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PhD Thesis - Energy Systems Research Unit - University of Strathclyde

PhD Thesis - Energy Systems Research Unit - University of Strathclyde

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Fig. 3.8 - Measured vs. modelled chilled water dataFigure 3.9 shows how the modelled data (both the raw and smoothed data) comparesto a theoretical ideal fit. The resulting correlation coefficient value between themodelled data and the ideal fit is <strong>of</strong> 0.995. It can be observed that the modelleddataset is most accurate for a specific range <strong>of</strong> working temperatures, and that at theextreme end <strong>of</strong> the modelled temperature range (where the least number <strong>of</strong> datapoints was available for calibration) a number <strong>of</strong> outliers are visible.The accuracy <strong>of</strong> the model lies in its calibration process which is highly susceptibleto the number (and range) <strong>of</strong> data points used to calibrate the model. The higher thenumber <strong>of</strong> data points used to calibrate the model the more accurate is the calibrationprocess. Also, having a consistent number <strong>of</strong> data points over the whole range <strong>of</strong>working and non-working temperatures (including during specific time-periods suchas cold-starts) aides in improving the accuracy <strong>of</strong> the calibration process. Onelimitation <strong>of</strong> this model is that the number <strong>of</strong> data points used for calibration wasrelatively limited and the model’s accuracy therefore suffers from this fact. This doeshowever not prevent the model from producing a reliable representation <strong>of</strong> the output<strong>of</strong> the absorption chiller.125

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