Kingscote Airport Business Case Appendices - Kangaroo Island ...

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Kangaroo Island Futures Authority Draft Economic Impact of Agriculture and Tourism1. Day visitor growth rates are linked to a reasonably narrow tourism experience. Theitinerary includes marshalling time, travel to / from the Island and travel around theIsland as a fixed component. Limitations on access to high value experiences that canbe included in such an itinerary appear to be a natural growth inhibitor. Growth in dayvisitor rates have therefore been ignored for the purposes of building scenarios in thisstudy however it is noted that some additional growth is likely in this sector as a resultof innovation in scheduling and management for example.2. The main thrust of policy based strategies to grow visitation to Kangaroo Islandappears to be targeted at increasing domestic extended stay and internationalvisitation. This is reflected strongly in regional, state and commonwealth tourismpolicy and current or recent program, planning and research initiatives that wereconsidered. Stakeholder consultation reinforced the potential of using this strategy.3. The decision to develop the low and moderate growth scenarios withoutconsideration of increased yield per visitor, increasing the length of stay per visitor orincreasing the yield returned to the local economy was made in order to focusattention on the economic impact of a change to the single variable of increasing thedomestic overnight and international visitation. This approach reduces the risk thatchange in one variable will mask the impact of another. However, it is noted thatthere are active programs to increase the length of stay per overnight visitor toKangaroo Island (‘stay one more day’ program) and promoting local product(increasing return to the local economy). For this reason the high growth scenario wasdeveloped to be identical to the moderate growth scenario with the exception thatthe average length of stay increases by one day for both domestic overnight andinternational visitors. The net effect is to increase the average length of stay of allvisitors by 0.8 days from the baseline 3.4 days to 4.2 days (Table 7.5).7.1.3 Economic contribution of tourism - low growth scenarioThe low growth scenario for tourism would deliver an increase in the number of visitors onKangaroo Island to around 234,000 persons per annum (domestic overnight and international).From the discussion of market opportunity (Appendix 5) this level of market development isconsidered a relatively low-level growth outcome that could be expected to be realised withinan 8-year period. By year 8 it would equate to an additional 40,000 visitors to Kangaroo Islandeach year.In current dollar terms, total tourism expenditure on the Island corresponding with this higherlevel of visitation would be approximately $151m, an additional $28m per annum over theestimate for 2011/12, which is equivalent to an average rate of growth in expenditure of 2.6per cent per annum over an 8-year period. This is marginally higher than trend and consideredrealistic.In aggregate, it was estimated that the increase in visitor expenditure would generate thefollowing economic activity on Kangaroo Island (Table 7.6):• approximately $12 million in GRP (6 per cent increase);• approximately 128 full-time and part-time jobs (5 per cent increase); and• approximately 107 fte jobs (5 per cent increase).e c o n s e a r c hPage| 33
Kangaroo Island Futures Authority Draft Economic Impact of Agriculture and TourismTable 7.6abcEconomic impact of tourism expenditure growth: low growth scenarioTourismExpenditure a GRP Impact Employment Impact$m $m fte Total JobsWine and other food products 0.3 0.2 2 2Wholesale trade 0.4 0.5 4 4Retail trade 2.5 1.8 28 35Accommodation and food services 7.9 3.8 45 59Transport 1.3 0.8 7 6Ownership of dwellings 1.1 1.4 0 0Property and business services 0.3 1.0 9 9Education 0.0 0.1 1 1Health and community services 0.0 0.1 2 2Cultural and recreational services 0.4 0.2 3 2Personal services 0.0 0.1 2 3Other sectors 0.0 0.7 5 5Net Taxes b 1.5 1.5 - -Imports 12.8 - - -Total Tourism Impact 28.5 12.2 107 128Regional Total c - 217.0 2,330 2,399Tourism Contribution to RegionalGrowth- 6% 5% 5%In basic prices, that is, net of net taxes (taxes minus subsidies) and marketing and transport margins. Furtherdescription of the method used to estimate this profile of tourism expenditure is provided in Section 2.2.Indirect taxes (principally GST) less subsidies.Derived from the Kangaroo Island RISE model for 2011/12.Source: EconSearch analysis7.1.4 Economic contribution of tourism - moderate scenarioGiven an upgrade of the Kingscote Airport (Scenario 3, Section 7.1.1), SATC estimated thatthere is the potential to increase the number of visitors on Kangaroo Island to around 275,000persons per annum (domestic overnight and international).From the discussions with stakeholders of market opportunity (Appendix 5), this level ofmarket development is considered a moderate-level growth scenario that could be expectedto be realised within an eight-year period. By year 8 it would equate to an additional 81,000visitors each year.In 2012 dollar terms, total tourism expenditure on the Island corresponding with this higherlevel of visitation would be approximately $180m, an additional $57m per annum over theestimate for 2011/12, which is equivalent to an average rate of growth in expenditure of 4.9per cent per annum.According to SATC, this latent demand for tourism on Kangaroo Island is consistent with ananalysis of Uluru as a benchmark for Kangaroo Island. Uluru has a range of similarities toKangaroo Island including:• High consideratione c o n s e a r c hPage| 34
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PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENTKangaroo Isla
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Kangaroo Island Airport Upgrade Bus
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Document History and StatusRev Desc
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6 Terminal Building 166.1 Descripti
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1 Introduction1.1 Scope of ReportTh
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3 Future Development Scenarios3.1 S
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4 Site Investigations4.1 OutlineA s
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Coober PedyKingscoteAccordingly, a
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For aircraft landing to the north a
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Table 5-1New Pavement ThicknessesPa
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In this Study, allowance has been m
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An additional 20% of the gross area
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7 Landside Facilities7.1 Car Parkin
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This situation will require monitor
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8 Capital Costs Estimates8.1 Introd
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Table 8-2Pavement Element Compariso
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8.4.3 Security Screening CostsIn ad
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Appendix AKingscote Airport - Curre
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Kangaroo Island Futures Authority D
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Kangaroo Island Futures Authority D
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Kingscote Airport Business Case Appendices - Kangaroo Island ...

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