PaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.Toward Resolving the Measurement Problem in QCA: AnExploration of Fuzzy MathematicsTerry D. Clark, Creighton UniversityJennifer M. Larson, Creighton UniversityOverview: The use of fuzzy mathematics in comparativepolitics has been confined to qualitative comparative analysis(QCA). We consider mathematical approaches that mightovercome measurement problems associated with the use offuzzy mathematics in QCA.Europeanization. Electoral Instititutions and PartyDevelopment in Post Communist PoliticsJohn T. Ishiyama, Truman State UniversityTerry D. Clark, Creighton UniversityOverview: In recent years, there has been a growing interest inthe domestic political consequences of “Europeanization.”Although there has been a small but increasing body of work onthe effects of this process on political party development in theWestTBAJill N. Wittrock, University of IowaTerry D. Clark, Creighton UniversityOverview: TBAWhat is Next? Taking the Next Step in the Field ofCommunism and Post-Communist StudiesIrina S. Khmelko, Georgia Southern UniversityOverview: This paper outlines some of the major discussions inthe field of Communist and Post-Communist studies. It offersone of the possible approaches to answering the question ofwhere the scholars of ECE can take the research next.Erik Herron, University of Kansas11-6 IR AND FOREIGN POLICYRoomChairPaperTBA, Fri 1:45 pmClair Apodaca, Florida International UniversityPresidents, Leadership Variation, and Foreign PolicyOutcomesDavid J. Plazek, West Virginia UniversityOverview: The paper examines presidential administrationsfrom Harry Truman to George H. W. Bush to assess whether thevariation in the political orientation of leadership contributes todivergence in foreign policy goals and outcomes.Paper Multiple Identities, Multiple Policies (?)Tuba Unlu, Georgetown UniversityOverview: This study aims to illustrate how identity of a statecan be manipulated by the decision/foreign policy makers, andcan be used strategically.PaperPaperPaperDisc.Turkey and the NATO Question: American and Anglo-Canadian PerspectivesRichard P. Garlitz, Ohio UniversityOverview: Security factors dominated American thinking withrespect to Turkish membership in NATO through 1952, butcultural considerations informed the Anglo-Canadian view. Thepaper links the NATO debate with the current one concerningTurkey and the EU.Hegemonic Influence and the Creation of RegionalArchitecture in Latin AmericaKatharine Petersen, University of ArizonaOverview: This paper seeks to understand the dynamics of nonissuespecific regional integration in Latin America by modelingthe decisions of states to join regional organizations which theUnited States has been instrumental in forming.Imposing American Ideals: Collective Ideas, Nationalism,and Great Power Foreign PolicyDuane Adamson, Brigham Young UniversityOverview: An evaluation of U.S. foreign policy efforts totransform specific collective ideas tied to national identity inpost World War II societies. The paper explores the perceivedsuccesses of post-war Germany and Japan to more recent cases.Robert F. Trager, Oxford University11-19 THE HISTORY OF THE GREAT POWERSAND THE FUTURE OF IR THEORYRoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Fri 1:45 pmMrinalini Menon, University of British ColumbiaBalancing by not BandwagoningMark E. Schaefer, Marietta CollegeOverview: States tend to concern themselves with overtbalancing, but French and German history show another form ofbalancing, balancing by not bandwagoning. This holds lessondrawingmerit for the US and its lack of usual partners prior tothe Iraq War.Testing Ideology Against Neorealism in Hitler's Drive to theEastAlex T. Schulman, University of California, Los AngelesOverview: I examine the diplomatic record to test the claims ofneorealism that Hitler's foreign policy decisions were rational,and then present a counter-argument - that ideology trumpedrationality.Domestic Institutions, Imperial Accommodation, andBritain's Settler ColoniesChad Rector, George Washington UniversityOverview: Like the U.S. today, the British Empire relied oncooperation from junior partners. Institutions that gaveinfluence to groups with relationship-specific assets in thesettler colonies made Britain's self-restraint credibleThe Congress of Vienna System - Power, Identity and NewIdeasFabrice Paracuellos, University of California, IrvineOverview: The emergence on a new idea - that liberalismconstituted a threat to the European monarchies - has morepower in explaining the peace of the Congress of Vienna systemthan distribution of power or institutional landscapeDangerous Rebels? Role of Violent Non-State Actors inGreat Power DeclineOlga Bogatyrenko, University of California, DavisOverview: The paper relies on organizational and IR literaturesto discuss the extent to which great powers are vulnerable toviolent non-state actors. Hypotheses are tested qualitatively viaa comparative case study of Imperial Russia and Great Britain.Nathan A. Paxton, Harvard University12-5 MONETARY INSTITUTIONS, REGIMES, &POLICY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY (CosponsoredEconomic Policy, see 42-15)RoomChairPaperPaperPaperTBA, Fri 1:45 pmChristopher Adolph, University of WashingtonDemocracy and Data Dissemination: The Effect of <strong>Political</strong>Regime on TransparencyB. Peter Rosendorff, University of Southern CaliforniaJames R. Vreeland, Yale UniversityOverview: Policymakers provide credible announcements ofintended inflation and unemployment rates in democracies; dataestablishes that transparency is correlated with regime type,even after controlling for level of development and countryspecificeffects.Institutional Structures and Monetary InstrumentsDominick E. Wright, University of Michigan, Ann ArborOverview: The structure of a governmental institutionconstrains the choice of monetary instruments, while inducingpreferences over macroeconomic outcomes. An analysis offixity and inflation conditioned on institutional structureexplores this hypothesis.Depositing Credibility: Capital Account Liberalization,Dollarization, and Government CredibilityKelly P. Wurtz, University of California, San DiegoOverview: I argue that those governments that combinecredibility in their respect for property rights, but lackcredibility in macroeconomic policy, can strategically allowforeign currency deposits to commit to stable macroeconomicpolicies.160
PaperPaperDisc.An Examination of the Relationship of CBI and PublicCorruptionJames Thomas Fetter, University of Notre DameOverview: In this paper, I explain the variation of CBI acrosscountries as a function of public corruption. Because publiccorruption reduces political and economic transparency, CBI isexpected to vary inversely with public corruption.Monetary Independence and Trade Relations in FlexibleExchange Rate RegimesVera E. Troeger, University of ExeterOverview: This paper argues that the level of monetaryflexibility a government enjoys does not only depend on theimplemented monetary institutions but also on the economicrelationships, especially trading relations with relevant keycurrency areas.David Andrew Singer, University of Notre Dame13-5 THE IMPACT OF REGIME TYPE ONREGIME CHANGERoomChairPaperPaperPaperPaperPaperDisc.TBA, Fri 1:45 pmAllan C. Stam, Dartmouth CollegeSignaling, Resolve, and the Duration of Interstate WarsJonathan E. Berohn, University of ColoradoRandall J. Blimes, University of ColoradoOverview: We examine how resolve affects the duration of warsin two ways. First we assume that resolve is fixed throughout aconflict and examine how nations can credibly signal resolvelevels to opponents. We then relax the assumption thatpreferences remaDoes Military Rule Mean Lost Wars? AuthoritarianSubtypes and War OutcomesOzlem Elgun, Emory UniversityOverview: This paper examines the effect of authoritarianregime type on conflict outcome, and argues that althoughmilitary regimes are more likely to initiate militarized interstatedisputes, they are less likely to win these conflicts.Military Occupations and Regime Changes: An EmpiricalExamination 1914-2004Carmela Lutmar, Princeton UniversityOverview: This paper is concerned with the phenomena ofmilitary occupation, regime changes, and the links betweenthem.Needs the NGOs? The Research on the Development ofNGOs in ChinaChun-yuan Wang, Duke UniversityYan-yi Chang, National Chung-Cheng UniversityJun-yi Hsieh, Florida State UniversityOverview: This paper is interesting in the subject that sinceChina is an authoritarian government, why does she need NGOsto deal with the international cooperation or interaction. Thedevelopment of the NGOs in China will be examined in thepaper.Politics,Threats, and War: A Test of a New Measure of<strong>Political</strong> Regime TypeWayne A. Thornton, Harvard UniversityOverview: This paper presents a new methodology forcharacterizing political regime types, and applies it to analyzehow the institutional structure of governments shapes theirbehavior regarding threats and war.Zaryab Iqbal, University of South Carolina14-6 TERRORISM: SUICIDE BOMBINGRoomChairPaperTBA, Fri 1:45 pmChristian W. Erickson, Roosevelt UniversityLandscapes of Violence: A Comparative Study ofInsurgency in the Northern CaucasusJason M. Lyall, Princeton UniversityOverview: This paper examines the determinants of insurgentstrategies in Russia’s Northern Caucasus by combiningGeographic Information Systems (GIS), a district-level naturalexperiment, and a new dataset of insurgent attacks (includingsuicide terrorism) for the 1999-2005 period.PaperPaperPaperDisc.Female Suicide Bombers: Case Study of the Chechen “BlackWidows”Irina Bazaria, University of CincinnatiOverview: This research paper reviews theories of femalesuicide bombers, focuses on their characteristics, analyzes theirpersonal motives, makes assessments of tactics and strategiesbehind using female suicide bombers.From Burkhas to Bombers: An Analysis of Women Martyrsas Suicide BombersLaura V. Fontaine, University of Colorado, BoulderHugh R. Kardell, University of Colorado, BoulderOverview: Suicide terrorism has recently become a widely usedtactic and a significant strategic threat to the internationalcommunity. To date, the motivations and factors to explain whywomen are becoming martyrs have not been fully explored orunderstood.What Drives Terrorism: Analyzing the Factors ThatInfluence Suicide BombingTyson Chatagnier, Texas A&M UniversityOverview: This paper looks at several potential influences ondecisions by Palestinian terrorist groups to launch suicidebombings against Israel. It attempts to ascertain by statisticalanalysis which factors make suicide bombings more or lesslikely.Skyler J. Cranmer, University of California, DavisChristian W. Erickson, Roosevelt Univeristy15-301 POSTER SESSION: CONFLICT PROCESSESPresenter When Will States Negotiate? Pain and Strategy inInternational ConflictRoom TBA, Board 1, Fri 1:45 pmBelinda L. Bragg, Texas A&M UniversityOverview: This paper addresses the question of why some crisesbetween states are resolved through negotiation while othersresult in continued conflict. The theoretical model is testedusing both experimental and empirical analysis.Presenter Third-Party Intervention in Ethnic ConflictsRoom TBA, Board 2, Fri 1:45 pmAda Hyso, University of Wisconsin, MilwaukeeOverview: This study aims to examine how ethnic composition,affinity and discrimination, as well as power relations affectthird party interventions in an ethnic conflictPresenter Beyond Diplomacy: Conflict Management in the NetworkSocietyRoom TBA, Board 3, Fri 1:45 pmDaniel Wehrenfennig, University of California, IrvineOverview: This paper will explore the actual practice ofcommunication in conflict management and contemplate thechanges in the diffusion of power, networking andcommunication in the "network society" to evaluate thechallenges and opportunities.Presenter The Explanatory Value of <strong>Political</strong> Psychology inRoomInternational RelationsTBA, Board 4, Fri 1:45 pmCengiz Erisen, SUNY, Stony Brook UniversityOverview: This paper examines the inferences of politicalpsychology in international relations. The main goal is to studythe propositions of political psychology in understanding theinternational conflicts.17-301 POSTER SESSION: INTERNATIONALCOOPERATION AND ORGANIZATIONPresenter Canada-US Cooperation on the Great Lakes after 9/11Room TBA, Board 5, Fri 1:45 pmEdna R. Keeble, Saint Mary's UniversityRoy Keeble, Independent ResearcherOverview: This paper is about the level of Canada-UScooperation in the Great Lakes-St. Lawrence Seaway systemafter 9/11. In this case, we see a seamless integration of securitymeasures into existing arrangements while not jeopardizingmaritime trade.161
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