Kingscote Airport Business Case Appendices - Kangaroo Island ...

Kangaroo Island Futures Authority Draft Economic Impact of Agriculture and TourismThe high growth scenario will produce the following outcomes (Table 7.5 summarises thechange from baseline):1. Total number of visitors: 275,0002. Total number of visitor nights: 1,191,0003. Total visitor expenditure: $225m4. Growth in visitor expenditure of about 83 per cent between 2011/12 and 2019/20 (8years)Assumptions about achieving growth 5The variables that combine to determine the contribution of the tourism industry to theKangaroo Island economy are identified as:1. the number of visitors2. the proportion of visitors that are domestic intrastate, domestic intrastate andinternational (visitor profile)3. the yield (in dollars) of visitors in each category of the visitor profile4. the length of stay for visitors5. the percentage of visitor yield that is returned to the Kangaroo Island economyThe low and moderate growth scenarios are based on the following assumptions:1. there will be no change in the day visitor growth rate to 2019/202. there will be an increases in the domestic overnight and international visitor growthrate to 2019/203. there will be no change in the yield per visitor in each category of the visitor profile4. there will be no change to the length of stay for each visitor profile to 2019/205. there will be no change in the visitor yield that is returned to the Kangaroo IslandeconomyThe high growth scenario mirrors the moderate growth scenario for all variables except thelength of stay (variable 4) which is extended by one day for each of the domestic overnight andinternational visitors.The rationale for these assumptions follows:5See Appendix 9 for notes on tourism data.e c o n s e a r c hPage| 32