PaperPaperDisc.Riptides in Ontario: Contrasting Strategies of ExecutiveReform, 1985-2005Brendan F. Burke, Bridgewater State CollegeOverview: This paper studies the political and administrativeleadership of Ontario premiers from 1985 to the present day asthey represent Liberal, New Democratic Party, and ProgressiveConservative Party interests.Policy Capacity in Canadian Intergovernmental RelationsPatricia L. O'Reilly, Ryerson UniversityGregory J. Inwood, Ryerson UniversityCarolyn M. Johns, Ryerson UniversityOverview: Using a comparative analysis based on primaryresearch material, this paper focuses on the factors which inhibitor enhance successful intergovernmental policy capacity inCanada by examining the sectors of trade, environment andhealth.Chris Manfredi, McGill University7-14 OPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS: THEQUALITY OF DEMOCRACY IN LATINAMERICARoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Sat 1:45 pmJose Vargas-Hernandez, Instituto tecnologico de cd. GuzmanDo Plebiscites Foster Democratic Institutions andAccountability?Patricio D. Navia, New York UniversityAngelica Duran, New York UniversityOverview: Effects of recent national referenda and plebiscite inLatin America on democratic accountability. Informationasymmetries confuse issues. Politicians with an organizedsupport base benefit from overall low turnout rates.<strong>Political</strong> Scandals and the Dynamic of Politics in LatinAmerican CountriesMaria Andrea Castagnola, University of PittsburghOverview: I explain why Latin American countries experiencedan increase of political scandals covered by media, and what theimplications for national politics are. I conduct a cross-countrytime-series analysis of 17 countries of the region during 1980-2001.The Role of the OAS in the <strong>Political</strong> Crisis of VenezuelaJesus Sanchez, Ohio UniversityOverview: The OAS's intervention in Venezuela reveals thelimited consensus among its members as to how the DemocraticCharter should be applied and the capacity of the US to dictatethe terms under which the OAS intervention took place.Civil Society, Protest, and Democracy: The Case ofArgentinaEduardo Frajman, University of Maryland, College ParkOverview: The paper examines the role of civil society and newsocial movements in the protests that shook Argentina in 2001.Criticizes current theories of civil society and NSM’s forfocusing too much on cultural and not enough on economicconflicts.Interests and Interest Groups and the Consolidation ofLatin American DemocracyClive S. Thomas, University of Alaska SoutheastOverview: Is a viable interest group system essential to theconsolidation of Latin American democracy? In answer, thispaper presents a framework for understanding the development,current role, and future developments of interest groups in theregion.Decentralization in Costa Rica: The Impact of Reform onParticipation and AccountabilityJeffrey Ryan, University of ArkansasOverview: Decentralization advocates generally claim it willenhance political participation and accountability. I argue thatits impact (particularly in the functional and capacity areas) onthese democratic elements may be more curvilinear than direct.Lucio R. Renno, University of ArizonaAnibal Perez-Linan, University of Pittsburgh8-11 TRANSNATIONAL FORCES IN ASIANPOLITICSRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Sat 1:45 pmBenjamin Read, University of IowaThe Transnational Politics of the Dalit MovementPeter J. Smith, Athabasca UniversityOverview: This paper examines the Dalit (Untouchable)Movement's recent participation in transnational networksagainst casteism and corporate globalization particularly atWorld Social Forum venues in Asia, South America andEurope.Interpreting a New Ethic of Global Democracy and HumanRights in BurmaCindy Kleinmeyer, Northern Illinois UniversityOverview: Burma's current ruling military junta, the State Peaceand Development Council (SPDC) uses the state-run media asan instrument to remind readers of the regime's top political,economic and social objectives.Technologies of Dissent: Legislating the Internet In thePeople's Republic of ChinaJessica Crewe, Harvard UniversityOverview: China's much-publicized Internet censorship raisesquestions about the function of national identity in transnationalnetworks and about new technologies and their potential tofoster political development and dissent.Globalization, Democratization and Women's NGOActivism in South KoreaBang-Soon L. Yoon, Central Washington UniversityOverview: South Korea's hyper-growth and globalizingeconomy have vastly transformed society and pushed thesociety into a successful transition to democracy. This paperinquires into how globalization and democratization haveaffected women's political rolesCatholicism vs. Communism, Continued: The CatholicChurch in VietnamLan T. Chu, Occidental CollegeOverview: This paper examines the confrontations andnegotiations between the Catholic Church and the communiststate in Vietnam.Benjamin Read, University of Iowa10-9 THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF REFORMIN POST-COMMUNIST COUNTRIESRoomChairPaperPaperPaperTBA, Sat 1:45 pmJulia Gray, University of California, Los AngelesAre Oligarchs Productive? Theory and EvidenceYuriy Gorodnichenko, University of Michigan, Ann ArborYegor Grygorenko, Citigroup RussiaOverview: This paper studies the behavior of oligarchs,politically and economically strong conglomerates in transitionand developing countries. We show that oligarchs can improvethe performance of the firms they own relative to other firms.Business Interest Groups in Post-Communist Russia: ThePuzzle of FormationDinissa S. Duvanova, The Ohio State UniversityOverview: Formation of business associations in postcommunistRussia is the central puzzle of the paper. The paperconcentrates on identifying how the process of business interestgroup formation differs across industries and sectors of Russianeconomy.Flatliners: Why Some European Countries Prefer, AndManage to Implement, the Flat TaxJulia Gray, University of California, Los AngelesAlexander Baturo, Trinity College, DublinOverview: What factors shaped the preferences of ruling partiestoward the flat tax, and what made adoption feasible orinfeasible Europe? Conditioned on party preference, weevaluate the influence of international and domestic politicaland economic pressures.220
PaperPaperPaperDisc.Financial Crises and the Power of Capital in TransitionEconomies of Eastern EuropeJana Grittersova, Cornell UniversityOverview: The principal question this paper investigates is thefollowing: What causes expensive and irrational delays ofdevaluation resulting in large currency falls that could havebeen avoided with an earlier devaluation?Common Economic Space and GUAM: Partners versusOpponents in the CISVitalie I. Diaconu, Monterey Institute of International StudiesOverview: The paper analyzes the problems of regionalcooperation among CIS states, in the framework of theCommon Economic Space and GUAM. Cooperation mightadvance the regional integration as well as starting the processThe <strong>Political</strong> Economy of Countering the Resource Curse:The Case of Russia Under PutinAdnana Vatansever, John's Hopkins UniversityOverview: This paper on Russia's struggle with the "resourcecurse" under President Putin aims to contribute to the scholarlyliterature by providing a comprehensive study of Putin'sinitiatives to reform the country's tax system - an area ofconsiderable weakof disintegration in the CIS.Scott Gehlbach, University of Wisconsin, Madison10-15 CONVENTIONAL AND UNCONVENTIONALPOLITICAL PARTICIPATION IN THEFORMER COMMUNIST STATESRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Sat 1:45 pmAchim Goerres, London School of EconomicsVoting More When it Matters More: Turnout In Post-Communist CountriesJoshua A. Tucker, Princeton UniversityAlexander Pacek, Texas A&M UniversityGrigore Pop-Eleches, Princeton UniversityOverview: This paper examines variation in turnout across 21post-communist countries from 1990-2004. We find higherturnout in elections where there is a more "at stake", a findingthat is surprisingly similar to voter turnout in establisheddemocracies.Protest Potential and Generational Change in RussiaOlena Nikolayenko, University of TorontoOverview: Protest potential is considered here as an importantsign of generational change in post-communist societies.Protest activity is an appropriate focus not only because itrepresents a remarkable departure from the habitual patterns ofpolitical partThe End of the Wave: Regime Consolidation and ProtestDecline in RussiaGraeme B. Robertson, University of North Carolina, ChapelHillOverview: How waves of political protest get started is a subjectmuch studied. How they end is less studied. Using the case ofRussia, I show how elite political alliances can explain protestdeclines in partially liberalized states.Competing for the Monopoly on Violence in the FormerSoviet EmpireElina Treyger, Harvard UniversityOverview: This paper uses violent deaths statistics todemonstrate a surprising variation across the ex-Sovietcountries, and suggests a legal institutions and culture-basedexplanation for this variation.Ellen P. Carnaghan, Saint Louis University11-10 PREVENTIVE WAR AND INTERVENTIONSRoomChairPaperTBA, Sat 1:45 pmSteven P. Millies, University of South Carolina, AikenSituating Humanitarian Intervention within InternationalRelations TheoryLamis Abdel-Aty, McGill UniversityOverview: The theoretical question of why states engage inhumanitarian intervention will be addressed by showcasing thestandpoints of the two major schools of IR theory whosePaperPaperDisc.contributions have been pertinent to the issue (realism andconstructivism).The Peace Process After Oslo and the Levels of AnalysisFrameworkMadalina C. Hanes, Louisiana State UniversitySchvalla Rivera, Indiana State UniversityOverview: I am using the level of analysis framework toidentify the forces that affect the peace process after Olso ateach level. I conclude that the best resolution for the Arab-Israeli conflict must combine all three levels.Threats to International Peace and Security: Evolution of aTechnical TermKimberly Hudson, Brown UniversityOverview: This paper traces the expansion of the meaning of"threats to international peace and security" over time andshows how it has led to a new interventionism that must beseverely constrained, but that we should welcome as necessaryand good.Roger J. Durham, Aquinas College12-10 EXCHANGE RATE POLITICSRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Sat 1:45 pmSteven R. Hall, Ball State UniversityDemocracy and Floating Exchange RatesMichael G. Hall, University of Northern IowaOverview: Why does democracy seem to correlate with floatingexchange rates? This paper tests different causal explanations,which focus on the transparency of the regime and politicalstability.Beggar Thy Neighbor Redux: The <strong>Political</strong> Economy ofExchange Rate ManipulationMichael A. Pisa, University of California, San DiegoOverview: TBACurrency Regime ChoiceJesse R. Russell, University of California, Santa BarbaraOverview: This paper examines how states choose a currencyregime. What domestic characteristics influence the choice topreserve, pool, or subordinate their monetary sovereignty?Free Riding to Dollar Decline: Changes in Global DollarHoldings and the Future of Dollar HegemonyVictor C. Shih, Northwestern UniversityDavid Steinberg, Northwestern UniversityOverview: In this paper, we test whether small holders of areserve currency free-ride on large holders when the reservecurrency is expected to depreciate. We test this using monthlydata on central bank holdings of US treasuries during 2003 and2004.Farmers and Financiers: The <strong>Political</strong> Economy ofExchange Rate ValuationDavid A. Steinberg, Northwestern UniversityOverview: This paper uses panel data to determine whichpolitical factors cause variation in exchange rateover/undervaluation. We find that group preferences influencecurrency levels. Institutions affect the strength of thepreference-policy relationship.Angela O'Mahony, University of British Columbia13-10 PUBLIC OPINION AND CONFLICTRoomChairPaperPaperTBA, Sat 1:45 pmRichard Sobel, Harvard UniversityPublic Support for War and News Coverage of MilitaryConflicts: Persuasion or Reinforcement?Scott L. Althaus, University of Illinois, Urbana-ChampaignKevin M. Coe, University of Illinois, Urbana-ChampaignOverview: This paper presents newly re-discovered trend datathat track American popular support for the war effort fromPearl Harbor until the end of the war.Death and Taxes: Capital-Intensive Militaries andAggressive DemocraciesJonathan D. Caverley, University of ChicagoOverview: In democracies, development of capital-intensivemilitaries shifts the costs of war away from the median voter,making conflict more attractive. Thus even when democracy221
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