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PhD Thesis - Energy Systems Research Unit - University of Strathclyde

PhD Thesis - Energy Systems Research Unit - University of Strathclyde

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<strong>of</strong> the system diminishes with increasing LPG prices. The plots however do show asimilar financial sensitivity to the building’s energy demand – the higher the usefulenergy demand the higher is the PW <strong>of</strong> a project. Measures aimed at reducing eitherthe thermal demand (e.g. by improving the building fabric) or the electrical demand(e.g. by improving the electrical efficiency <strong>of</strong> appliances), therefore have adetrimental effect on the financial value <strong>of</strong> a project. Similarly, low operating loadfactors such as that experienced by the plant connected to the 3 household building(Scenario 1) tend to create a situation where the PW is very small, bordering on thenegative with increasing LPG prices. In fact, at the current LPG price the systemconnected to the 3 household building is already almost at a break-even point.On an individual building basis, in the case <strong>of</strong> the 6 household building the highestdifference between the different scenarios is that due to the improvement <strong>of</strong> electricalefficiency <strong>of</strong> appliances. In the case <strong>of</strong> the 3 household building the highestdifference between scenarios is that due to the improvement <strong>of</strong> the building fabric.The reason for this difference is once more the magnitude <strong>of</strong> the individual CF termswhich reflect the changes in energetic performance due to the different scenarios.Finally, considering that, as shown in Figure 5.17 for Scenario 2 Low/Current efficiency ,only one term in the cash flow equation is dependent on the assumed LPG price, theresulting CF and PW plots are both subject to a constant linear decrease reflectingthe increasing fuel costs.218

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