNikolay Marinov, Yale UniversityDomestic Judicial Institutions, Treaty Adoption andComplianceJeffrey K. Staton, Florida State UniversityEmilia J. Powell, Florida State UniversityOverview: We develop and test theoretical model of treatyadoption and compliance that considers how features of thedomestic judicial system influence state choices to adopt andcomply with international human rights norms.Ratification of Human Rights Treaties and Regional PoliticsHeather M. Smith, University of California, San DiegoOverview: Why do states ratify human rights treaties? Statesengage in a competitive signaling game with their regional peersto attract foreign aid, particularly during regional politicalcrises. Empirical testing lends tentative support to this assertion.PaperPaperDisc.International Humanitarian Law and Civil War: CivilianTargeting, 1980-2004Jessica A. Stanton, Columbia UniversityOverview: This paper seeks to understand why somegovernments and rebel groups engage in deliberate attacks oncivilians during civil war, while other actors respect theprinciple of noncombatant immunity, largely complying withinternational humanitarian law.The Beijing Declaration Ten Years Later: A GlobalAssessment of Women's RightsD. Christopher Brooks, St. Olaf CollegeOverview: An empirical evaluation of the progress made toimplement the 1995 Beijing Declaration's provisions for theprotection of women's rights globally and regionally.Nikolay Marinov, Yale University18-10 PARTICIPATION AND POLITICAL ACTIONRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Sat 10:30 amKwang-Il Yoon, University of Michigan, Ann ArborWhat Motivates <strong>Political</strong> Participation: An ExperimentalTestJoanne M. Miller, University of MinnesotaOverview: Current models of political participation areinadequate insomuch as they do not adequately incorporatemotivation. To fill this gap, this project reports the results of anexperiment that tests a general theory of political motivation.Does Valuing Opinion Diversity Help Predict <strong>Political</strong>Participation?Eric A. Whitaker, University of Nebraska, LincolnOverview: Empirical investigations have neglected thetheoretical link between opinion diversity and politicalparticipation. In exploring this relationship, I find that valuingopinion diversity significantly predicts some types of politicalparticipation.Extreme Voices or Good Citizens Local Civic EngagementReconsideredChristopher F. Karpowitz, Princeton UniversityOverview: This paper reconsiders the argument that local publicmeetings are driven by the interests and perspectives ofextremists.<strong>Political</strong> Bullies: What Factors are Related to Recruitmentfor Exremist Activities in America?Eugenia K. Guilmartin, Command and General Staff College,US ArmyOverview: What factors are related to recruitment for extremistactivities? This paper analyzes responses to a survey of USArmy personnel (2001) to advance the profile of a "politicalbully."Why Are People Willing to Die for Their Country?Oleg Smirnov, University of MiamiJohn Orbell, University of OregonHolly Arrow, University of OregonDouglas Kennett, University of OregonOverview: We create a formal evolutionary model of "heroism,"altruistic violence against outsiders on behalf of one's group,and show that heroism can evolve via multi-level selectionindependent of other forms of altruism.Lori M. Weber, California State University, ChicoDavid C. Barker, University of Pittsburgh19-16 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONSRoomChairPaperTBA, Sat 10:30 amKelly D. Patterson, Brigham Young UniversityFiscal Policy: Implicit in the Trial-Heat and Time-For-Change Models?Alfred G. Cuzán, University of West FloridaCharles M. Bundrick, University of West FloridaOverview: Comparing the fiscal model of presidential electionswith Abramowitz's and Campbell's, we show that while all threemodels perform equally well at forecasting, the fiscal modeloffers greater understanding of voter behavior than the othertwo.207
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